Kevin Anderson

First major IPCC report:1990 Rio Earth Summit establishing the UNFCCC: 1992 The Kyoto protocol:1997 Paris: 2015 Glasgow: 2021 So why haven't we bent the emissions curve in 30 years? We conclude power concentrated in 'elites' is a major obstacle to change annualreviews.org/doi/full/10.11…

【Must-see video!!】(It's a bit long, but worth the time investment) This video contains many important points that all citizens worldwide should understand correctly. (As a prerequisite for democratic decision-making) Full video: youtube.com/watch?v=mZdZJI… ------ [Some points that caught my attention → My opinion]: ① The strict timeframe for achieving the 2-degree target, and the fact that risks still exist → Isn't understanding from all citizens essential? (As a minimum requirement for democratic decision-making) ② The circumstances that make it difficult for scientists to convey the truth directly, and the postponement of action due to expectations of negative emission technologies, etc. → Isn't this quite dangerous, and aren't fundamental countermeasures necessary? (Information bias can lead to fatal decision-making errors.) ③ The fact that there is a significant imbalance in emissions and that responsibility is not uniform → While responsibility redistribution through carbon taxes, etc., is necessary, solving this solely through the current economy will concentrate the burden on the current generation and has its limitations; past CO2 cumulative responsibility must also be addressed. ④ Overall, a large-scale shift is needed, not just superficial measures → Isn't it essential to make efforts to reduce the scale of the economy and revise the global climate framework? (The "aspirational targets" of the Paris Agreement and the spread of renewable energy alone will not suffice.) ------ [My proposed measures] ①② 👉 Promoting scientific awareness among citizens and re-evaluating the role of science, etc.: x.com/ttmori/status/… ③ 👉 Redistribution of accumulated CO2 responsibility: x.com/ttmori/status/… ④ 👉 Global Citizens' Conference, Green Economic Zone, Degrowth Capitalist Mechanism, etc.: x.com/ttmori/status/… ------

@WHPAAD @mwt2008 @janrosenow On the Paris 1.5-2°C commitments we’re far from any sense of sub-optimal. Each year we fail to deliver the necessary rate of emission cuts, so the rate rises the next year. We’re still going backwards - just not as large steps as they’d otherwise be, but backwards nonetheless.

@mwt2008 @KevinClimate @janrosenow trying to use wit to factor-in every contingency in governing complex systems towards optimality is a fools errand. a policy here to patch a policy there and forever more. in the end, an obviously suboptimal sludge.

When I started working on UK energy in 2007, fossil fuels provided ~78% of electricity. Coal alone: 34%. Wind & solar: less than 2%. Today: wind & solar 33%, fossil fuels 28%, coal 0%. The chart below tells the story better than words can.

@holyZarquon_ @mwt2008 @janrosenow Certainly technology development is important. But the carbon budgets accompanying the Paris 1.5-2°C commitments point to the rapid deployment of existing technologies & profound changes in the hi-carbon social norms of wealthier citizens (& not just the billionaires).

@mwt2008 @KevinClimate @janrosenow It will be the continued uptake of private EVs that continues to drive research into battery chemistry. Safety, energy density, chemical composition, especially where non rare earth minerals are being explored.

I agree public and active transport should be prioritised over private EVs. But one benefit of EV scale is that it has driven down battery costs, enabling the electrification of buses, HGVs, rail and other public transport at much lower cost. Whether the scale of private EV uptake needed to unlock that is optimal is still a fair debate.

@mwt2008 @janrosenow It could do - but that requires explicit policy. Huge EVs; EVs impacting use of public transport; synthetic fuels for aviation & shipping; blue hydrogen; etc. I’m all for rapid electrification, but it requires accompanying policy to avoid rebound & other negative repercussions.

You’re right on urgency but isn’t “final energy” is a bit of a blunt metric Kevin? It treats all energy as equal, when ~2/3 of fossil fuel energy is wasted as heat and noise. Electrification doesn’t just swap supply, it shrinks demand: • EVs ≈ 3× more efficient than ICE • Heat pumps ≈ 3–4× more efficient than gas So that “<20% electricity” is doing far more than it looks. On a useful energy basis, electricity has been the largest provider since 2007. And in the real world: EVs + heat pumps are already cutting fossil demand faster than they add electricity demand. We absolutely need to move faster on the remaining sectors but the part we are transforming is doing or will do the heavy lifting.

@janrosenow Note: electricity is <20% of UK’s final energy consumption,the other 80% is almost all fossil fuels. So in the 19yrs of your energy career we’ve cut the carbon intensity of one fifth of final energy use (electricity) by ~2/3, but the other 80% of energy remains largely unchanged.

I started my energy and environment MA in 1987 & fusion was 40 yes away then; & it’s stayed like that ever since. What is it with Govts that want new unicorn techs rather than get on with what we have? Especially sorting out EE of buildings which is good for env; security & cost?

I was invited to contribute as an expert witness to the Scottish Parliament’s Net Zero, Energy & Transport Committee inquiry into the Scottish Govt’s "Draft Climate Change Plan". The video & transcript of my evidence (& of the other witnesses) is here: climateuncensored.com/evidence-to-th…

Trailer of me being interviewed by Rob Cooper for his podcast/YouTube "climateunf*cked". The full version is due for release tomorrow on @climate-unfucked" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@climate-unfuc…

@wittyeco Not sure why it has it opened for you? Others appear to have found the link works; perhaps try again: climateuncensored.com/evidence-to-th…

@KevinClimate Empty post? Even climate policy has more substance these days. 😉

@flir1040 @Karmageddon67 @PaulieIsHere @KevinClimate @Peter_Strachan @GeorgeMonbiot @rex_weyler Humans are also primed to collaborate too, as a survival strategy.

@ttmori Thanks for the link. I like the clear structure of your proposal. In my view the distinction between science&scientists needs to be drawn out; this fits with your preference for pluralism rather than single views. Overall your proposal deserves more than a short Twitter response.

@KevinClimate Here's my related Substack post (proposal). If you have time, please take a look. Redesigning the "Public Knowledge Circulation" to Restore Democratic Function: ttmori.substack.com/p/policy-propo…

「「2℃をはるかに下回る」気温上昇に抑えるという、より緩やかな目標は理論的には達成可能ですが、極めて厳しい条件下でのみ達成可能です。この目標達成には、世界全体で年平均約8%の即時かつ持続的な排出削減が必要です」 ケビン・アンダーソン教授の回答。

@KevinClimate Personally, I believe that crisis management should belong to the democratic realm (determining acceptable risk is essentially decision-making), but current scientific output is not digested enough for the general public (regardless of their level of education) to assess risk.

Important context to this thread is that we need to cut our carbon emissions *faster* than North Sea oil & gas is declining anyway - so there's no need for further exploration (graphic from @KevinClimate)

@ttmori I appreciate you saying that. It means a lot. I’ve always felt that honesty, particularly when we don’t share the same view, is the foundation for real understanding and progress.

@KevinClimate Thank you for your constant vital information and inspiration! I believe there is nothing more important than an honest voice from the scientific community. It is something that can never be replaced.

3️⃣ Professor @kevinclimate at the National Emergency Briefing: UK must cut emissions far faster than planned even to limit warming to 2°C. And that's before accounting for mounting evidence that heating has accelerated. Full talk: nebriefing.org/expert-briefin… #NEB2025 #climate