Jason de Hustler

@AndrewHammel1 How about Target2? Did the Euro implode 10 years ago? German housing bubble 2016? You could honestly look up his high profile mispredictions yourself. They aren't exactly hard to find. Stelter isn't always wrong, but he predicts 10/2 disasters. Stelter is very. biased.

@JasonHustler Well then, please point to specific predictions he made which have turned out to be incorrect. Economists predict things all the time, it's easy to check their work!

1/ German economist Daniel Stelter, an actual economist who actually understands actual basic economic principles and doesn't force them through a candy-colored ideological filter (a rarity in Germany) explains why Germany's future is bleak: welt.de/wirtschaft/plu…

@Eisenkocher @maurerchr @ArashMV Backup Gaskraftwerke für den Notfall sind auch nicht rentabel? Die Frage ist welcher Mix am günstigsten ist. In den letzten Jahren war es eine sehr schlechte Idee gegen die Skaleneffekte zu wetten, und wenn ich mir z.b. BYD anschaue, dann ist da weiter sehr viel Fortschritt.

@Eisenkocher @maurerchr @ArashMV Weil Natriumbatterien erst jetzt "wiederentdeckt" wurden. Derzeit nicht annähernd die Skaleneffekte von Lizium. Deswegen verstehe ich nicht wie du dazu kommst die Rohstoffkosten würden dominieren, und daher gäbe es kein großes Potenzial mehr. 1/2

Mit 2700 GWh Speicherkapazität. Gerechnet auf Basis von vier Jahren ohne längere Dunkelflauteepisode wie z. B. im Jan 17. 2700 GWh kosten bei 200 €/kWh 540 Mrd. €. 70 GW GasKW Backup kosten eine Größenordnung weniger.

@Eisenkocher @maurerchr @ArashMV Wieso der Staat hier irgendwelche Subventionen verteilen??? Wenn man relativ bürokratiearm Speicher ans Netz bringen kann passt das. Tonne Lizium kostet > 15.000€ . Natrium gibts für 500€. Warum sollte das NICHT zu einer Kostenreduktion führen wenn der Rohstoffpreis dominiert?

@JasonHustler @maurerchr @ArashMV Ich glaube, dass eine weitere Halbierung der Gesamtkosten schon gar nicht mehr möglich ist. Wenn der Staat als großer Subventionsgeber auftritt, dann wird es nur teurer. Und wenn er es nicht macht, werden diese Batteriespeicher nicht gebaut, da sie sich nicht lohnen.

@e1nfachnurju Wer ist gerade verletzt?

Jüngere verstehen nicht wie gut er in seiner Prime war, einer der geilsten deutschen Offensivspieler der letzten 15 Jahre. Wüsste aktuell nicht mal nen treffenden Vergleich

@tadhg_2002 @ItsAndyRyan @willglloyd I mean sure it is flawed. I think it useful for the interpretation and the electoral setting in which Magyar operates. As for me, I will see what he does and judge by that.

@JasonHustler @ItsAndyRyan @willglloyd I mean I agree with this but I think it's fundamentally flawed anolge for so many reasons

Can’t understand these arguments. It’s like if we were made to choose between Theresa May and Nigel Farage. Obvious choice

@BeaBaethge @MAStrackZi @BerlinReporter @KubickiWo @Denkfabrik_R21 @_MartinHagen Zuckersteuer und Lebensmittelampel würden einige ihrer Parteigenossen vermutlich als linken Paternalismus bezeichnen. Vielleicht sollte man es mit diesem Lagerdenken nicht übertreiben.

@MAStrackZi @BerlinReporter @KubickiWo @Denkfabrik_R21 Sie sollten einfach in die 2.Reihe treten, Sie schaden der liberalen Idee, Sie sind zu nahe an all den links blinkenden Parteimitgliedern, @_MartinHagen

„Sie traut sich ja leider nicht, gegen mich anzutreten. Das hätte ich ja gerne ausgefochten.“ @KubickiWo bei der Konferenz zur Meinungsfreiheit von @Denkfabrik_R21 über @MAStrackZi.

@krichard121212 I guess they define intelligence differently? In any case, they are useful for some things and useless for others - just like other tools. Doesn't matter to me whether they are called "pattern matchers with RL" or "intelligence". I think you just to be aware of the limitations.

