MathiasBC

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MathiasBC

MathiasBC

@MBCAQP

“Rules without rulers”

Katılım Ağustos 2010
212 Takip Edilen177 Takipçiler
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Ragi Yaser Burhum
Ragi Yaser Burhum@rburhum·
Hay mucho ruido sobre los resultados de la ONPE. La mayoría de “análisis” con los que me he topado no merecen mucha atención. Sin embargo, estos resultados👇 sí llamaron mi atención. Algunos de los gráficos demuestran anomalías serias. No he tenido tiempo de verificar los datos porque requiere bajarlos todos y estoy en medio de un viaje en México toda la semana, pero por favor, alguien quien haya bajado todo debería intentar reproducir estos resultados. Si fuera así, sería una bomba. ¿Alguien se anima?
Joseph Hurtado - Founder Granata Consulting@josephfounder

Something is Rotten in the Elections of Peru Over two weeks ago, on April 12th Peruvians went to vote to elect a new President. The election has been plagued by suspicious issues like lost polling records, polling stations that opened so late hardly anyone could vote and many more. However, the most serious one is the forensic analysis done recently by a Data Scientist who calls himself Luigi Pavam. Mr. Pavam went into a public API from the organization that managed the whole election called ONPE, and downloaded the data of every single polling station, about 93% of the total and proceeded to do a deep data analysis looking for signs of possible fraud. He found that the special polling stations or “Mesas Especiales” were plagued with issues, and proceeded to run 5 forensic tests to detect possible fraud. His conclusion was that the election data shows a very suspicious pattern that suggests there is a very sophisticated fraud operation happening in Peru’s elections. His report is 17 pages of dry analysis, and to make it easy for anyone to understand what he found I decided to do an explainer video. I encourage anyone with an interest in Peru’s economy, and people to watch it. This news I share with you is well known by much people in Peru now, and there are efforts to fix what happened. Surprisingly the election authorities have not done anything to audit the data, and remove ONPE from the process, worse it seems the election authority is about to rubber-stamp what looks like a fraud. One that has the potential to put a radical left politician Mr. Roberto Sanchez in power, because the election runoff between Ms. Keiko Fujimori and Mr. Sanchez will most likely be manipulated again, placing again Mr. Sanchez as the surprise winner, and therefore President of Peru. However, it is not too late yet. As the video explains there are several ways to prevent this outcome, and to elect the two correct winners of the first election to compete with each other in June. All seems to indicate that the rightful second place winner of the first round election was Mr. Rafael Lopez Aliaga, not Mr. Sanchez, unlike Sanchez, Mr. Aliaga is pro-business, pro-democracy, pro-freedom and friendly with America and the Trump Administration. Please share this post if you care about fair elections, and freedom and democracy in Peru. P.S. Links to the full original report, and supporting data follow.

