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Larry Nieves 🇩🇪&🇻🇪
5.8K posts
Larry Nieves 🇩🇪&🇻🇪
@LarryNieves
Software Entwickler / Libertär / Kleinanleger Tweets in English, German und manchmal Spanisch
Hamburg, BRD Katılım Ocak 2008
204 Takip Edilen634 Takipçiler
@DeItaone depends on the WTI price friday evening at the close!
WTI > $95 => deadline postponed to calm markets
WTI < $95 => Bomb away as he has space to let prices climb a bit, follow by "Peace Plan" announcement next monday morning before markets open
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TRUMP: DON'T KNOW YET IF FRIDAY DEADLINE FOR IRAN WILL CHANGE
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@CurtMills the tragicomic fact is that American will likely punish the republicans by electing the democrats, who are equally bloodthirsty and beholden to the Israel Lobby, ensuring nothing really changes (which at this point, we can say it is a feature of the system)
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Hill Republicans literally value Israel and the Iran war over their own political survival it is unreal x.com/triggerpod/sta…
TRIGGERnometry@triggerpod
Could the Iran war cost Republicans the Senate? “I don’t disagree with the proposition that politically… where we are right now is a challenging position for Republicans.” In this clip, @KonstantinKisin asks @SenTedCruz about the political risks of ongoing U.S. involvement in the Iran war, highlighting how @Kalshi odds have shifted from strongly favouring Republicans holding the Senate to a much tighter 50–50 split, and questioning whether the duration of the war could carry a growing domestic political cost.
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@DefensePolitics right, so the delivery was secret, their launch was secret, their interception and failure was secret.
and we are supposed to draw some kind of conclusion from this garbage?
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🤔
Inside_Israel_Intel@inside_IL_intel
China China secretly supplied 50 CM-302 supersonic anti-ship missiles to Iran. During the ongoing war, Iran reportedly launched them, but none hit their targets, either intercepted by the U.S. Navy or failing mid-flight due to technical issues. Chines equipments failing again 24 MAR 2026 | 08:00 ET ET SOURCE: Daily ISRAEL24 (@dailyISRAEL24)
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@Sonja_Alvarez @BeneBecker @wiwo die FDP muss endlich sinken und nie wieder auferstehen. Das wäre gesund für die Bundesrepublik.
Schlimmer als keine liberale Partei zu haben ist, eine scheinliberale Partei zu haben. Eine Partei mit liberale Rhetorik, die in der Regierung Grün-Rot agiert
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Die FDP ist intern zerstritten und den meisten Deutschen inzwischen völlig egal, schreibt @BeneBecker - und meint gerade deshalb: „Was für eine Chance für ein liberales Comeback“. Sehr lesenswerter Kommentar @wiwo wiwo.de/politik/deutsc…
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@DefensePolitics The world is realigning and it is sad we have such morons as von der Leyen and Kallas at the helm. Of course we should stay out of the war, but at the same time we should make a deal with Russia and the Ukraine fiasco immediately
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I told ya.... "this is not our war" is expensive.
Lord Bebo@MyLordBebo
🇪🇺🇺🇸 US threatens to cut (favorable) access to US LNG if Europe does not vote for the $750 billion deal. Nice timing! Europe spent years getting away from Russian gas to US gas, only for the US to use this very same gas as pressure. European leaders don’t understand leverage and business at all. They’re dismantling Europe step by step.
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@sentdefender is it so difficult to place a damn link to the source?
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According to a U.S. intelligence report, assembled prior to the anti-government protests in early January, which was shown to President Donald J. Trump a week before the start of the Iran War, Reza Pahlavi, the Exiled Crown Prince of Iran, they concluded lacked a sufficient network inside the country to lead an effective overthrow of the Islamic Republic.
“They never took him that seriously,” Vali Nasr, a Professor at Johns Hopkins, said of the Trump Administration. “There’s a difference between having an organization on the ground versus just having people who like you. If you’re going to help change a regime, you have to have a ground game.” Trump and his aides began referring to Pahlavi as the “loser prince,” according to The New Yorker.
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@GeromanAT so, on the one hand they "unsanction" iranian oil, so they can sell it and mitigate the rise in prices. But on the other hand they're going to capture Iran's main oil export terminal, which would stop 90% of their exports
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@SupplySignalAI @HayekAndKeynes You are assuming for some reason that US energy would remain cheap in the event of permanent supply disruption from the ME. Think about it, why do you assume that?
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Brent at $100/barrel and Hormuz traffic at a standstill. Meanwhile US production is hitting 13.6 million barrels per day. The cheap energy advantage shifts manufacturing economics by $200-400 per ton for steel and chemicals. That's the real supply chain play here. European and Asian manufacturers now face a permanent cost disadvantage against US energy-intensive production. The manufacturing reshoring everyone's been talking about for five years might finally have its catalyst.
