SciotovalleyWX

@GKellerwx That sounding over my area 😛

I'm growing a little concerned for a hail threat in the Ohio Valley on Sunday, IF storms fire. A seasonally strong EML will move over the region, providing steep MLLRs with large CAPE in the HGZ, and almost 0 CAPE below... Would not be surprised to see a sig hail risk...

@ameliaUrquhart_ Vorticityyyyyy

I don't know if we've ever gotten such a good view of a polar low/arctic hurricane on radar before

Ohio is all like: 72 degrees and sunny Snow storm Meteor strike All in 48 hours.

@Stupercell I went down to Amelia for this and saw a horizontal funnel cloud (it was dissipating and fast) was definitely cool but when I woke up that morning to heavy rain at my house I knew it was over

Morning convection will always ruin everything

@PettusWX Actually performed decently for Ohio as well

Actually kinda impressed how it picked up on the prefrontal and actual front stuff forming together into 1 line. Working on some better sim options right now with Euro initiation.

@ConsWx Wow this is incredible thank you 🫡

AMAZING time-lapse of the Kankakee, IL EF3 tornado's formation and transition into a stovepipe and rain-wrapped wedge. 🌪 #ILwx

Thank goodness

Umm tornado warnings immediately

@JaydonShawwx One near pine bluff isn’t looking too bad at the moment. Maybe a merger? Who knows.

The storms in the red seem to be struggling with limited low level shear, areas right near the cold front have flatter hodos Areas further east would be more favorable for tornadic supercells

@StarInBoxWx Blizzard of 93 all over again 🫩

This seems like a pretty good reason to retire the NAM... (although it would be epic if this happened).

@StarInBoxWx That jet streak is just nuts. Tomorrow could be a big day for the East Coast.

An extra note, it looks like the HRRR may be undersampling the EML for tomorrow, as it's one of the models with the weakest MLLRs. It also doesn't depict the extra Low off the Appalachians like the other guidance does, which explains the more veered LL winds in the Mid-Atlantic.

One thing I'm watching is another smaller exit region near the base of the trough moving into the Carolinas & Virginia tomorrow. This could help with ascent in the OWS, along with perhaps some weak strung out Low development on the lee of the Appalachians. Interesting...

@JaydonShawwx I’m thinking an upgrade to moderate is still possible today but this is a big slop event.

*Unofficial forecast* Current thinkings -15 CIG1 tornado risk for prefrontals and strengthening QLCS -added CIG 2 wind risk for strongest part of the QLCS where 74 knot wind gusts may be possible - 13z and 14z HRRR have further increased my confidence in prefrontals

@Clint_wx Nothing just wanted to spread misinformation and false prophecy’s online 😄

@Landerk04 What’s happening then?

The season is OVER! ❌

@seckhardt We don’t need this in Ohio right now….

HRRR above ⬆️ RRFS below ⬇️ Now this looks like what you would expect.

That is a look I wasn’t expecting

@dubsinfive And the blowing dust..

okay, i’m gonna say it. it’s 3/14/25 all over again, from the fire weather all the way to the severe weather.

@SCweather_wx Qlcs out the wazoo

@JaydonShawwx All of these are bad dates but March 31st 2023 was prolific. Tornadoes everywhere. That was the first and only time I truly felt stressed by how many tornadoes were ongoing. Maybe not so many big bad tornadoes, but still over 140 tornadoes happened in 36 hours.

What do you think was the most significant tornado outbreak of the decade (so far)

Flash Flood Warning including Chillicothe OH, Washington Court House OH and Circleville OH until 8:15 PM EDT