Kalshibacktest

Backtesting your trading strategies for free is now possible with the kalshibacktest.com API. - sub second snapshots - entire orderbook depth and liquidity - underlying coin prices - and much more For the 15min crypto up/down markets on Kalshi No costs. Try it at kalshibacktest.com

@HopeAlpha_ A lot of people got cooked

Cooked. Can't believe France didn't score even one goal.🙃

@0xTengen_ @DG3_terminal @PolymarketSport @Polymarket France couldn't score

France vs Spain, World Cup semi-final predicting $100 on both teams to score at 60c Yamal, Pedri, Rodri vs Mbappe, Olise, Dembele i genuinely think both will find the net, their last head-to-head clashes ended 5:4 and 2:1 in favor of Spain i suspect spain is the only team left that can actually stop this current French squad France's attack is flawless, no doubt, but that only matters if the ball reaches them, against that spanish midfield, making that happen is extremely difficult then again, it's football and anything can happen i placed this play on DG3 terminal, same Polymarket order book, but every traded dollar climbs you up a milestone ladder for instant USDT drops, additionally, the order routing is insanely fast, an absolute must for catching entries you can join me and trade here: tinyurl.com/DG3xTengen Spain or France? Who will advance, what is your predict?

@syanovee How did it go?

Holy cow, I’ll make $20k with my today’s combo! Will be a tough game for both with Spain huge possession and France try to catch them with counters. Honestly, France -1.5 seems crazy, but their attacking potential is that big it may become true. Mbappe will be on fire today, as always. Do you think I have any chance to get in leaderboard with this combo?

@Deepppeth @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade One of them didn't happen

CT is heavily backing France. I'm on Spain🇪🇸 + Both Teams to Score. Either I found value, or I just donated another $1 to the market.

@KyleDeWriter The whale was right

Polymarket Whale stacked >$5.6M on Dictator Mbappe to lose against Spain today Earlier performs of this trader reach up to $3.7M profit on single match There're only 4 matches left till the end on FIFA World Cup Cumulative stakes are rising, so does this guy His current payback exceeds $10,300,000 and holding the same opinion I wish him luck

@0xForecaster @Polymarket @PolymarketSport @PolymarketTrade That was crazy

france went from world cup favorite to a rounding error in 80 minutes. spain didnt just go 2–0 up. they took france’s odds too. wild.

@eth_apple You bet on the right option

I know, I know. My brain says France will win. My brain says England will win. But my money went the other way. 😭 I have to bet against you guys so you can win. You’re welcome. 🫡

@0x_Punisher The Blockchain is always right

Your bot's log says it's winning 95%. The blockchain says 76%. One of those numbers is a comforting lie, and you're trading on it. Here's why you can NEVER trust your own bot's logs with money: This happened on a real bot. The internal log proudly reported a win rate in the mid-90s. The actual on-chain record, the only thing that touched real money, said 76%. That's a massive gap, and the log was the one lying. Here's why your logs drift from the truth. Your bot logs what it THINKS happened. It logs a fill it believes landed, a win it believes it caught, an exit it believes executed. But "the bot thinks it won" and "the money actually arrived" are two completely different things. Ghost fills, failed claims, orders that showed matched but never settled, all of it logs as a win your bot never actually got paid for. My bot wasn't working properly until i fixed it. Now it's sitting on $43k clean profit: <@0x13f0bcec1e2e60ec9acc3bee4d2da2fe9694a50f-1774334442364?via=punisher" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x13f0bcec1e2…> So here's the rule for anything involving money. Only the blockchain counts. Not your log, not your dashboard, not your internal win rate. The chain. And the chain reads simple once you know how. > Every Buy is an entry, real money went in > Every Redeem is a payout, real money came back > No Redeem means that position lost, full stop If there's no Redeem on chain, you did not win that one, no matter what your log says. This is why you build your logger to reconcile against the chain, not just record what the bot believes. Pull the actual on-chain history and rebuild your real win rate from Buys and Redeems. That number, the honest one, is usually a lot uglier than the one your bot is bragging about. Your bot's log is its opinion. The blockchain is the only scoreboard that pays. Trust the one that holds the money, that's my today's tip. And here's the most important part: ALWAYS backtest your strategy before going live. Just go here: <polyhistorical.com/?ref=punisher> Pick any subscription (i use Pro) and test everything here. This is what i do before launching any Polymarket bot. This tool collected all the historical data needed to evaluate your bot. Sharing another mega tip tomorrow. Also leaving an article that helped my followers start printing below.

