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Kevin Lu
7.3K posts

Kevin Lu
@KevinLuWX
Atmospheric Science. Top 20 ranked climate derivatives trader in USA. Former NWS Intern. Hurricane chaser (8 eyewall, 2 major).
Katılım Ağustos 2015
342 Takip Edilen719 Takipçiler
Kevin Lu retweetledi

Temperature near LAX just spiked 10 degrees in a couple of minutes. This is not sensor error because all the nearby private stations picked up on it as well.
Any guesses on what happened?
#wxtwitter

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@KevinLuWX on kalshi for the 1 december austin where did you find your source for 47 or below? On the official NWS website, they say the maximum temperature will be 49.
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Welcome to my weekend. I'm back home. My first task is documenting what happened in #Hurricane #MELISSA. That means compiling my data & reviewing my footage, clip by clip, to create an impact chronology. I'm rushing to get this to the NHC—they're already doing postanalysis, & any data from the inner core are highly valued. I'll release a preliminary report, with pressure data (which everyone's been asking about), Monday. 👊

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That infrared satellite image (on the computer to your left and the one attached below) clearly show that you couldn’t have gotten much (any?) closer to the eye without actually getting inside of it. As such, there’s zero doubt in my mind that you and those with you in Crawford experienced peak wind gusts of *no less* than 200 mph and very likely around 210 mph! If I’m correct in that educated guess, it would constitute the highest wind gusts ever captured on video by about 5 mph.
Although that unexpected last-minute jog (to the north) took you out of the eye, it also put you into the innermost portion of the eastern eyewall where the strongest winds were likely located.
Consequently, I’m very much looking forward to seeing the full video compilation of hurricane #Melissa!
I’ll add that only the residents on Galleon Beach probably saw higher *sustained* winds given they were on the coast and within 500 meters of the immediate shoreline…with Black River seeing about the same as your intercept locality, it appears.
Naturally, I’m just as eager, if not even more-so, to see the data you collected as I am the historic video you obtained…which is arguably more important from a scientific perspective.
Lastly, I know I’ve said it before, but it’s certainly worth saying again: you truly did an exceptional job on this chase, Josh! 👊

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Kevin Lu retweetledi

Man. #Hurricane #MELISSA. Incredible power. Perhaps the mightiest hurricane of the 83 I've witnessed.
My location (Crawford, a tiny beach town in St. Elizabeth Parish #Jamaica) took the full force of the inner right eyewall and may have seen the peak winds in this historic, record-smashing hurricane.
First pic: as it started to get scary. Bone-rattling gusts were making roofs explode into clouds of lethal confetti. The grand palm tree out front was starting to bend obscenely—in a way I found unnatural.
Second pic: after we bolted the door shut because it was getting too dangerous even to watch the storm. (I'd randomly ended up in the hotel's kitchen with a local family.)
The hurricane's inner eyewall was a screaming white void. All I could see through the cracks in the shutters was the color white—accompanied by a constant, ear-splitting scream that actually caused pain. (Notice the woman in the pic holding her ears.) The scream occasionally got higher and angrier, and those extra-screechy screams made my eardrums pulse. Meanwhile, water was forcing in through every crack—under the floor and between the window slats.
I remember shuddering at the thought of what was happening to the town—what this screaming white void was doing to people, homes, communities.
My fears were well-founded. The impact in this part of coastal St. Elizabeth Parish is catastrophic. Wooden structures were completely mowed down and in some cases swept from their foundations. Some concrete structures collapsed. The well-built ones—like my hotel—survived, but even they had major roof, window, and door damage. The landscape has been stripped bare—the trees just sticks. The roads are blocked with rubble and utility poles.
Nearby Black River—a unique old historical town right on the water—was smashed beyond recognition: historical sites destroyed, main streets filled with rubble, the town market twisted like a pretzel, even the regional hospital destroyed.
It's a good thing I wasn't in my hotel room during the storm because one of the windows blew out, showering the bed with glass and wood. The hotel lost most of its roof, and several third-story rooms were smashed open. But in the lower flooors, those grand old concrete walls protected us. And so far I'm aware of only two deaths in Crawford—a fellow who had a heart attack at the school next door (his body was still in his car and unclaimed the next morning, a sad and disturbing sight), and a woman who drowned in the storm surge in Gallon Beach. While walking down the devastated streets of Black River, I ran into the Jamaican Member of Parliament for this region, @floydgreenja. He's a great dude and I appreciate that he already has a gameplan for turning this catastrophe into an opportunity—to build this region back better. And I vowed on the spot that I'm going to make it my mission to spread awareness of this catastrophe and get that aid flowing in. I'll be talking about MELISSA a lot over the coming months—because it is both a fascinating meteorological event and a human disaster that demands an international response. (And I swear an epic video is coming out of this.)


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@SimonStormRider @BradArnoldWX The IR eye is bigger than the actual low level eye though.
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@NolaMike23 @ktkutthroat @iCyclone I wouldn't say so. The IR measure upper level, it's always more narrow at the bottom.
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@MavenSunrise @iCyclone Melissa is almost double the strength of Wilma at landfall.
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@iCyclone Florida meteorologists compare 2025 Hurricane Melissa to 2005 Hurricane Wilma. I experienced South Florida was without power for 1-2 weeks (longer in remote areas). The only temporary relief was the cooler temperatures after the storm. Like y'all, hoping to hear from Josh soon!
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@s_gatkins @iCyclone Comms usually go down several day until he leaves the disaster area. This is normal having chased hurricane myself. Anything stronger than Cat 3 has a good chance of knocking down comms.
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7:45 am. Good morning from Crawford, St. Elizabeth Parish #Jamaica. Wind starting to really howl. 991 mb. #Hurricane #MELISSA is coming.
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@KevinLuWX More than last ditch. It is a real option. Or Macau. Everything is on the table with this one. Keeping my options open.
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The data I got in Typhoon #Danas were nuts. Pressure increased by 9.2 mbr in 5 minutes. Not sure if that's even the steepest part.
My rough calculations yield a 7-8 mbr/nm pressure gradient. I'll do a more precise calculation once I piece together everything on a time series.

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@Mckinley_4th @_geopolitic_ The US gun policies make it possible for people with idiotic decisions to follow through with their idiotic plans.
And the rest of the world do not.
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@KevinLuWX @_geopolitic_ Shut up! How are you blaming half the country for one persons idiotic decisions
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@UnequivocallyB @_geopolitic_ Mentally unstable liberal who could not have gone through with the shooting in a country with guns abolished.
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@MooseMilk1985 @JaneDaisyPain @Dreslen1 @58bugeye To be fair. The difference is mentally unstable people in the rest of the world can't go on killing sprees even if they want to.
In the USA they can do it any day of the week.
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@JaneDaisyPain @Dreslen1 @58bugeye Its mental health, moron. Stable people don't go on killing sprees
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@TerrorBite03 @_geopolitic_ Simply not true. In countries like Japan/Taiwan with guns abolished, pretty much all premeditated murder are with knives.
It's impossible to get a gun unless you have backing of underground criminal organizations. A random crazy guy won't be able to get one even if he wants to.
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@KevinLuWX @_geopolitic_ No matter the gun laws ppl will always find a way. You can’t control that. Drugs are illegal but everyone has them
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