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MathiasBC retweetledi
Joseph Hurtado - Founder Granata Consulting
Something is Rotten in the Elections of Peru Over two weeks ago, on April 12th Peruvians went to vote to elect a new President. The election has been plagued by suspicious issues like lost polling records, polling stations that opened so late hardly anyone could vote and many more. However, the most serious one is the forensic analysis done recently by a Data Scientist who calls himself Luigi Pavam. Mr. Pavam went into a public API from the organization that managed the whole election called ONPE, and downloaded the data of every single polling station, about 93% of the total and proceeded to do a deep data analysis looking for signs of possible fraud. He found that the special polling stations or “Mesas Especiales” were plagued with issues, and proceeded to run 5 forensic tests to detect possible fraud. His conclusion was that the election data shows a very suspicious pattern that suggests there is a very sophisticated fraud operation happening in Peru’s elections. His report is 17 pages of dry analysis, and to make it easy for anyone to understand what he found I decided to do an explainer video. I encourage anyone with an interest in Peru’s economy, and people to watch it. This news I share with you is well known by much people in Peru now, and there are efforts to fix what happened. Surprisingly the election authorities have not done anything to audit the data, and remove ONPE from the process, worse it seems the election authority is about to rubber-stamp what looks like a fraud. One that has the potential to put a radical left politician Mr. Roberto Sanchez in power, because the election runoff between Ms. Keiko Fujimori and Mr. Sanchez will most likely be manipulated again, placing again Mr. Sanchez as the surprise winner, and therefore President of Peru. However, it is not too late yet. As the video explains there are several ways to prevent this outcome, and to elect the two correct winners of the first election to compete with each other in June. All seems to indicate that the rightful second place winner of the first round election was Mr. Rafael Lopez Aliaga, not Mr. Sanchez, unlike Sanchez, Mr. Aliaga is pro-business, pro-democracy, pro-freedom and friendly with America and the Trump Administration. Please share this post if you care about fair elections, and freedom and democracy in Peru. P.S. Links to the full original report, and supporting data follow.
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Strike
Strike@Strike·
Tim Cook is stepping down after 15 years at Apple. The stock returned 20x on his watch. One of the best CEO runs in history. In that same window of time, bitcoin is up over 7,500x. No CEO. No board. No quarterly earnings. No company. No other asset comes close.
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MathiasBC
MathiasBC@MBCAQP·
@paoloardoino @zachxbt This is a dangerous precedent, that’s why descentralized money exists, thank god for Bitcoin and Bitcoin only
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Paolo Ardoino 🤖
Paolo Ardoino 🤖@paoloardoino·
Important note: we need to thank @zachxbt for the prompt alert on this case.
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Martin Varsavsky
Martin Varsavsky@martinvars·
Here's some advice that no banker will ever give you, because no banker makes money recommending this:Just put most of your long-term money into QQQ (the Nasdaq-100 ETF) as I do, and hold it for decades.Why? Because it's simple, ultra-low cost (0.20% fee), and has delivered incredible results with almost no effort. Example: If you had invested $100,000 in QQQ on January 1, 2020 (with dividends reinvested), you would have ≈ $298,000 – $300,000 today (as of mid-April 2026). Today QQQ reached an all time high. That's nearly tripling your money in a little over 6 years.Compounded annual return (CAGR) since then: ≈ 19.8% – 20.0% per year. Even after surviving the -32.6% drawdown in 2022, the long-term compounding is powerful.If you are my follower you know that I’ve been recommending this approach for years. Another advantage is that if you buy and sell stocks, even if you do well, you pay taxes on the profits. But if you buy QQQ and hold it, QQQ trades but those trades are not taxable to you. So not only is stock picking generally worse than owning QQQ, but it is also taxed at higher rates. Lastly tell me any fund you own that has done better than QQQ, that is liquid and available to everyone and I buy you an ice cream here in Miami :) There is none as far as I know.
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Paolo Benza
Paolo Benza@paolobenza·
#Exclusivo El documento que prueba la cochinada. ONPE descalificó a Hermes (que era más barata), alegando que sus camiones tenían 10 metros cúbicos, sí, pero había que restarle 2 metros de cabina. Adjudicó a Galaga. ¿Cómo probaron el metraje si no tenían todos sus camiones? 1/5
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MathiasBC
MathiasBC@MBCAQP·
@Richard89022768 @martinvars Bitcoin doesn’t use encryption, ir used digital signatures. Still qhen quantum is here you sjould worry about nuclear codes and your bank, bitcoin will be fine anyways.
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Martin Varsavsky
Martin Varsavsky@martinvars·
The interesting part of the NYT report saying Adam Back is Satoshi is not whether they are right. It is that Bitcoin no longer needs a founder mystery. The protocol outgrew the cult of origin. That is when technologies stop being movements and become infrastructure.
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MathiasBC
MathiasBC@MBCAQP·
@TFTC21 We need locally hosted open source models right now.
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TFTC
TFTC@TFTC21·
