Jay Brazil

208 posts

Jay Brazil

Jay Brazil

@JBrazil22

Katılım Ekim 2022
116 Takip Edilen16 Takipçiler
Christopher Bloomstran
Christopher Bloomstran@ChrisBloomstran·
Robert Reich calls for arresting @elonmusk, writing in The Guardian, “regulators around the world should threaten Musk with arrest if he doesn’t stop disseminating lies and hate on X.” If his grandfather was Robert and his father Robert Jr., that would make him the Third Reich.
Christopher Bloomstran tweet media
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@Giovann35084111 @nntaleb @stephen_wolfram Well, NNT has given titled himself “ Distinguished Scientific Advisor” to Universa and also “ Distinguished Professor” if tgat’s what you mean. Which is amusing, since he claims he accepts no honours.
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb@nntaleb·
Happy birthday @stephen_wolfram! He is more productive than many universities. 1) He does things on his own terms. Unapologetically. 2) I've met many many smart people, many many Nobels, but nobody who can grasp things as quickly. 3) He has a gargantuan scientific erudition.
Stephen Wolfram@stephen_wolfram

Born 65 years ago this minute. Happy to say the last five years have been my all-time most productive (so far)... writings.stephenwolfram.com/2024/08/five-m…

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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@nntaleb @stephen_wolfram I think you actually need to have DONE some science to pronounce another person having scientific erudition.
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@kdaniellepark @EconguyRosie Rosie is in no position to critique either Harris or Dana ( or the Fed) on Econ. He has been wrong for long enough and cost many investors far more than any tax rate could. You’d think he would be humiliated enough to stop talking by now.
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Danielle Park
Danielle Park@kdaniellepark·
@EconguyRosie David, I love your work but not appropriate to keep calling Ms Harris "Kamala". You don't say "Donald" or "Joe" when referring to Trump and Biden.
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David Rosenberg
David Rosenberg@EconguyRosie·
It’s too bad that at yesterday’s CNN love-in interview,  Dana Bash didn’t ask Kamala about the economic impact and incentive distortions from boosting top personal marginal rates to nearly 45% from 37%, and the effective top rate for businesses from 21% to over 30% which would make the USA one of the highest corporate tax regimes in the industrialized world.
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@DirtRoadPickup Where is proof of this “ brilliant businessman”? I am no accountant but he appears cyclically solvent, at best. And it would seem that Trump “the risk taker” has, in fact, made much of “his” money from the coupons of rent collection and Apprentice salary.
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@elonmusk I don’t know about free but there’s a lot of cheap speech on this platform and from its “owner”
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@TedHZhang @parmita @vkhosla Your parents might be Chinese but you clearly dont understand the Chinese govt. ( And a lot of the real Chinese achievers in America CHOSE to go back to start businesses in China. So maybe they understand China a little better than you)
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Ted Zhang
Ted Zhang@TedHZhang·
@parmita @vkhosla It doesn't matter what a chart says (whoever even made that chart and what biases they have). If you go ask the Cubans, Venezuelans and Chinese (like my parents) who actually lived in socialism and communism, they smell it out from a mile away.
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Vinod Khosla
Vinod Khosla@vkhosla·
I may be irrational about Trump but it is hard for me to understand why half of Americans are ignoring the complete lack of values  for a position that should be a role model. And RFK trumpets himself as a "climate warrior" joining "drill baby drill" and ignoring climate, just to get an appointment. I have always disliked him for his anti-science vaccine stance but this "deal making"  (which is illegal if bartered) with no principles is really bothering me. And RFK didn't care if he "did a deal" with Harris (reportedly tried that) or Trump. I hope that is not "deranged" for calling a spade a spade? So again, my priorities 1. Better (not perfect but not despicable values) values 2. climate 3. economic policy.  Then many others. Incidentally, if you think about it,  climate debt (potentially trillions) is hard to pay off. Economic debt can be inflated away in the worst case, not that I am a fan of that.
Elon Musk@elonmusk

@vkhosla Community Notes ftw. Vinod, please stop being so deranged about Trump.