Why can't aibros just accept the obvious fact that LLMs can be extremely useful and solve hard tasks even with 0 intelligence? I can drive my car from point a to b, which achieves the same result as if i had walked from a to b. Yet, my car cannot walk and never will.

@kippenkurierin @carlos72_27 Nicht korrupt und für Rechtsstaatlichkeit hast du vergessen. Linke Ungarn freuen sich darüber, dass dieser minimal weniger rechte Typ gewonnen hat. Sollte man evtl. berücksichtigen.

@carlos72_27 eingeschränkt wer sich nicht freut dass orban wiedergewählt wurde (nur diesmal isser pro eu dann ist ja alles okay)

@pigeon__s @synthwavedd What are you talking about? The instruction following is great if you use API or Aistudio. If you are talking agentic, then that's software problem and not a model problem.

@synthwavedd literally all they have to do is make it better at instruction following which is trivially easy thats like what rlhf was invented for a decade ago i really just dont understand why they refuse to do that

deepmind better pray their next model is (a) good in real world use and agentic tasks and (b) not the laziest mf of all time if they want to compete properly

@tadhg_2002 @ItsAndyRyan @willglloyd Actually, I think it is, just with a different setup. Orban is pretty much "Farage in power". And no lib dems, no soc dems, no greens. May would also be different in such a scenario and with such an electorate. May wouldn't want to give Farage an opening.

@ItsAndyRyan @willglloyd I mean I agree but it's not the same as may vs farage

@FalkTG Jeder kennt sie. Die Leute die wegen zu vielen Beeren Diabetes bekommen haben.

The problem is also that people believe that high sugar fruits are healthy.

@Ego_Laa_Nsi @collinsbaba1 @FootyRush_ That was the year before?

@JasonHustler @collinsbaba1 @FootyRush_ Xavi did not win La Liga?

🚨🤯 Hansi Flick has NEVER LOST a league title in his career. He won the League title EVERY year, EVERY season.

@Bhess @slantchev If you are interested in the topic, then you should read this article. sethackerman.substack.com/p/europes-prod… EU could do better for sure, but US gaining on EU doesn't appear to be the reality. That narrative is the result of poorly weighted metrics and even more poorly interpreted stats.

@slantchev You’re breezing by the fact that the gap between the US and EU economies is widening year after year. EU is strangling themselves economically.

This is what happens when people don’t understand averages. As I often joke, one of our dogs is a crazy runner, the other can’t be bothered to get off the sofa. On average, we have a decent walker.

@Ego_Laa_Nsi @collinsbaba1 @FootyRush_ No, Barca did not win. They were second behind Real. Now they are winning it for a second time. And no, that's not any easier than winning the PL with City - no super special sauce required.

@JasonHustler @collinsbaba1 @FootyRush_ Flick has proven nothing in Barcelona. Barca was winning the league before he came. What did he do special? Winning the league in a season Madrid is failing?

@Ego_Laa_Nsi @collinsbaba1 @FootyRush_ Flick would not even have gotten the Barca job if they weren't desperate because people in the business were unsure if Flick had "what it takes". I think Flick has proven though that his Bayern sextuple wasn't a fluke. Honestly, Barca is a dream job for almost every coach.

@JasonHustler @collinsbaba1 @FootyRush_ Why is he sweating in a 2 team LA Liga?

@terryrus99 @Daractenus You can take any other Ex-UdSSR country in the EU and it will be the same story. Or better yet, take an aggregagate of all of them vs Hungary. The story is the same: Hungary underperformed them economically.

@Daractenus Maybe that's true for Europeans. For the rest of the world, who don't have fully formed views on any eastern European countries, comparing Hungary to any one single country seems fraught methodology.

With less than 24 hours left until Hungarians head to the polls, I figured it is a good moment to take one final look at what Viktor Orbán has achieved in his 16 years of uninterrupted, near absolute reign in Hungary, by comparing Hungary’s performance with that of Romania.🧵

@Ego_Laa_Nsi @collinsbaba1 @FootyRush_ I actually think Flick would easily win with the current ManCity squad. It is essentially a perfect fit for his style of play. Beyond Haaland it has better squat depth and defenders than Barca.

@collinsbaba1 @FootyRush_ Haha. Pep has been beaten black and blue and bruised all over. Take a proper look at his bald head and tell me what you see