mink rugs and brink trucks

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mink rugs and brink trucks

mink rugs and brink trucks

@JSchwitzner

founder, investor, gambler

Katılım Mayıs 2021
6 Takip Edilen82 Takipçiler
Alex Mathew
Alex Mathew@alxmthew·
Introducing Berry (@berryaiplushies): the first anti-sycophantic AI companion in a stuffed animal. I'm only 17 and we just went viral on TikTok, raised money from incredible people, and now we're shipping to thousands of teens by Christmas.
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oliverb
oliverb@oliverbrocato·
hyper scaling rn. biggest bottleneck: can’t hire fast enough. we only want A++ talent. u send someone we hire → i send u $10k looking for: -2 founding engineers - founding CSM - content creator (30k+ personal following) - ghostwriter (twitter, linkedin, newsletter)
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ZEVIAN ♟️
ZEVIAN ♟️@maxx_Zevian·
@mil000 Yeah 💩 on him Cause you're a saint Man this is business 🤦🏻‼️
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Connor Paton
Connor Paton@connorpaton·
sunday recovery w/ founders and friends
Connor Paton tweet media
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signüll
signüll@signulll·
like a year ago the openai anthropic relationship was still like a sibling rivalry. now it’s full civilizational schism & i’m enjoying watching from the bleachers with popcorn. although the most interesting part maybe that there is no third player with anywhere near enough narrative gravity.
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@beffjezos you are just as reckless for promoting acceleration. none of the current infrastructure politically and socially is ready for the impact of true AGI. we are gambling with the future of humanity its important to be honest about risks. the upside is unlimited but the downside..
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Nick Donahue
Nick Donahue@PrimalNick·
The number of times I've seen Sam help people is beyond what I could have conceived. I always thought that people like him sat in an ivory tower and stayed away from everyone else. Not Sam. He is one of the most caring people I've ever met. He has helped so many people who had no name with absolutely nothing to gain. A recent example that has sat with me was about two months ago. Sam messaged me out of the blue about an Uber driver who had driven him two years ago. He said, "are you looking for like a sales intern with a technical background? i randomly met an uber driver, seems high potential but needs an early-stage startup to give him a chance. could also do cloud/devops stuff." The guy was an immigrant from Nigeria who was just about to get his green card, had spent the last few years getting two masters at school in the bay, was hustling an autoparts reselling business on the side to pay his bills during the day, and doing contracting dev ops work after hours for his friend. He was clearly hungry, humble, and blessed to be able to pursue the American Dream. Sam saw that, kept up with him over the 2-years, and chose to take the time out of his extremely busy day to help him however he could. This isn't normal. Especially not for people in his position. It's extremely frustrating to see the constant hate directed at Sam, because the person I've gotten to know is not the person portrayed in these articles or online narratives. Sam is deeply caring, extremely hardworking, and willing to help anyone.
Sam Altman@sama

I wrote this early this morning and I wasn't sure if I would actually publish it, but here it is: blog.samaltman.com/2279512