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Ted Zhang
Ted Zhang@TedHZhang·
What about the pure socialist principles of Kamala? The principles that would have prevented you from achieving the American dream, prevented all the innovation you have invested in to come to fruition and the 25% unrealized cap gains taking away your ownership and redistributing it to people who don't work and are idle - sloth being a deadly sin.
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@vkhosla Thank you Mr. K. Lovers of “ free speech” don’t seem too bothered that Trump tried to suppress the free speech of over 81mm Americans on Jan6, 2021. To say nothing of demonizing Latinos, Jews, Blacks and other “ shithole” people. Then again, the owner of this platform has too.
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Emini tic
Emini tic@TicTocTick·
Kamala, if she becomes President, will tax unrealized gains in stocks at 25%. This will obliterate the stock market. It will send it to 2000. $SPX
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@jimiuorio Because basic macro has scored such a triumph in predicting/avoiding or even explaining multiple fincl crises in the last 50 years alone. Should it be “ talked” by casual chatterers with self serving agendas or should we pretend it’s like chemistry and gives better living?
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jim iuorio
jim iuorio@jimiuorio·
Basic macro economics should be a requirement in school…save us a lot of frustrating conversations…
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@ILA_NewsX @elonmusk And about $ 44-46 bn also the blackmail, sorry free talk money Tesla Board gave the CEO
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Sometimes I wonder if I’m too defiant
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@elonmusk No. You should focus on your divinity more. Look, can i be Tesla CEO? I mean, it doesn’ t look like much work and I can do inane babble on Twitter also.
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@Geiger_Capital No. Powell predicted two years back that there would have to be pain to get inflation to target. Equities flat/up on news. Bonds more or less flat. So this was only news to YOU
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Geiger Capital
Geiger Capital@Geiger_Capital·
Job reports for the last year through March were overstated by 818,000… An average of 68,000 PER MONTH. The labor market, and economy, is much weaker than originally indicated. This is the largest negative revision since the GFC. The Fed is once again behind the curve.
Geiger Capital tweet media
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@MelMattison1 @MartyBent You are so right. Why can’t we take our stuff when there’s a fire or the Titanic is sinking or if a plane is crash landing? Im Tweeting this Madison…
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Mel Mattison
Mel Mattison@MelMattison1·
People have forgotten that, as James Madison said in so many words, our government exists to protect property rights no less than to protect individual liberties. Moreover, in some sense, they are one and the same. From Madison: “Government is instituted to protect property of every sort; as well that which lies in the various rights of individuals, as that which the term particularly expresses.” press-pubs.uchicago.edu/founders/docum….
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Marty Bent
Marty Bent@MartyBent·
The demonization of the productive class by the left in the US is sickening. It’ll start with taxes on unrealized gains, escalate to overt asset confiscation and ultimately physical harm against those who rightly try to protect their assets from the government.
Watcher.Guru@WatcherGuru

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Kamala Harris backs President Biden's 44.6% capital gains tax proposal, the highest in history. The proposal also includes a 25% tax on unrealized gains for high-net-worth individuals.

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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@mark_dow Associated… why do so many people ( particularly finance peop) start by saying “ I am not political. I am completely independent..” when they clearly are and quite right wing. I am an “ independent “ listener so would it be too much for me?
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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@fleckcap Parents/teachers censor their children when they talk trash (even teens) and that develops the skill of self-censorship. But maybe we’ve lost that skill in the age of instant all-share and we need a little help with basic restraint and manners. Leave the democracy fir another day
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bill fleckenstein
bill fleckenstein@fleckcap·
unfortunately, this is a great synopsis of where we are in the battle to stop the totalitarian suppression of free speech. of course, those who wish to censor us claim (absurdly) that it is to "save democracy".
Michael Shellenberger@shellenberger

