Jean Lucasse

@AlexC2801 @Playfra0 Je suis d’accord avec vous.

@LucasseJea3960 @Playfra0 Well its not going to fall the next week 🤣

In Kostyantynivka, the situation remains stably difficult and slowly continues to worsen. In the past days, Russian forces, infiltrating along the main highlighted vectors, pressured and "strangled" the city as usual from the northeast and southwest sides. The heads of the vectors represent, approximately, the farthest points of the individual infiltration fluxes. Northeast side: Russian infantry infiltrates through the forest massif east of the city, periodically taking shelter under the greenery, in dugouts, and in basements of former dachas, complicating FPV work. From the forest, Russian infiltrations split in two vectors: 1. They run into Kostyantnyivka's Hora district, where they move under cover of densely packed buildings to advance up to the Staryi Piter district. 2. They continue northwards into Novodmytrivka, then choose to enter another forest (highlighted in orange) for better cover before entering Molocharka from the south. Southwest side: This flank holds up relatively worse than the northeast one. The main flux of Russian infantry accumulates in Berestok's basements (highlighted in orange) and splits up in two vectors: 1. The Russians move northwards into "Perspektyva", then into Illinivka, then the Chervone Mistechko district of Kostyantynivka itself, and then into the Tsentralniy-Belhiiskiy-Suputnyk districts area up to the "Kvarsit" factory on the shore of the Kazenyi Torets River. Claims of crossings to the other side into the chemical plant and "Stroysteklo" factory do not correspond to reality. 2. The flux goes either northwards into "Perspektyva" and then into the Berestovyi district or along the highway directly into the Ukrainskiy Khutir district. Notice how in both the 1st and 2nd fluxes, the route the Russian infiltrators need to walk through is almost always made up of a dense urban environment, and remember that this almost seamless merger of villages and urban areas played a significant part in the "flooding" of Pokrovsk city of Russian infiltrators. In conclusion, deep infiltrations into the city are slowly becoming more frequent, and the southwestern flank of the city is having quite severe difficulties in holding up against large numbers of Russian infiltrators, and the whole city in general is suffering a lot from immense pressure from the air in the form of drones of all types and FAB/KAB bombardments. Map: playframap.github.io

@AndrewPerpetua @UkraineDailyUpd @ZoamSc2 Avril, vérifier. Et sinon, j’ai une question, combien vous êtes dans l'équipe ?

@LucasseJea3960 @UkraineDailyUpd @ZoamSc2 If you cannot tell that this video is not recent then maybe you should stay out of the conversation. It is OBVIOUSLY from winter. And you probably cannot even name which winter. There is also no evidence that they are even Russian soldiers.

The Russian 1st Guards Tank Army was caught in another lie. Russian sources claim they have captured the town of Borova and have shared videos to back up this claim. However, @ZoamSc2 identified the actual location in the video as Kolomyichykha, a settlement Russia took back in January 2023, which is now 8 kilometers behind the front line. This is the second time this year that Russia has used Kolomyichykha to make propaganda videos faking the capture of new territory. In January, they filmed a video about taking Novoplatonivka while actually staying safely in Kolomyichykha. This army often posts misleading videos as a regular tactic. For example, on May 9th, they used an AI model to add images of Russian soldiers with flags into a video, claiming they had captured and controlled several locations. The gap between their propaganda and reality is stark: the Russian army frequently continues to shell settlements with artillery and drones long after claiming to have captured them.

@UkraineDailyUpd @ZoamSc2 Je suis entièrement désolé d’avoir cassé votre discours, sincèrement.

@klinger66 @ZoamSc2 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap Je suis désolé d’avoir cassé votre roman.

@ZoamSc2 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap Does somebody speak East-Ukrainian well enough to tell me what Johnny Stormtrooper at the end says? Because he does it at 49.456464, 37.970732 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap

RU 4th Tank Division of the 1st Guards Tank Army claims capture of Borova but got lost and "liberated" Kolomyichykha for the 3rd time @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap 49.456149, 37.970971 2:08 Kolomyichykha, Luhansk Source: t.me/operationall_s…

@NonStopTZD @ZoamSc2 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap Merci

@LucasseJea3960 @ZoamSc2 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap You're so close, think a little harder

@klinger66 @ZoamSc2 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap Et celle là vous en pensez quoi, IA,drg, fausse adresse ?

@ZoamSc2 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap Mais ne vous inquiétez pas, ce ne sont que des drg 😉

@ZoamSc2 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap Par contre votre information est très imprecise, montrez moi la route longeant cette maison, je ne la vois pas à Borova...

@ZoamSc2 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap Il n’y a pas de neige, vérifier datant du mois d'avril.

@LucasseJea3960 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap kind of a weird time for snow

@klinger66 @ZoamSc2 C'est pour vous soulager que vous dites cela ?

