GoneWithTheTailwind

This 💯

@MarinaMedvin Haha

Before and after telling Ms. Mamdani that you’re Miss Israel.

Christians are not leaving West Bank or Gaza because of treatment by Israel. They left or cease to exist the same reason why Christian (or any non Muslims) population in EVERY single Muslim country go down. You can look up Christian population every country in Middle East and find that there is only one country Christian population is not decreasing. You don’t know much about Middle East beyond what people who wants to push certain narrative wants to believe. I would encourage you to take a trip to spend some time in different Middle East countries and you can come back to tell me if it’s exactly how I tried to tell you. Islamists want the whole world to submit to Islam. They see Israel as the last country in the region yet to be conquered by Islam. That’s why they have been trying so hard to wipe Israel out. Some Muslim countries decided to move away from Islamic imperialism and stopped trying to wipe Israel out decades ago and there has been peace between those countries. Israel + US together is very hard to beat, that’s why Islamists have pivoted in the last few years to try to win propaganda war instead and just pumping crazy amount of exaggerations and totally inaccurate info to westerners who are completely clueless about Middle East. The goal is divide and conquer. There are 2 ways this ends. 1) Enough people believe in the propaganda and US support for Israel is weakened enough for someone is able to wipe out Israel. In case you don’t know, it won’t end there. Islamists are already slaughtering people all over Africa (if you really want to see mass killing, look up what’s happening in many African countries right now). It’s same thing that was happening in Middle East last few hundred years. And it’s going to eventually start happening to Europe in the next few decades after 1) happens and Europe becomes the next frontline of Islamic expansion Or 2, we get free Iran from IRGC and help Lebanon get rid of Hezbollah. Once Hezbollah is gone, I can guarantee you there will be no more conflict with Israel and Lebanon. Once IRGC is gone, there will be no more conflict with Israel and Iran either. Those 2 countries were actually really close before the Islamists stole Iran from its people. That’s why you always see the old Iranian lion flags and Israel flags together.

Settler gangs doing pogroms is not “a couple of idiots.” It’s organized gangs supported by the state. Children facing military courts is not the policy of any tolerant country. Christians in Palestine overwhelmingly claim that it’s treatment by Israel that makes them leave. I’m sure it’s better in actual Israel—but there’s no reason to exclude Israel’s behavior in occupied territories. Or indeed the mass killings and demolitions happening now in Lebanon.

if you agree that israel is committing a genocide and is an apartheid state, then separating this state from jews in the us is probably a winning message and combating antisemitism, dont you think?

There is no mass killing in Lebanon. There is Hezbollah shooting rockets into Israel and they had to deal with it. Hezbollah is an Islamic terrorist group similar to Hama. Until they are eliminated, they may not ever been peace in the region. Lebanon government wants them gone too. Now hezbollah’s sugar daddy is weakened, Lebanon government is being a lot more vocal about wanting to get rid of Hezbollah. Israel would attack whoever threatens them but only those who threatens them. Back in the day Jordan and Egypt used to want to wipe Israel out too but they stopped decades ago and there has been zero death. Why would that be in Israel just wants to attack for no reason?

You are going to find a couple videos of idiots being idiots. That’s not representative at all. I can tell you have never been if you based your judgement on extremely rare incidents. You will not be able to find the type of religion freedom people enjoy in Israel anywhere else in Middle East. If you dig even deeper in history, you would actually find most of Middle East countries were not even Muslim before. What do you think happened to all those non Muslims? I will give you a few guesses.

If you are dumb enough to believe antisemitic propaganda. Anyone who has even spend time in the Middle East knows Israel is by far the most free country for people of any background. Any other country in Middle East, unless you are cis male Muslim, you are second class citizen. In Israel, you would still hear mosques blasting calls for prayer everyday. I dare you to try to preach any religion besides Islam on the street of in any other Middle East country besides Israel and let’s see how long you last.

@shaunmmaguire @hasanthehun We literally fund that apartheid state, you habitual liar. Israel is also the most important cause of the Iran war, which has enormous economic consequences. Restraining the rogue state of Israel is crucially important for the welfare of the US population.

@ventry089 20? I think there are 51 cities now

90% of people trading weather markets on polymarket are looking at the wrong temperature polymarket doesn't resolve by city. it resolves on a specific airport station NYC = LaGuardia, not Central Park Dallas = Love Field, not DFW Chicago = O'Hare Miami = Miami Intl Seattle = Sea-Tac Atlanta = Hartsfield the difference between city center and the resolving station is 3-8°F. on one-degree buckets that's the difference between the right trade and a guaranteed drain forecast says "NYC will hit 72°F", you bet on the 71-73°F bucket, then LaGuardia resolves at 75°F because it sits next to the water check which station you're pulling the forecast from. this is the cheapest edge on polymarket right now dropped all 20 stations into weatherbot if you don't want to dig: github.com/ventry089/weat…

@NotKennyRogers 🤣

Your new Indian name is "Spirit Killer."