Around the world, the crackdown on free speech is accelerating. In Britain, the courts are sentencing people to years in prison for things they posted on X, formerly Twitter. In the United States, the architects of the Censorship Industrial Complex are raising money for Kamala Harris in hopes of re-imposing government censorship on social media platforms after she wins. And in Brazil, the government has forced X to end its operations after threatening to arrest X’s employees in Brazil if the company continues to refuse to permanently ban disfavored journalists, influencers, and elected political leaders from its platform. The Brazilian government may soon block access to X in Brazil, forcing its citizens to rely upon VPNs, or virtual private networks, in order to access X illegally. On the one hand, none of these events appear to have anything in common. In Britain, there were riots triggered by misinformation that the killer of two children was an illegal immigrant. In the United States, the Censorship Industrial Complex emerged in reaction to the 2016 election of Donald Trump. And in Brazil, a single Supreme Court justice has taken it upon himself to demand extreme levels of censorship in reaction to the election of a populist president in 2018. But at another level, all of these events are connected. Starmer, Harris, and Lula have all embraced the first and most important step toward totalitarianism, which is censorship. This is even more alarming given the events of the last few days, when Harris announced that she would seek price controls on food and a housing agenda that would significantly expand the role of the government without increasing supply. I don’t think the labels of communist or fascist accurately describe the systems that Starmer, Harris, and Lula are creating. In some ways, those three leaders are drawing upon elements of both totalitarian systems. But trying to compare what’s happening now to what happened in the early 20th Century risks confusing us as to what is happening before our very eyes. But I do think the label of totalitarianism is accurate to describe what these leaders are doing and where they appear to be headed. Part of what’s so alarming about what they are doing is that they are melding together the demands of global capital and of Woke Leftists at the grassroots level. Both are driven by intolerance of free speech and free expression. Scarcely a day passes without the mainstream media attacking Elon Musk as a threat to democracy because he has allowed freedom of speech on X. Why are they doing that? Because the mainstream media are financed by and should be thought of as global capital’s marketing and propaganda operation. And, as alarming, there is strong evidence that those leaders are and have been working together to impose a censorship industrial complex worldwide. Europe, Australia, and Brazil have all sought to ban and censor disfavored views and individuals not just in their home countries but worldwide. Over the last decade, these governments, politicians, and political parties have worked to coordinate their work at the United Nations, World Economic Forum, and other NGOs that operate across borders. And reporting by Public and others has uncovered collaboration between intelligence agencies in all three nations. Media disinformation that populism poses a threat to democracy has increased the public’s support for online censorship. From 2018 to 2023, the share of Democrats who told Pew they wanted the government to engage in more censorship of disfavored online speech rose from 40% to 70%. An identical dynamic is occurring in Brazil and Britain, whereby the mainstream news media and Left-wing political activists have called for the censorship of their political enemies. Friends, I’m sorry to say, but this is what the global transition to totalitarianism looks like. Big businesses, left-wing governments, and the legacy news media have made clear that they cannot tolerate free speech online. They grew accustomed to controlling public opinion first through the legacy media and then through Facebook, Google, and Twitter. Global elites have made clear that they believe that freedom of speech on a single social media platform, and one that is far smaller than Facebook or Google, is intolerable. This desire for total control is the central characteristic of the totalitarianism that is presently emerging from elites at the corporate and political levels around the world. In addition to pushing censorship, these leaders and global elites are seeking to overturn liberal democracies and impose a radically different system of iliberal rule in the Western world. Rather than meritocracy and equal justice for all, elites are seeking to impose a Woke racialist hierarchy that gives preferential treatment to some groups and prejudicial treatment to other groups supposedly based on historic oppression. There are signs of hope. Recently, a group of censorsial advertisers called the group of advertisers, called the Global Alliance for Responsible Media (GARM) disbanded after X sued them. But X cannot defend freedom of speech alone. We need a global free speech movement to defend our fundamental freedom against tyranny. If we lose free speech we will lose everything else, including our civilization. The step between censorship and price controls and shortages will be a very small one. We are working with our allies around the world to raise the alarm. In June we gathered free speech advocates from the United States, Britain, Brazil, and other countries, and we are now working together on a combined effort to stand up for freedom and against the tyrants. If you’d like to support our work, please subscribe now to Public. If you can do more than that, please consider a tax-deductible donation to support the free speech movement. civilizationworks.org/donate The moment we have been warning about is approaching more rapidly than any of us expected.

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Jay Brazil
Jay Brazil@JBrazil22·
@J2dubyas Including “control” of the price of broad equities/risk assets by rates/QE over last 40 years? Because markets seem to beg for that in big corrections…
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