7:17 PM RADAR...
What are you seeing out your window? Moderate to heavy snowfall is beginning across much of eastern Pennsylvania, a little bit west than modeled from this afternoon. Eastern Pennsylvania, especially east of I-81, is set for a high-end winter storm tonight. Stay safe! #PAwx
@reginamrc6@6abcadamjoseph He’s using the model to confirm his line of thinking…. Models at this point should not be used. This is currently a nowcasting event
MODEL CORRECTION HAPPENING
This is raw data.L, not my forecast. Just wanted to show you the first image on the left is the GFS last night, the right is this morning. Yesterday I talked how I believed the extreme totals on some models would back off. This lines up with my totals
@serviceguynj It's on the line.. I am closer to 4" over Monmouth county.. lesser to eastern. This has a high BOOM potential to over perform in N.Monmouth county ie colts neck area
5AM STORM UPDATE | INTENSE SNOW BANDING ❄️⚡
IR simulation clearly shows why tonight’s storm will be impactful — the HRRR is advertising very cold cloud tops, a signal of strong vertical motion. This is why viewing the storm top-down matters.
Despite very marginal warming near 700mb (a brief sleet layer over NYC), a cold inversion above is allowing convective cooling to take over. That strongly suggests the sleet phase may be short-lived or nonexistent in spots. South of that it's a bit more complicated where Monmouth county may switch a FEW times!
As precipitation expands and intense mid-level lift increases, the environment becomes favorable for elevated convection. Yes — thundersnow is on the table.
This dynamic cooling supports my forecast of widespread 6”+ totals from NYC north, with localized higher amounts where banding sets up.
📺 LIVE storm tracking now on @PIX11News
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Wish list tonight. Putting it out in the universe
Help/Slipknot/Franklins
Standing on the Moon
Althea
Saint of Circumstance
Tennessee Jed
Sugaree
Crazy Fingers
@AllynPaul Only natural to focus on warm season since you moved. I still watch no matter what and appreciate your knowledge. Poa annua and creeping Charlie will not defeat me this year. Say a prayer for me 🤣
@Lou_Mistretta yeah since I moved to FL that is what most of it is - but all my guides still have cool season content. I also travel up north a couple times a year and film. this year I'm doing a spring seeding in Montana
People get a little knowledge and then use it to tear people down. Some even become "activist" over it, thinking they have to set right all the perceived wrongs they see. It's just lawn care y'all. You've lost the plot. Happens every year in spring...
For the NBC Sports group calling the Eagles Game on TV, it should start snowing in Philly soon. I have enough people ripping me on social media, do I have to hear it on TV too?! :) #SnowTrain