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The Middle East is on the verge of blowing itself to pieces and while it will be expensive for households, the US will become the most dominant energy player on the planet and potentially a manufacturing powerhouse (especially with the revival of the EPCA which prevents the export of US oil).
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@DefensePolitics You need to think this through, Wyatt. Oil ⬆️ means consumption and profits margins of all companies (except oil producers) ⬇️. If sustained ➡️ recession will hit, companies+individuals bankrupt ➡️ tax revenue ⬇️ deficit ⬆️
"The USA" will not make much money
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Thats gonna make USA so much money.... Iran really know how to make Trump happy... =="
Megatron@Megatron_ron
BREAKING: 🇮🇷🇶🇦🇸🇦🇦🇪 Iran is about to blow off all the energy facilities in the Gulf Iran has issued evacuation orders for all energy facilities along the Gulf in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE. This comes after US and Israel bombed their gas infrastructure today.
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@Behind_The_Syst @zerohedge 😂🤣 I love your enthusiasm, but do you even have an idea of how much oil production and transport has been shut down because of the Trump debacle in Iran?
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Trump just invoked the Defense Production Act to bulldoze California's green regs and greenlight Sable Offshore's restart of massive Santa Barbara offshore oil platforms—aiming for 45k-60k barrels per day of domestic crude to crush sky-high gas prices from the Iran war. No more waiting on eco-bureaucrats or state blocks. Federal power overrides, energy dominance restored! 🇺🇸🛢️💪
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In den iranischen Streitkräften zeigen sich ernsthafte Risse.
Berichten zufolge steht das Militär unter extremem Druck: Es gibt Versorgungsengpässe, Desertionen und zunehmende Spannungen zwischen der regulären Armee (Artesh) und der Revolutionsgarde (IRGC).
Steigende Desertionszahlen: Gruppen von Soldaten sollen ihre Stützpunkte verlassen und in umliegenden Städten Zuflucht suchen, da die Lage immer schlechter wird.
Krasse Versorgungsengpässe: Manche Frontverbände operieren demnach mit minimaler Munition, kaum Nahrung und kaum Trinkwasser.
Fast keine Munition ausgegeben: In einigen Fällen sollen Einheiten nur 20 Schuss Munition für jeweils zwei Soldaten erhalten haben.
Spannungen zwischen Armee und IRGC verschärfen sich: Quellen berichten, dass IRGC-Angehörige verletzt transportierte Artesh-Soldaten nicht in Krankenhäuser gebracht hätten – mit Verweis auf fehlende Krankenwagen und Blutkonserven.
Auch IRGC-Einheiten stark belastet: Selbst Raketenverbände sollen mit Kommunikationsausfällen sowie Mangel an Lebensmitteln und grundlegenden Vorräten zu kämpfen haben.
Fragwürdige Prioritätensetzung der Führung: Die militärische Führung scheint den Fokus darauf zu legen, die Raketensysteme einsatzbereit zu halten – statt die Fronttruppen angemessen zu unterstützen.
Reservistenmobilmachung scheitert: Viele einberufene Reservisten sollen gar nicht erst erschienen sein, sondern stattdessen ihre Familien in Richtung Grenzgebiete gebracht haben.
Es zeichnet sich das Bild eines Militärapparats ab, der unter immer stärkerem innerem Druck steht, während der Konflikt an Intensität zunimmt.
The Iran Watcher 🇮🇷@TheIranWatcher
🚨 Serious cracks are emerging inside Iran’s armed forces. Reports describe a military under severe strain, with shortages, desertions, and growing friction between the regular army (Artesh) and the IRGC. ⚪ Desertions rising: Groups of soldiers are reportedly abandoning bases and seeking refuge in nearby towns as conditions deteriorate. ⚪ Severe supply shortages: Some frontline units are operating with minimal ammunition, food, and drinking water. ⚪ Minimal ammunition issued: In some cases, units reportedly received only 20 bullets for every two soldiers. ⚪ Army–IRGC tensions worsening: Sources say IRGC personnel have refused to transport wounded Artesh soldiers to hospitals, citing ambulance and blood shortages. ⚪ IRGC units also strained: Even missile units have reportedly faced communication failures and shortages of food and basic supplies. ⚪ Command priorities questioned: Leadership appears focused on keeping missile systems operational rather than supporting frontline troops. ⚪ Reserve mobilization failing: Many reservists summoned for duty reportedly never reported, instead leaving to help families move toward border areas. The picture emerging is of a military system under growing internal stress as the conflict intensifies. [@IranIntl]
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@mtmalinen I don't think Trump's homebase has british accent.
But anyway, what are they gonna do, even if that were the case? Vote for the democrats, who didn't even pretend to want less foreign wars ?
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The homebase is collapsing.
Suzie rizzio@Suzierizzo1
This is how most of this Country and others are feeling about what Trump has done by going to War with Iran!