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Case Bradford
Case Bradford@Casebradford·
Past week or so… - $1.2B for Gruns greens gummies garbage - $1.2B for Huel plant-protein garbage - $20M investment for Create creatine gummy garbage All useless nonsense nobody needs on any level Meanwhile small farms selling real food are struggling to make ends meet…
Case Bradford tweet mediaCase Bradford tweet mediaCase Bradford tweet mediaCase Bradford tweet media
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@chamath this post is just an excuse for chamath to frame himself as an "elite" by using the word "we", in comparison to Meta employee (which he once was.) he is still spiritually zucks bitch and is insecure that despite being rich he still feels like a cattle deep down. sad
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Chamath Palihapitiya
This isn’t just a $META issue. It’s increasingly an issue for all of Tech. Because even within Tech, there is an emerging divide between AI-superpowered engineer/PM/sales folks and everyone else. And we know how that will end: Smaller orgs, bigger payoffs but then the riches distributed across even fewer players that it is today. And everyone sees it coming. Hence the rot from the outside and, now, the inside. To my peers and to the super entrepreneurs who are far more successful than me: This is why elites in tech that “have made it” are increasingly the ones that EVERYONE hates. We’ve not distinguished the difference between luck and skill that got us here. We don’t act as stewards in the broadest sense of the term. We aren’t bringing society along like other generations of super successful business people have. We don’t pay it forward in any meaningful way - although we have clever ways to make it look like we do. Mostly, people see us hording all the gains. Modern technology companies have essentially created a new form of indentured servitude for the educated masses where SBC was used to pay you an incredible living wage so you don’t go work “for the other guy”. But what does it mean to make $500k/yr if you still leak 55% to taxes then your landlord takes the next 25% for rent?? You still can’t buy a house in SV. These folks are on an eternal hamster wheel. It turns out it’s not much different than being in middle America making $55k.
Markets & Mayhem@Mayhem4Markets

A $META engineer went viral posting about how bad things are right now. 👀

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@PrimalNick @UserXY62_xoxo thats the point. we don't have to meet the president of america or know him personally to judge his character. in fact, if anything, you are among the least credible to comment on sam because you both have a mutual business relationship that is positive sum. you're retarded
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@OwenShroyer1776 revealed preference. the same engine that allows you to espouse your braindead political takes and earn a living is the same one that allows her to whore herself out and outearn you
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Owen Shroyer
Owen Shroyer@OwenShroyer1776·
I'm sorry, but when internet strippers live better than 90% of the rest of us, that is a problem. Not sure there is a "solution", but clearly our society is broken.
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the defining characteristic of a live player is constantly being tortured by the idea of mortality. you are on deaths doorstep constantly
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@nkecom you're gonna have to delete your tweets real soon. dubai dropshipper. talking about moats and ai and incredible product and all you have to show for it is a screenshot of an email you have NO MOAT.
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Nabeal Khan
Nabeal Khan@nkecom·
I can’t get this Grüns deal out of my head. Everyone focuses on the exit but I think what really matters is the acquisition on the other side. I don’t think there is any better vertical in the world to invest in right now than a subscription-based consumables brand. I’ll tell you why… Ai is clearly the future. But I don’t think the play is building an Ai company. My theory is that every Ai company will eventually get replaced by Ai. However, do you know what will never get replaced by Ai? Physical products. There is a massive misconception that ecom is a digital business. It is not. Go visit your supplier in China & tell him you run an online business. He will punch you in the face. SaaS is an online business. Ecom is not. Ecom is a physical business model operated remotely. The benefit for ecom operators is that ai tools are designed FOR US - not against us. I honestly can’t think of many other businesses models where this is the case. So, what is the biggest threat to ecom? I think it’s probably 3D printers. But i’ll tell you what 3D printers won’t be able to do (for a very long time at least) - print health products. For example, let’s say you’re selling electrolytes. You can’t just magically print a sachet with a dozen different ingredients. In addition to this - I think health & beauty are the two industries that are just going to keep on growing. - Health is only going to grow in size because people are aging with smartphones & access to information. This has never happened before. Everyone will be researching why certain changes are happening to them, thus pushing people down funnels. - Beauty is only going to grow because ai is going to make people feel uglier than ever before. Ai generates people more attractive than anyone you will ever see in your life. Think about how that will affect beauty standards in society - it’s a trillion dollar opportunity. So, if you want to build a $1bn+ business. I think if you look at the way the world is shaping up, it’s undeniable that a health-based DTC subscription brand is the play. All the macro factors are in your favour. You just need to make sure you optimize for these three things: - Build an incredible product Ai will soon kill your conversion rates if your product can be debunked - Nail your positioning (op) Ai will make building a brand easier. Why should customers choose yours? - Distribution-max Your advantage in ecom will always be your ability to compound attention that converts. Once you understand all this, you start to realize why ecom is the best mode to scale to a $1bn exit. If you are building in the ecom industry - I hope you appreciate how blessed we actually are. In a world full of doom & gloom, I can’t believe how bullish this industry is right now. It’s a generational opportunity. GOOD LUCK & HAPPY SCALING.
Shaun Eng@shauneng