Someone measured exactly how much dumber Claude got. The answer is 67%. A developer ran quantitative analysis on 6,852 Claude Code sessions and 17,871 thinking blocks. The data shows Claude Opus 4.6's reasoning depth dropped 67% starting in February. The model went from reading files 6.6 times before editing to 2.0 times. One-third of all edits were made without reading the file first. Users reported the word "simplest" in Claude's outputs increased 642%. Anthropic said nothing until the numbers went public on GitHub. Then Boris Cherny, the head of Claude Code, showed up on the issue thread. His explanation: they introduced "adaptive thinking" that was supposed to save tokens on easy tasks, but it was throttling hard problems too. He also admitted on Hacker News that even when users set effort to "high," a bug was zeroing out thinking on certain turns. The issue was closed over user objections. 72 thumbs-up on "why was this closed." The community is calling it AI shrinkflation: same price, less intelligence. Meanwhile, Anthropic's leaked source code from last week revealed that employees get different system prompts than paying customers, including instructions like "verify work actually works before claiming done." The code checks for a user type called "ant" and routes Anthropic employees to a separate instruction set. The company building "safety-first AI" is quietly running two tiers of service from the same product. The cost of degraded thinking wasn't even cheaper for users. One developer's API costs went from $26/month to $42,121/month because the model kept failing and retrying. Thinking less doesn't save money. It compounds errors.
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MathiasBC
MathiasBC@MBCAQP·
@martinvars I’m really thinking about this for some time now, me preference would be Mendoza, Cordoba or Salta. Where can I get more information ? What benefits do foreigners have ?
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Benjamin Cowen
Benjamin Cowen@benjamincowen·
New way to find the lowest IQ people on this platform: Post a picture of the moon and wait for them to flood your comment section with dozens of conspiracies.
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The Knowledge Archivist
The Knowledge Archivist@KnowledgeArchiv·
Can't believe she wrote this 70 years ago
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Quinten | 048.eth
Quinten | 048.eth@QuintenFrancois·
If quantum “kills” Bitcoin, it also kills: • The global banking system • SWIFT transfers • Stock exchanges • Military communications • Nuclear command systems • Every HTTPS website on earth If Bitcoin is dead from quantum, your portfolio is the least of your problems.
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GrapheneOS
GrapheneOS@GrapheneOS·
Brazil's authoritarian age verification law became active this month. It won't be implemented by GrapheneOS. Complying would require integrating a mandatory process for each user where a third party service checks government identification and confirms a match using the camera.
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TFTC
TFTC@TFTC21·
Folks, we told you this was coming, and today the mask is fully off. A couple weeks back we reported, based on solid sources, that Coinbase was quietly lobbying to kill a real de minimis tax exemption for Bitcoin while pushing one that applied only to stablecoins like USDC. We laid out the clear incentives in our deep dive. Coinbase made 1.35 billion dollars in stablecoin revenue last year, up 48 percent year over year, almost entirely from yield on the Treasuries backing USDC. A proper Bitcoin de minimis would let people spend sats on everyday purchases without triggering taxable events on every transaction. That directly competes with their centralized yield machine. We called it what it was. Policy that protects Coinbase’s float rather than advancing neutral Bitcoin adoption. Brian Armstrong pushed back hard. He called our reporting totally false and misinformation while insisting he was personally lobbying for Bitcoin de minimis. Some accused us of lying or spreading rumors. We stood firm. We offered to have Brian on the TFTC podcast to clear the air. We waited. Now the latest draft from Reps. Horsford and Max Miller on the updated PARITY Act framework has dropped. It confirms exactly what we warned about. It gives a de minimis exemption to stablecoins but leaves Bitcoin out entirely. It keeps the punishing double taxation on Bitcoin mining fully intact while carving out relief for passive validation, basically staking. This is not an oversight or sloppy drafting. It abandons any pretense of technology neutrality and deliberately picks winners. Dollar-pegged stables and staking get the breaks, while actual Bitcoin usage as money and Proof-of-Work mining get kneecapped. Without de minimis for Bitcoin, every small Lightning payment or sat transaction still forces cost-basis tracking and IRS headaches. Paying your plumber in sats or grabbing lunch with Bitcoin remains a taxable event. Stablecoins, being pegged and low-volatility, get an exemption they barely need. The real beneficiary is protecting that massive USDC reserve float and the yield it generates. Meanwhile, American Bitcoin miners, already operating in one of the toughest, most capital- and energy-intensive industries, face continued double taxation while staking gets a pass. That is not neutral policy. It is industrial policy against domestic Bitcoin mining at a time when we should be leaning into energy abundance and securing the hardest monetary network. The Bitcoin Policy Institute is releasing a full statement soon, and we fully back the call for strong community pushback. Every Bitcoiner needs to contact their reps and make it politically radioactive to sideline Bitcoin while handing carve-outs to stables and staking. This language slows real adoption, entrenches custodians, and weakens American Bitcoin infrastructure. We weren’t lying. Our sources weren’t lying. The draft proves the reporting was on target. Those who rushed to call it misinformation owe the community some honest reflection. Brian, if you’re still open to that conversation, the invitation stands. Come on the podcast. No spin, just walk us through how this draft lines up with your stated support for Bitcoin de minimis. The mic is warm. This fight isn’t over. Bitcoin doesn’t need permission, but bad policy can delay sovereign adoption and punish the miners securing the network. We’re here to protect the protocol and the right of individuals to use sound money without turning every transaction into a compliance nightmare. Stay sovereign. Stack sats. Use Bitcoin as money anyway. Call your reps today.
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