@fabianstelzer lol, I wish 4.7 would stop telling me to go to bed

when Claude Opus 6 tells you to "stop spiraling and go to bed" 😵‍💫

@AlenaChramtsova @Polymarket I can’t access this

@Polymarket Profile: @dpnd?via=alena" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@dpnd?via=alena

Exact Temp Assassin on Polymarket From $1.06 to $648 (+61,000%) on a single London temperature prediction This trader is absolutely cooking daily highest temperature markets worldwide ＞Entry: mostly 1-10¢ ＞Hold: until full resolution ＞Results: 4,000% - 60,000%+ ROI Seoul, New York, Shanghai, Moscow, London, Paris, Chicago and more - he keeps nailing the exact daily highs

@Damir_Akaza Which part is incorrect?

@GoneWTTailwind your theory is partly correct, but something still doesn’t add up

This guy literally “hacked” Polymarket He was buying shares for 0 cents, and it’s not a joke He trades only weather and found a loophole He literally gets shares for 0 cents and then sells them for 100c In 4 days he made $4000 He created the account on April 18 and just 10 days later his balance is already $4520 Honestly, I don’t know how he pulled that off

You will end up losing the same amount on the NO as you would gain from the converted YES’s with polymarket’s funky accounting. Usually it’s net zero because only one of the YES’s of every other bucket will win at settlement. But if you don’t hold the YESs to settlement but to sell the YES at different times, you will end up taking profit on all the YES’s above $1, that’s how he makes money. The risk is if he accidentally sell a YES that would eventually win too early, then he would end up with a negative P&L

He is not buying yes for near zero. He is buying NO of the lowest bucket almost at $1 and converting them to YES of every other bucket but polymarket doesn’t do accounting properly so it mark the yes at 1-price of the NO at the time of conversion. You can do it too. Buy a NO near $1 and press convert button on your position

He is converting NO to YES of every other bucket and polymarket doesn’t do conversion accounting properly so if the no is worth 0.99ish, they mark the converted yes at 0 even thought he spent almost $1. His strategy is to sell the sum of YES of all the other buckets above $1. The difference is his real profit

THIS GUY REALLY "HACKED" POLYMARKET. The guy specializes in weather markets - and just a few week after getting started, he made 1,340 today. The most interesting thing isn't how much he made, but how: In 9 out of 10 trades, he bought the shares for 0 cents - he got them for free - and after the market settled, he sold them for 100. i.e., almost minimal risk with maximum profit But how is that possible? To be honest, I'm not entirely sure myself.

@goodworse The rule says ‘and a partner’?

Clavicular (MALE) is PREGNANT Polymarket is already offering 82% on this right now the decision in YES has been cancelled and sent to experts it still looks like a free 6x on NO or perhaps we've encountered the first such case in history there's some kind of madness going on here

@HazelAppleyard imdb.com/title/tt010040…

What am I going to spend all my time watching now???

@zentrues By the time you get METAR, it’s way too late

a bot that reads pilot reports and makes money ColdMath - №1 weather trader on Polymarket > invested $25 -> received $12,452 > $124,000 total profit > 81.7% winrate across 6,575 trades doesn't trade crypto, doesn't trade politics trades air temperature in Tokyo, Chicago, Wellington his bot scans weather data 24/7 spots where the market mispriced enters before the crowd while everyone watches the bitcoin chart he watches the thermometer

@pati_marins64 So let’s wait another decade to fight this inevitable war?