x.com/i/article/2042…

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@nkecom im dying.. post the brand then you fucking dimwit. if there's a moat and you're getting a "huge multinational company to review your product" by the CEO you should have no problem blasting it everywhere. gruns did it. retard
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Nabeal Khan
Nabeal Khan@nkecom·
@JSchwitzner no my definition of an incredible product is when a doctor orders from our brand organically then emails us this. you are arguing with the wrong guy.
Nabeal Khan tweet media
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@JTLonsdale agreed. capitalism is undoubtedly the greatest emergent phenomenon ontologically besides the beginning of the universe itself
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Joe Lonsdale
Joe Lonsdale@JTLonsdale·
No idea if this is a good investment, but I love the quirkiness of capitalism. The same class of people investing to advance AI, innovate in healthcare, or revolutionize US defense are also conspiring to deliver us superior versions of delicious bagel and schmear shops at scale.
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta

Tiger Global just valued a bagel shop at $300 million. And the math actually makes sense if you stare at it long enough. PopUp Bagels started in 2020 out of a kitchen in Westport, Connecticut. Adam Goldberg was baking bagels for neighbors during the pandemic. Five years later, Tiger Global closed a deal in late March that values the company at 5x what it was worth five months ago. The unit economics are what caught Tiger's attention. Average transaction over $24. Five bagel varieties. Three schmears. 55 total SKUs while competitors run 200-300. Stores are 1,000-1,200 square feet. Each location hires 10-15 employees instead of the 50-60 a typical QSR needs. No ice machines. No soda fountains. No fryers. They don't sell individual bagels. You buy packs of three, six, or twelve. You grip, rip, and dip. That constraint does two things simultaneously: it raises average order value above the threshold where a small-format store prints money, and it creates a ritual that photographs well. Every customer becomes a content creator. The franchise math: $330K-$810K to open, $35K franchise fee, 6% royalty. They've signed 300 franchise units with fewer than 15 operators. That's roughly 20 stores per operator. Experienced multi-unit franchisees running large territories, not first-timers buying a single shop. About 30 locations open now, targeting 100 by end of 2027. Celebrity investors include Paul Rudd, JJ Watt, Michael Phelps, Michael Strahan. Stripes bought a majority stake in 2023 and brought in a real CEO, Tory Bartlett, in late 2024. Adam Sandler has a dedicated phone at one of the New York shops to call in orders. They literally call it "the Sandler Phone." Here's what Tiger Global sees. The same firm that backed Meta, invested in OpenAI and Waymo, has been exiting 85+ companies from its most recent fund to concentrate on fewer, higher-conviction bets. They looked at a bagel company and decided it belonged in that concentrated portfolio. The $300 million number only works if you believe 300 franchise locations actually open and hit the projected unit economics. At an estimated $6M revenue per location and 18% margins, 100 operating stores would generate roughly $108M in systemwide profit. At 300, you're approaching the kind of numbers that make $300M look cheap. The real question is whether the hype survives national scale. PopUp Bagels built its brand on scarcity, long lines, and social media energy. Every franchise system in history has faced the tension between exclusivity and expansion. Levain Bakery, funded by the same firm Stripes, is the closest comparable, and it stayed small. Tiger's betting the ritual travels. That the 1,100 square foot format, the five-SKU simplicity, and the $24 average ticket create something that works in Tampa the same way it works in Greenwich Village. If they're right, this is the most capital-efficient restaurant concept of the decade. If they're wrong, it's a $300 million lesson in the difference between a brand and a business.

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