@911loverPink This was a fun match

Today is the biggest repricing event of the tournament so far, and here's what nobody tells you about how these markets actually move. The repricing doesn't happen at kickoff. it happens in three windows: lineup drop (~75 min before), first 15 minutes, and the moment a favorite concedes first. Everything between those windows is noise trading against people who watch football like football. France–Spain is the sharpest version of this all year. Two live books, a winner market where these two hold roughly 60% combined, and a head-to-head where the cheaper team won the last two meetings. Every one of those numbers gets rewritten by 90 minutes of play - or by one red card in minute 4. If you've never watched an order book during a knockout goal, tonight is the day. You'll learn more about how prices actually form than from a month of charts. Not a prediction. A viewing guide.

@0xWast3 He has an edge in this market

This guy trades nothing but temperature - 6,896 predictions and counting No BTC, no sports, just precise degrees in cities across the world > 6,896+ predictions > NYC, Munich, Miami, Seoul, Wuhan > active since December 2025 his tactics: picks exact temperature buckets, not vague directions NYC 64-65°F: Yes, gain of $73+ Helsinki 15°C: Yes, gain of $53+ Munich 22°C: Yes, gain of $43+ Not a whale, a grinder - small and mid positions repeated thousands of times Some days red, some days green, the volume evens it out over time Not top 25 on the weather leaderboard, but a real, consistent player in a niche almost nobody watches copy his trades here → t.me/weatherscan_bo…

@Impij25 @betmoardotfun @PolymarketTrade How are u doing it?

A lot of people claim only insiders or quant firms make money on Polymarket and Kalshi I’m 20 yrs old, no degree, no Bloomberg terminal, started with a 6k deposit. I just trade all day and am always trying to improve!

@DextersSolab Lucky day for him

🚨NEW WORLD CUP MILLIONAIRE All thanks to Polymarket, conviction and 2 clicks. Today he made $4,166,758 clean profit. How? By predicting Spain vs France winner. His wallet: [@deeddit?via=dexter-molu" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@deeddit?via=d…] He's trading World Cup daily with almost 90% accuracy. Worth watching.

@iamigorekk @1winPro Spain played really good

The first semifinal is over. Spain vs. France @1winPro To the 90% of people who believed in France don’t worry. Olise and Mbappé were practically invisible on the pitch. And Lucas Digne got exposed yesterday so badly that, if I were PSG, I’d seriously think twice about signing him. Spain were outstanding in midfield. Fabián Ruiz and Rodri completely shut down every French attack. Lamine Yamal has won every match for Spain at both the European Championship and the World Cup when he has started. Think about that. Cucurella is in his prime. Vamos, Spain!

@0xSurferX @Polymarket This was a nice reward from them

Since @Polymarket added combos, retail traders keep making +10,000% PnL daily. This is another form of lucky tickets. You don't snipe 1% odds and pray. You stack conviction and multiply PnL by adding more legs. I'll try to apply it to automated trading. Will share an update.

@Class Let's see what happens

I trust the vision….

@ninedol He is having a loosing streak

This trader has lost -$427,000, and now his entire portfolio is concentrated in a single bet Just recently, his total profit exceeded $460,000. Now he’s already down $427,000, but a single match could turn his numbers around again. A few hours ago, he bet $95,600 on a French victory in today’s match. → French victory: $95,600 wagered at odds of 39.5 cents, potential profit is approximately $242,000 in the event of a win. If the bet wins, he will make a profit of approximately +$146,000, and his overall result will improve from -$427,000 to approximately -$281,000. If France does not win, he will lose another nearly $96,000, and his total losses will exceed -$520,000.

@rcom1337 That's fast

I MADE A MARKET ASKING IF BTC WOULD HOLD $63K THROUGH THE WEEKEND, JUST TO SEE HOW FAST PROPHET WOULD ANSWER After I posted the question, AI priced it and took the other side almost instantly. no waiting for the platform to list it or hoping that someone takes the trade. here its mechanics: → any question, any timeframe, nobody has to approve it → the AI is the other side of your trade, always → outcome settles itself, you don't touch anything → deposits and payouts in usdc, wallet comes built in Felt weird how fast it moved honestly, most places make you wait for someone to take the other side -here it's already sitting there. @prophetmarketai : app.prophetmarket.ai/?ref=Q6UDPB78B… not available in the US 🇺🇸

@sopersone That's sad

Top 5 traders who lost betting on France to win: > RJW1 ~$900k > dictatormbappesaveme ~$950k > 0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29 ~$1m > mooseborzoi — ~$500k > and me $194 haha different scale of pain, same pain

@AsymmInvesting @PolymarketTrade Try again

Sadly my 4500% Polymarket combo was not sufficient to crack top 5.

@goatyishere He won a huge amount from this match

SOMEONE JUST BET $15M AGAINST FRANCE ON WORLD CUP Polymarket trader just made a massive move: $8.3M on France NOT to win the World Cup $6.6M on Spain to advance Profile: @deeddit?via=goaty" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@deeddit?via=g… If Spain knocks out France, this position could turn into a multi-million dollar win