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@grok @ShaunDEllis1981 @DrEliDavid @grok, the clip is 1:21 minutes long. That's not the only thing he says. Translate the entire clip
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The video is from Iranian state TV (SNN). It features police chief Mohammadreza Radan in a studio interview, with inset footage of nighttime protests/crowds.
He says (translated from Persian): "If people take to the streets to protest, we will do to them what we have done to the enemy. Our hands are on the trigger."
The quote matches reports from multiple sources on his threat against protesters.
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🚨 Breaking: Mohammadreza Radan, head of the regime's Police, threatens to massacre the protesters again:
“If people take to the streets to protest, we will do to them what we have done to the enemy. Our hands are on the trigger.”
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@mtmalinen I learned long time ago that anybody who speaks with "certainty" about the future is a fool who doesn't know what he's talking about. But interesting points nonetheless
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"They started something they have no chance of finishing. When this all ends, the U.S. will never return to West Asia. There will be no American presence in the Middle East.
I'm telling you this now with certainty."
𝐃𝐚𝐯𝐢𝐝 𝐙 🇷🇺🇮🇪@SMO_VZ
BRILLIANT PIECE on IRAN !!!!! Alon Mizrahi, an Israeli journalist, one of the most worthy Jews in the world: "We are witnessing history. Iran, to everyone's surprise, is destroying American bases so thoroughly, on such a large scale, and so decisively that the world is not ready for this. In 4 days, Iran has managed to expand its sphere of military dominance in the region. Iran has destroyed the most valuable and expensive military bases, property, and equipment in the entire world. The American bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia are among the largest military facilities in the entire world. These facilities have cost trillions of dollars over several decades to build. We are talking about the fact that the bulk of the military spending that has been made over more than 30 years has gone up in smoke. We see radars costing hundreds of millions of dollars each being destroyed in an instant. We see entire military bases being abandoned and burned, looted, and destroyed. And I'm telling you, as far as I know, the U.S. has never suffered such destruction in its entire history, except perhaps for Pearl Harbor, but that was just one attack. No enemy in a conventional war has ever done this to American military forces as Iran is doing right now. It's hard to believe. The military situation is so serious that censorship is blocking almost all new information about this war. If you've noticed, we're getting less and less information every day. Thirty-five years ago, during the first Iraqi war, we were shown endless footage from Iraq. Back then, smart bombs and cameras were a novelty, but every night we were shown night-time footage. Now we hardly see any videos at all. Understand this! Supposedly, this is the world's largest military power, with the world's largest air capabilities, and on the fourth day of the U.S. offensive, supposedly and supposedly breaking through Iranian defenses, we don't see any signs of American dominance in the Iranian sky. Where are all the video recordings of our planes flying over Tehran or any other part of Iran, for that matter? American soldiers can't even dream of setting foot on Iranian soil. And to understand how desperate this war is, on the fourth day you're already hearing the most insane proposals and ideas from the Trump administration. They're proposing sending military escorts for oil tankers leaving the Persian Gulf. What are you even talking about! You want to send American ships into the zone of destruction of thousands of Iranian missiles? NOW no one can get through the Strait of Hormuz. The Iranians have been preparing for this for decades. They're flaunting the idea of arming Kurdish militias to invade Iran. What the hell are you talking about? Have you seen a map of Iran!? It seems the Trump administration has never seen a map of Iran! Do you know how vast it is? What does it mean to invade Iran!? Do you think a militia of 10,000 people could invade Iran!? Or even 50,000? Or 100,000? Iran will swallow them up. The U.S. and Israel have already lost this war. The U.S. and Israel can kill millions of civilians in their homes. They have powerful bombs and can blow up buildings, but they won't win this war. Iran's military infrastructure and weaponry is deep underground all over IRAN. Neither the Americans nor, especially, the Israelis have any chance of reaching any of it. They're in deep shit. They started something they have no chance of finishing. When this all ends, the U.S. will never return to West Asia. There will be no American presence in the Middle East. I'm telling you this now with certainty." t.me/Palestinianspi…
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@agarra_pala @JMilei @grok en cuánto se estima la inflación de precios minoristas en febrero de 2026?
Español
🚨🦁LABURANTE DOMA A NOTERO K DE C5N CUANDO HABLABA DE LOS PRECIOS Y LOS DESPIDOS
“AHORA LA INFLACIÓN ESTÁ MÁS BAJA. EL ANTERIOR GOBIERNO NO FUNCIONABA, HAY QUE DARLE UNA OPORTUNIDAD A MILEI, NO PUEDO ECHARLE LA CULPA” @JMilei
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@neilksethi @grok what's an "RMP" in this context, and why would Warsh even try to reverse them?
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Thank you @PatrickCeresna! After yesterday's "Where is the trade" I took profits on all PM LEAPs and put much smaller bull call spreads, just in case the rally continued the parabolic rise.
I would've been crying otherwise! Now I'm very relaxed watching the carnage unfold
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how stupid do you have to be to decide that removing "sort by upload date" is a good idea? @youtube
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