Johann S.

i just had Claude upgrade my Rust project from 0.29 to 0.32. it’s been working straight for 15 minutes, updating files based on dependency changes and version differences. imagine doing this on your own.

$BTC longs 66k reached, trade now risk free. Alrightnice push off entry almost immediately after taking the trade. Trade up already 1100 points. We hit 66k, which is the start of the risk free zone (the zone where I intended to make the trade risk free). So without any excuses, trade is risk free (you already know the math). If 63.1-64.2k still comes, that's a free relong. Alternatively, if you prefer to let it run for longer and are less risk-averse, letting it run to 67k fully makes sense, potentially going through a drawdown first, and if 63.1 - 64.2 still comes, add to the position. Not something I recommend psychologically (trading is 50% psychology), but if you're experienced, this is option two. For now, good entry, good start of the trade. We eliminated the potential of a loss. I'll hope to see you higher to lock in the win next.

$BTC longs To the tick ✅, shorts fully closed and longs already up 2000 points Alright! A few posts ago, called to fully close shorts at 65.7k and last post, to set limits at the same level and open longs. Level ended up hitting to the tick before reversing. Trade now up 2000 points. Adjusted my SL to 64.5 and price is now at 67.7k. Puts the trade at a running 1.6 RR, so I trimmed 38% to make it risk free. Entire plan called out in live time/in advance step by step by step. Enjoy, fourth win in a row making.

$BTC I'm still bullish. But now, it's just about waiting for just under 83.7k. So, just to clarify, even if we bounce now, or move anywhere between 90.8k and 83.7k, that's of no action for me personally. Now that our key level of 90.8k rejected again, I am going to be patient and wait for sub 83k to enter long. So key is to be bullish but patient as mentioned a few posts ago. Because we did not close a weekly below 81k, nothing of the bullish bias is invalidated, especially when we move down on news such as us government shutdown. That's more support that indeed we are setting a low and not breaking down, but likely below 83.7k, not above. Not much lower that. We are already seeing so much "celebration" on the bear market continuing, "I told you so", while we still haven't even made any new lows and are only 1000 points down or so from our last long entry. So sentiment also supports the fact we likely hold. Drop is not ideal indeed and I'm not going to act as if I shorted or predicted it all, you know I'm transparent and obviously we were long expecting higher. But we made the long risk free and you have been reminded multiple times to do so. So I'm quite glad to just get another opportunity below 83.7k to get long from a low level for free (como implications). We'll see if I am right on that, that's the bigger question. But that will only be told in the future. I'll see you by then, but I'll be the last to change plans when there is no need to and based on the chart and our high timeframe analysis, there is no need to. So conviction in bullish bias remains just equally as much as it has been 11 weeks ago, and is more important now than ever. And the plan remains to long below 83.7k as will be called out live when I get in, and get out of it. Getting close to 90.8k before taking out 83.7k for me, could mean a local short as well, but I'll talk about that only if needed. Main trade is a long below 83.7k. So I'll see you there.

$BTC longs (VI) Nice and quick move off the weekly open. Taking some profits✅ Alright, 87.7k giving an absolutely excellent reaction sending us straight into the gap at 89.6k, close to target 1 already. Trade up pretty nicely, and probably the bulk of the move we get the first 12 hours into weekly open. Some ranging can be expected next and weekly open is below so good to already turn this first long, into a nice and risk free ride when price swings around a bit. So you know the drill, good enough for a first trim. 30% shaved off, booking a modest chunk, at 1.35 RR, indeed, turning it risk free. Looking forward to 90.2k as our first target of this first move, that's main liquidity and CME gap. This is where I look to close another 30%. The other 40% that would remain after that, is for a bigger move up, of which the targets I will point out as they come and as liquidity builds. For now, what matters the most is that major liquidity lies here starting from 89.6 up to 90.3, so that is where we start to exploit our first TP's. Good start for us, for the opening of this week.

$BTC shorts 0.75 rejected ✅and TP 1 is hit Alright, nice move so far. Not the most impulsive NY we have ever seen. But finally reached first target deep into it. First target being the liquidity at the wick which is set just before the high is made. Taking 30% off here at 1.2 RR at 91.8k Indeed, TP'ing this short slightly more aggressively compared to the last trade (the long), per plan laid out. Hoping for second and third target next, of weekly open and the 0.5 (the main target). We'll see when. Logging off for today, hope the latter of NY or speeds up a bit and else, Tomorrow. And yes, addressing the question: I still have 5% of the last long open too.

