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#CPI #inflation comes in at 6.4% vs 6.2% est Historically (since 2019) after 10-20bps miss, $QQQ was lower 83% of the time, on avg -0.7% down by day 1 and 2 after the release I have a bearish outlook, and long some puts

@RocksOver What’s revenue and capex dynamics?

Can I interest you in a dirt cheap Japanese gaming machine company? Sankyo $6417.T trades at 1.6x EV/EBITDA. Over 70% of market cap in cash and short-term investments. ROE of 18% and rising. Consistently profitable, even through COVID. Share count has shrunk 22% since 2020.

@howtoswingtrade @DeItaone I’m very surprised not more places in Argentina take crypto as payment

@DeItaone Here was $100 16 months ago.. has 4x’d since then. Unreal. Wife had to buy a bigger purse to keep all the cash in. And Western Unions routinely ran out of cash. Forced to use cambio’s on the street. Dangerous..

🇦🇷ARGENTINA'S BLACK MARKET FX WEAKENS TO 800/USD

@DeItaone I exchanged at 560 2 weeks ago! 🫠

@junkbondinvest Big difference is today most debt is fixed rate, back in 07 a lot more floating rate mortgage debt

This is from a research report from 2006. Yeah, no similarities.

@elonmusk @ConCaracal @EndWokeness 👏👏 for speaking out against this

@ConCaracal @EndWokeness The lack of condemnation about EFF actively calling for genocide is appalling

Another brutal farm murder in South Africa 2 gunmen murdered Duwayne Smith and shot his wife Ingrid while their daughters Jenica (10) and Elisma (8) watched The attack occurred on Thursday night at Randridge farm in Randfontein. The killers left without taking anything.

@CalgaryLeveen @LionheartInves1 I was thinking more the gap will close because equity should converge with debt at these levels Probably end up with a haircutted exchange for these 2025 notes and maturity will get pushed out I don’t see them getting repaid in full, on a quick look

@Gulag_CP @LionheartInves1 Now that the settlement is in, the $APE security is equivalent to $AMC but actually available to borrow. The stock printer will go brrr and the near term maturities will be de-risked.

Give me your best idea right now in a single tweet. Any style, doesn't matter, I just like hearing what other people have to say.

@Bryce_Nortje Great write up

Updated $OPRA analysis brycebd1.substack.com/p/opera-ltd-co…

@CalgaryLeveen @LionheartInves1 Like this

@LionheartInves1 Buy $AMC 5.75% 2025 notes at ~60. Sell $APE short at >$2

@LionheartInves1 $PLAB Photronics Net cash position, makes photo masks (a component in chip production) Trades at 4x EBITDA - because growth rate not best in class plus significant exposure to production and demand in China Revenue growth of 10-20%, recently accelerated I think 4x is cheap

@rafcobos @LionheartInves1 I’m a big fan of $NRP too Not sure how the dip in coal prices will affects the stock tho

@CL_fTrader Interesting This varies a lot by location, US is v different from the rest of the world Like in many other countries, there’s a slowdown for sure

@RocksOver Very interesting Am also studying $AMRK

I own a handful of small banks (ECIP recipients such as $CZBS), and compounder-ish stuff like $HQI, $CURN and $AMRK. Various small and unloved micro cap names. And a bunch of small positions in resources like $SGML (lithium) and $FIL.TO (copper).

First portfolio update in ages: I’m out of shipping stocks for the first time in three years. Have scaled back my energy exposure. Still like $PBF. Large positions in $AFM and a handful of coal stocks, with a skew toward met names like $AMR.

@Comedyorwat What’s your thesis based on?

If you entered $TUP at ANY point over the last 2 days, you're green by a country mile You're welcome 😁

@StraniusC @MarhelmData Could be pressured to ramp up capex or some sort of additional taxes or reduce product pricing on domestic market I’m not too familiar with how state shapes policy on these matters in latam

@Gulag_CP @MarhelmData What else will they do with all that cash?

$EC Q1-23 Earnings summary. - Income +19.7% YoY - EBITDA +11% YoY - ISA EBITDA (utilities) +38% YoY - Crude production +3.6% YoY - Domestic production +2% - Confirms FEPC will be repaid via dividends in lieu - Net income -13.9% YoY due to tax effect GAAP EPS ~$0.62/share

@agnostoxxx A *reasonable* valuation comparing to some other large cap techs

$MSFT great company, but it’s on 2% FCF yield 🤷

@VincentAuGondor @business Uhm, no…

@business Aren’t the ex Soviet states sovereign just like Tibet and Taiwan ?

European states reacted with anger to remarks by China’s top envoy to France questioning the status of ex-Soviet nations trib.al/OKjmAfU

@TsxCapitalist @FTAlphaville That tweet really didn’t age well 😬😬

@Gulag_CP @FTAlphaville called Credit Suisse nearly a year ago Alphaville has a great track record on being ahead of the curve on non British financial institutions youtu.be/PyuUc74Qdzs

Some ppl talking about $CS “going under” Utter bs imo - 1) these deposits aren’t going anywhere (kantonalbanks?! 🤡) 2) obv if any panic came to be CB wld backstop, 3) it’s ~$700bn of deposits - 3x of midsized US regional bank I expect mean reversion to red after “rescue of CS”

@calvinfroedge I think depends on educational level ultimately In Switzerland democracy works well Recent problems are in societies where voter skill level has deteriorated and ppl for for idiotic policies

@calvinfroedge To me Switzerland is probably the best system Direct democracy with ability to call a referendum on anything Educated electorate so no idiotic populist policies