@macofaquitane @Playfra0 Il suffit de suivre ce qu’il se passe réellement, et on peut vite s'apercevoir qu’elle est très en retard. Ce n'est pas moi qui le dit, c'est son ami de 2 ans AMK mapping qui le dit...

@LucasseJea3960 @Playfra0 And yet here you are, crying and coping.

🔄 Map updated: playframap.github.io. ⚔️ Corrected control near Vovchansk. The Russians advanced near Udachne, Pleshchiivka, Ivanopillya, Pishchane, Zybyne, and Vovchansk. The Ukrainians advanced near Prymorske, Tolstoy, Kotlyarivka, Zakitne, Holubivka, and Zapadne. Total: +6.48 km^2 for Ukraine.

@Playfra0 malheureusement vous en faites parti, triste 😥

🔄 Map updated: playframap.github.io. ⚔️ The Ukrainians advanced near Odradne. Total: +15.20 km^2 for Ukraine.

@Playfra0 2 porteurs de drapeaux, que vous dénoncer pourtant régulièrement, de plus à l’entrée d’Otradne, et vous marquez 15 km2 de gains, alors qu'il y en a maximum 5. Je me rends de plus en plus compte que beaucoup de comptes pro-ukrainiens manquent d’objectivités...

@elysium0883 @Playfra0 Elle a fait la même chose avec Pokrovsk, Myrnograd, Seversk et d’autres encore, ça devient ridicule.

@Playfra0 Love the way how you claim Russian infiltrations are immediately detected ad destroyed up until the point the city has fallen. Cope master

Kostyantynivka direction, description of the situation focusing on the city itself and answers to FAQs. Russian forces are infiltrating along the shown routes, reaching as far as the heads of the furthest arrows (approximately). The infiltrations recorded recently are deeper than ever and quite worrying, but, after clarifying, are fortunately still one-time actions and don't constitute immediate criticalities (this doesn't mean that they should be ignored, quite the opposite). Please remember the fundraiser I'm doing to help this direction! x.com/Playfra0/statu… - On the western side, they advance along the creek up to Illinivka, then divide in two vectors: one with the aim of reaching northern Kostyantynivka through the forests on the shores of the artificial lakes, exactly as predicted in t.me/PlayfraOSINT/4…, and one that goes through the Chervone Mistechko district up until the Tsentralniy district, where some Russians were detected recently. - On the southern side, infiltrations come through Berestok up to eastern Illinivka and the Berestovyi District. - On the eastern side, Russian forces infiltrate through the big forest east of the city, periodically hiding in the dugouts and basements of destroyed dachas and then entering the Hora district; there, they divide once again into 2 distinct fluxes: one going into Novodmytrivka, where they were found and struck in its northern outskirts recently, up to Molocharka, and one going deep into eastern Kostyantynivka up to the 92nd Quarter. - Possible unspecified infiltrations into the southeastern part of the city into the Santurynivka District and through the garbage dump area into the Ukrainskiy Khutir District. FAQs: Q: Why are the Russians advancing here? A: This is happening not because of one evident Ukrainian mistake, but because of massive and constant Russian pressure prolonged for months, if not years, on a single small sector, with extreme amounts of air support launching FABs, KABs, drones of all types, and artillery 24/7. The closest analogy to the current situation is a dam that is at its cracking phase and might soon either suddenly give up or slowly continue to crack until all the water seeps out. That is, we might see a big but very unlikely Russian breakthrough in the city or a moderate advancement of Russian infiltration groups in the city that will first make these deep infiltrations frequent (gray zone), and then they will try to consolidate these positions, repeating the process until Kostyantynivka is eventually lost. Q: What can the Ukrainians do? A: Not much. The Russians still have resources here, and they set this city as one of their main goals for this year, so they will not give up easily whatsoever in attempting to capture it and will commit massive amounts of resources to fulfill this goal. The only theoretical stabilization might happen after a significant amount of assault units are transferred here, which would have to undertake a big clearing operation, likely at the level, if not bigger, than the Kupyansk operation (which is still ongoing after almost half a year). Q: What is this scenario comparable to? A: Mid-Pokrovsk/Myrnohrad, where logistics were already terrible and a significant number of Russian infantry started to infiltrate deeper into the city. Q: Are the Russian levels of attrition satisfactory for what has been accomplished by them up to now? A: From the ground, the feeling is that yes, Russian forces have suffered appropriate and significant losses until now, and the battle for the city is still far from over. In general, it's possible to underline how Russian forces suffer much more in fields than in urban areas.

@HKallioGoblin @Playfra0 Vous êtes sûr que les russes ne veulent pas gagner plus de terrains ?

@Playfra0 Ukraine has been holding well, but we will have new frontlines soon. This could also be the first chance to talk about peace, because we are enough close of stage where neither side wants to gain more land.

Very worrying news about Kostyantynivka, more information soon.

@Playfra0 Les russes seraient-ils au centre de Konstantinivka ?