Kristian Bjørnhaug
362 posts

Kristian Bjørnhaug
@Kristian_B
futurist, strategist, blockchain evangelist
Oslo Katılım Mart 2008
791 Takip Edilen151 Takipçiler

Da starter vi Mind the Gap på Arendalsuka — Følg stream her: vimeo.com/event/3622518
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MDG går til valg på å innføre moderat turistskatt i Oslo, som skal gå rett tilbake til å oppgradere byens gater og byrom, som badeplasser og toaletter.
Det vil gjøre at vi får en hyggeligere og mer levende by for både turister og fastboende. Hva synes du?
aftenposten.no/oslo/i/abeoaL/…
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Kristian Bjørnhaug retweetledi

"Double" interest rate hike in Norway
The Norwegian central bank today announced that it raises the key interest rate with 0,5%.
It blames the weak currency (which increases import costs, which in turn feeds into prices).
But what has caused this weak currency?
Perhaps the central bank's policy of increasing the money supply by an average of 6,9% per year in the period 2002 - 2022 had something to do with it?
Yes, indeed.
When you increase the money supply like a drunken sailor, and pretend that you have the reserve currency of the world and that you can export your inflation to other countries, that of course has an effect.
Over 10 years, an annual average increase of 6,9% of the money supply doubles the amount of money in the society.
And in 20 years, it quadrupples the amount of money.
What do you think would happen in the market place, if a private company did something like that with the goods that it sells?
Just try to imagine that Volkswagen flooded the market with 4 times the amount cars in a periode of 20 years?
The answer is simple: It's impossible.
Volkswagen would bankrupt itself, most likely within 5 or 10 years if it tried to do something like that.
When the central bank and the government does the this with the currency, the effect is exactly the same - it bankrupts things.
The only difference is that it has zero effect on the "business" of the central bank and the government.
All of the costs of moneyprinting are shuffled over to the citizens and the privately owned companies. Some of the companies go bankrupt, while most of them are just being boiled very slowly - like the infamous frog.
In addition our central bank has been literally flooding the FX market with sales of NOK from April 2022. And the "funny thing" is that this goes on today, see link.
At its worst the central banks sold 4300 million NOK per day. This makes up 1,7% of the total FX market's trade of NOK.
It's like pooring gasoline on the bonfire with a high pressure washer.
Now, let's see what these policies have done to our currency:
If we compare 2008 with today, you now have to spend more than twice the amount of NOK to buy USD.
That's remarkable, considering that the US also quadruppled it's money supply in the 20 year period from 2002 to 2022.
And in 2023 NOK has even been outperformed by the Turkish lira and the Somali shilling.
Did someone yell "BANANA REPUBLIC!" ???
Now, what will the effect on the economy be in the future?
Well, sales of new homes is already as low as it was at the lowest during the financial crisis in 2008-2009, when we adjust for population growth. This part of the real estate market has basically fallen off a cliff.
Therefore - the home building sector will probably crash. I think we will se a number of big entrepreneurs go bankrupt already this summer and in the beginning of the fall.
Next up will be commercial real estate (industry, offices etc) and holiday homes.
And when those markets dry out - the prices of used homes in the biggest cities will also plummet.
Prices in the rural areas will be less affected, but it will be felt.
Furthermore - because real estate is the main part in Norway's money printing machine, the total amount of money we have in society will probably fall. Real estate is the most important collateral for loans, and when the value of the collateral falls, this will reduce credit generations, which in turn reduces the money supply. And when the money supply is deflated, all prices will begin to deflate.
And what happens when all prices are deflated?
The central bank and the government will panic, and drop the interest rate to zero or below zero again.
Which spells rampant price inflation, something which very well can be the end of the NOK.
Conclusion
Our central bank and our government is the root cause of the price inflation, the currency devaluation and the corresponding interest rate hikes.
It's a policy that is enormously destructive for our society.
Even the Joker would be impressed by the chaos they are creating.
norges-bank.no/en/topics/Stat…
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@Ruter Kan man ikke stole på reisegarantien?
Tjenesten deres kollapser fullstendig med kaos og ingen busser kommer, og en reise som skal ta 12 minutter går på 2 timer? Svar fra Ruter «det er jeg som kunde som skulle forutsett dette kaoset», som Ruter selv ikke klarte å forutse….
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Dagens gladsak, både Oslo og Viken legger inn ekstra penger til kollektivtrafikken i revidert budsjett :-) nrk.no/osloogviken/by…
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@Ruter Kan man ikke stole på reisegarantien?
Tjenesten deres kollapser fullstendig med kaos og ingen busser kommer, og en reise som skal ta 12 minutter går på 2 timer? Svar fra Ruter «det er jeg som kunde som skulle forutsett dette kaoset», som Ruter selv ikke klarte å forutse….
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T-banens linje 4 er tilbake i normal drift. Samtidig stenges vei og det blir venstresvingforbud for å slippe bussen fram i forbindelse med stengingen av linje 2 og 3 øst for Helsfyr.
ruter.no/presserom#/pre…
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@QuantumDom @crypto_birb Yes, the entertainers at O’Hare are more fun to watch?
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can you spot the difference?
twitter.com/lporiginalg/st…
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@Eunicedwong If u go east u will still be between the two hemispheres
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@cryptomanran Remember to open it under water and outside. Otherwise you will actually have to burn the studio down to get rid of the smell
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@maxkeiser This is this how much we humans have fucked up our situation, we’ll end up wearing ‘astronaut’ helmets on our own planet
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Kristian Bjørnhaug retweetledi

Dragon is on its way to the International Space Station! Capture by the @Space_Station crew set for early Monday morning
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Scientists achieve human brain-to-brain interface bit.ly/15gS6se
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Cyborgs, Warp Drives and Automatic Cars: The Most Futuristic Predictions That Came True in 2012: bit.ly/RWFcJf
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The first flexible, fiber-optic solar cell that can be woven into clothes: bit.ly/UiM4dP
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