Although I do not prefer doing these type of posts, I does itself in justice. The crash I saw coming. I sold most near the top and extra, when the bulls were having a great time. At those moments, you look for opposing signs. It is the way of the market. It was a sweet ride.

$BTC Trade frame and idea going forward: the bull market is not over So, after the large down move and for a big part, being part of that, setting us back the streak gains we made in the last 4 trades before that, I made clear Yesterday that I am still bullish, still expect 112k and still believe the bull market isn't over. Reasons The reasons are that 112k is still a wide and open untouched magnet, we are in a higher low area, the top is not in according to any of my core system signals, so neither does this final drop start the bear market unlike what we are hearing everywhere now. Finally and as mentioned last post, I repeat that the time and price pattern structure of this weekly candle strongly tells us that this is the last weekly downside candle, after which we range and go up again IMO. Sweeps of the current low could happen within that frame, but no breakdowns further like we had the past couple days/weeks, only fake moves that likely reclaim and form large opportunity. I have more reasons why I believe price doesn't go much lower, but these are the core ones. Sentiment I also remind you that the sentiment again stays low. Popular accounts talking about bear markets, spot capitulation in a higher low area, and lots of "it's all over" from typical flip-flop accounts that don't really trade. Also having serious news headlines as if crypto is no longer a good investment on many NY large-fund bulletin boards. In this slow reversal process, for sentiment to materialize against itself takes time. But time has already taken a while, and with my system aligning better now, it shouldn't be too much longer. How I play it You know my recent story. Had a fair few wins, but then two bigger losses. And so I'm not going to be in leverage for a while. Catching a large move is possible but not always easy with leverage, so just taking a step back to regain rhythm. At the same time, you didn't like the idea of no clear invalidation. So here you go, a clear inval-entry-exit type of trade. Not saying the stop shown on this chart is exactly where I have put mine. But it serves as a clear and proper invalidation where I will exit close against, so here you go. It still carries a risk if we were being hunted last trades, to also be hunted. But high timeframe moves like this are very hard to manipulate and target just one person + followers on this platform of although I am one of the few still sharing clear trades on this entire space by the looks of it, we'll see how it plays along the way and I'm currently looking for signs of possible hunts on last trades. So this is just an entry taking by buying spot with funds I normally don't have in crypto but moved today. It's a wider stop, paired with a wider move aimed to be caught. The overall trade is still around 2 RR however. Nothing flashy, very boring indeed, just another type of trade I like going for, as you know by now, most my trades have been between 1RR-3RR. No 10R+ type of unrealistic models, largely offset by fees, funding and slippage anyway with tight stops. On this trade, no partials will be taken, this is one and done. Final words Feel free to take this trade as you wish spot or lev (nfa). But this is just what I plan to do going forward. Step back from leverage, play spot and slowing it down. Whilst staying in the market and keeping the same frame and bias I have been keeping and still believe in firmly. Also making a very clear statement that the bull run isn't over. Because if this move happens and we are back at 112k (first target), no one will talk about the bear market anymore. And my job to erase your belief in the future, already presented now in advance, will be done. Enjoy.

My macro outlook and why. ~Early speculation: since may 2021 ~High confidence: since september 2021 ~High confirmation: since november 2021 Details below 👇

$3650 is what makes the most sense to me Im out of my last shorts at 3865, but im not messing around for a real reversion bounce till then Just low enough for people to admit 4k support never mattered, then chop it for a while (as equities underperform) then bounce it… (tbd if that bounce simply results in a bearish retest of what would be 4k resistance, but this would mirror the $2100 deviation to a T) if I don’t get it, no problem, I’ll just observe things

$BTC CME gap closed, TP3 for me here 💰 You know the drill, while the ones waiting for a September drop continue to expect lower, we continue to reap the rewards of the long position we took instead. Given all the compounding we did at the reversal zone and how it has become a rather big position, also given that CME gap just closed, and because I want to leave about 30% for the silver pocket (or beyond depending on local momentum), I am taking a third TP here. That puts our average TP at 115.8k, scaling up 5% so far from our 110k entry, nice for a swing trade. That's also about the same amount that September has printed green so far in the first half of its existence. TP's are mentioned on the chart for transparency, and all TP's as well as entries are called out in live time, as always. Thanks again $BTC and all participants for playing so far. The pay so far has been sweet sweet sweet.