America Has Never Faced an Adversary Like Iran At the beginning of the war in the Pacific, the Japanese fleet relied almost entirely on its excellent night vision with high-powered binoculars, rigorous training, and the use of searchlights, while the US was already operating search radars. In battles like Guadalcanal, American ships equipped with the SG radar could detect the Japanese fleet from kilometers away in total darkness, while the Japanese only realized the enemy was there when the first shots were fired. Japan depended on optical rangefinders to aim its guns. If it was raining or smoky, accuracy dropped drastically. The US, on the other hand, used radar for fire direction, allowing the guns to be aimed automatically by electronic data. Japan only began installing radars more commonly on its ships from mid-1942 onward, but they were technically inferior, suffering from interference and low resolution. Roughly speaking, those Japanese radars served only as an alert that something was out there. The Americans used microwaves, with a radar so precise that it allowed Blind Firing. This technological advantage was decisive in the naval battles of the Pacific, where another technology also made all the difference: the proximity fuze, which increased the effectiveness of American ships anti-aircraft defense by up to 500%, being vital for fleet defense and representing a technology far beyond Japanese munitions. Active sonars and sonobuoys operated by aircraft were another technology that gave the Americans an immense advantag e, in a war where there was undeniably a decisive American technological superiority that also included better cryptography. This scenario does not exist in the war with Iran, and I would say that in all its history as a country, the US has never faced an adversary like Iran. The Persians far surpass the Americans in the field of ballistic missiles, developing, manufacturing, and operating short, medium, and intermediate range systems. Furthermore, they have deployed hypersonic glide vehicles in attacks against Israel, as confirmed by video evidence. All of this was done in such high quantities that it allowed them to maintain a sustained rate of 30 to 50 missile launches daily for nearly 40 days. Meanwhile, the US is trying to recover from several failures in its missile programs, but successfully testing its short-range PrSM against Iran, which will dramatically change the face of the American arsenal. In the field of one-way drones, Iran is far ahead, both in the stealth design of its models and in anti-jammer technology. This forced the US to copy the Shahed under the name LUCAS. This is a multipolar war, but there is still resistance from the West to seeing this new world. Join my Substack to read the full article: open.substack.com/pub/global21/p…

Fighting Hezbollah is a different war that has been going on since Hezbollah started firing rockets on 10/7. Lebanon government wants to get rid of Hezbollah too because they don’t want any forever conflict with Israel. Now Hezbollah’s sugar daddy is weakened, the Lebanon government finally has the balls to say it out loud too.

@GoneWTTailwind @pati_marins64 twitter.com/dimitrilascari…

Asymmetric Warfare and Iran’s Restored Capability Satellite images show that Iran has already cleared the bunkers, silos, and launch pads at these sites in just over 48 hours after the ceasefire. I believe this means they have quickly regained the ability to launch hundreds of missiles per day, at a moment when the coalition’s stock of interceptors is running low. And this is a major problem for the coalition, because in the first 48 hours fo war alone, they launched more than 700 missiles and nearly 1,000 drones. I know Netanyahu and Trump really wanted to win this war, but have they truly understood the kind of war they are fighting? This conflict teaches us a great deal about modern and asymmetric warfare. In conventional war, if a force loses control of the skies, it usually means the destruction of its equipment and military structures, stripping the army of its ability to react. Everything becomes vulnerable, from barracks to small checkpoints. But asymmetric warfare is different. You prepare for a conflict in which you will be heavily bombed and must respond with resilience and gradual deployment, turning the war into a long, exhausting, and attritional struggle. The key point is that the entire structure must be protected in underground bunkers or very well hidden to survive successive waves of bombings. In Iran’s case, a mountainous country, many of these fortifications are built inside mountains, taking advantage of the natural terrain, just as the Vietnamese used the jungle to hide their equipment. These constructions require significant investment and long-term planning, often spanning decades. It is estimated that the Iranian project has cost between $15-20 billion, with dozens of underground bases for storage, maintenance, and assembly of military equipment. In addition to the missile force, the navy and air force also have these underground bases. Continue reading: open.substack.com/pub/global21/p…

@pati_marins64 I wish there are videos of dog fight between Iran vs US/Israel Air Force 😂

Iranian Air Force launched strikes on  U.S bases An image that emerged from the wreckage at the U.S. base in Kuwait shows an unexploded FAB bomb, evidencing that Iran used its air force to bomb American bases. There are no debris from downed Iranian aircraft in Kuwait, which leads me to imagine that the actions were executed successfully. In another episode, the Iranian Air Force also attacked Qatar. Doha’s version is that they intercepted the aircraft performing a low-altitude flight, at only 80 feet over the sea, before they could release their bombs. It is most likely they were shot down by Qatari F-15s while executing the release maneuver or immediately after it. Qatar stated they were 2 minutes away from Al Udeid Air Base, which leads me to believe they were simply seeking more altitude for the launch In other words, the Iranian Air Force was attacking at least two American bases in the Gulf with Su-24MK aircraft, in a manner very similar to what the Ukrainians do. What everyone thought were only missiles and drones hitting U.S. bases may reveal other IRIAF actions in more Gulf countries. It is estimated that Iran had over 25 Su-24MK/Su-25UBK in the pre-war period and still maintains a good portion of this fleet protected in bunkers, as well as its F-14s, F-5s, YAK-130s, and MiG-29s. With the exception of the Yak-130, which is a more recent project, it is an ancient air force, yet courageous and still operational. Obviously, it is no match for the coalition’s more modern aircraft; therefore, Iran is limiting its operations in a joint strategy with short-range anti-aircraft systems to inhibit rotary-wing action over their territory. Join my Substack for more articles: open.substack.com/pub/global21