Lavan Pathmanathan

@StrategyMaxi @trace_halvorson $8 billion for $MSTR raises market cap by less than 15%, $8 billion for $ASST is a 500% gain. It's your call which is better risk-adjusted.

@trace_halvorson Strive will not be able to raise $8 Billion through SATA without jeopardizing BTC risk. Strategy could raise another $8 Billion without any issues... You will see why Total BTC matters in the long run.

No, I don't have beef with $ASST at all. I challenge illogical analysts like Adam Liv who blocked me. That says a lot! More amplification does not equal more performance. There will be winners. But there is only one World Cup for grabs. Strategy wins Performance.

@matthughes13 KOSPI was flying high. Samsung makes up 25% of KOSPI. Samsung employees announced a strike. KOSPI fell, taking S&P futures down with it. You can see it clearly in the chart below starting from around 8:30 pm ET last night.

The news will probably blame this morning’s red markets on Xi warning Trump that mishandling Taiwan could spark conflict — calling it a “red line.” Or ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Or officials tracking a hantavirus outbreak affecting dozens across multiple states. But the reality is the markets are overextended and simply need a cooldown. Levels I am watching to hold today are: $SPY 740 $QQQ 700 $IWM 275 $TSLA 429 $COIN 197 $NVDA 217 $AMD 419

@CynicalTrader82 @Hedgeye Inflation doesn't mean stocks fall. Inflation usually goes up during bull runs. Look at the 1970s and 1990s.

@LavanPath @Hedgeye Also look where we were in 2021 just before the bear market in 2022. The chart isn't lying. We are headed for the EXACT same inflationary scenario as 2022.

🚨 Margin debt as a percentage of real GDP soars over 5%

@askslim We will have small pullbacks and consolidation while the overall trend remains positive for another 2-3 years. Then we will get the big drop. We are still super early in the AI boom, plenty of room to run. We haven't even seen the true benefits of AI in earnings reports yet.

Anyone who has studied markets knows what we’re seeing now is an extreme. Historically, extremes give back much of what was gained or lost in panics. The only question is how fast. Off bottoms it’s usually very fast. Off tops it’s usually much slower — except in cases like 1978, 1987, or 2020 when declines were precipitous. So the question is: When this stratospheric move ends, how long will it take to reverse into a sizable correction?

@BTCoptioneer I will go with the one that isn't down 11% since IPO. Clearly there isn't as much demand for $STRD as $STRC or $SATA. Who says $STRD can't go lower? $MSTR > $ASST $STRC > $SATA > $STRD

$SATA: 13% yield, daily dividends, low volatility, no upside potential. $STRD: 13% yield, quarterly dividends, high volatility, some upside potential. Which one?

@matthew_sigel I don't think it will negatively affect mNAV. They will continue to hit the common share ATM to keep the amplification around 40-50%.

Strive $SATA preferred moving to daily dividends 🤯 ($MSTR needed a shareholder vote just to go 2x/month, not sure why the difference). Bad for mNAV, good for Bitcoin imo

@bleighky $520 per business day. $356 average per day. Not too shabby.

Buy $1M of $SATA Make $356/day of passive income. 🤯🤯

After the announcement of daily dividends payouts, $SATA is already back above par. Keep an eye on $ASST, it is about to go bonkers.

@michael_kove @TheManlet_King Get out of here with your logic! Let's just blame Obama since we don't know basic economics.

@TheManlet_King Money printer to bail out sub prime mortgage collapse

Everything and I mean every conceivable chart for quality of life peaks or has its final peak at 2007. If only we could figure out what about 2008 ruined life in the west...

@janowitz @benjamincowen Yup, we are fighting in Ukraine. Great reply, bear.

@LavanPath @benjamincowen As temporary, like in Ukraine?

United States Producer Prices Change (PPI) Actual: 6.0% Estimated: 4.9% Prior: 4.3%

@ZynxBTC $NAKA makes the most sense.

Strive will announce a big M&A deal tomorrow. It's the only thing that makes sense. The new SATA + STRC ETF is nice but not worth this level of hype. I'm expecting a significant jump in the number of Bitcoin on their balance sheet when all is said and done. Bullish on $ASST.

@BTCtreasuries Getting rid of the evidence after getting called out for the 10:00 am dump.

JUST IN: Jane Street just disclosed it sold 78% of its Strategy $MSTR shares and 71% of its #Bitcoin ETF holdings, bringing its total BTC exposure down to $367 million. READ MORE: bitcointreasuries.net/news/jane-stre…

@CyclesFan Fed won't do anything this time. Because this time the inflation is truly transitory due to the Iran war.

The last time U.S PPI surpassed the 6% threshold from below was in April 2021. It kept rising until it peaked at 11.3% in June 2022. The Fed started raising rates only in March 2022 and that resulted in CPI rising to 9.3% in June 2022. What will the Fed do this time?

$IREN is a good add here at 54.24. The convertible bonds offering should close tomorrow morning or after hours. That should cause a pump. Moreover, IREN has had incredible volume this week, that should have easily facilitated $1-2 billion in ATM proceeds. $NBIS' stellar earnings should help the entire sector as well.

@benjamincowen Thanks, Ben. Appreciate it.

@LavanPath Here it is since 1953

Going back to 1928: The worst returns for the S&P 500 have occurred under a Republican president with a Democratic Congress or split Congress. The best returns have occurred under a Democratic president with a split Congress. Republican sweeps and Democratic sweeps offer similar returns.

@IntradayCycles For those wondering, the chart that goes up until around May 20th is the inverse. With the data we have so far this month, it looks like we are following the inverse. That's why it was switched and appears as the first chart in the latest post.

Here is $SPX May 2026 Forecast update, also posted is the inverse. Looks like it's going w/ the inverse. The charts are not scaled for Price.

@LandoInvests @EyesUnWoke It's up 8% in the 4 hours since you sold. You can try to spin this any way you want, but holding is the best way to build wealth.

@EyesUnWoke x.com/landoinvests/s…

Big announcement for me: Sold ~60% of my $IREN shares after the news at $56.5. Why? These were in my Roth, and I’m expecting more downturn before we get any positive news Cost basis in Roth is now ~$38, will be looking for opportunities to add to $IREN again Still long.