John Cooke

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John Cooke

John Cooke

@Marslauncher

ADHD Man of many talents, armchair historian, global observer, watcher and helper of mankind.

United States Katılım Ocak 2009
1.9K Takip Edilen528 Takipçiler
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
We spend almost $900B PER Year on the defense budget, Ukraine aid is just 8% of that amount, but actually is only 5.8% as $23.5B goes to US companies to replace existing US military equipment. So we get new equipment to replace old equipment and Americans are employed to build that equipment. You do understand how much we will have to spend if we let Russia beat Ukraine right? Like, please tell me you understand, because it’s ignorant and false comments like yours that are going to make us pay that. Russian per day war cost estimates are between $500m and $1B which would equal total US expenditure in 76 days to 152 days, or 2.5 months to 5 months. Direct conflict with Russia though would be orders of magnitude higher. We spent an estimated $8T on Iraq and Afghanistan wars combined or about $330m per day for Iraq and $300 per day for Afghanistan….for 20 years, so a likely estimate per day against a near peer adversary could be north of 5 times that (also assuming no-one goes nuclear) and understand that GPS satellites would likely be one of the first targets, those alone come to $12B for manufacturing cost, each F22 is approx $350m, each F35 is $87m, the USS Gerald R Ford alone cost $13B, So say for arguments sake that GPS sats, 10 x F22’s, 10 x F35 and a carrier were lost, that would come out to $30.3B within potentially the first day and that’s just material costs to replace. I won’t even estimate the cost to other Satellites that debris cloud would incur. As a comparison, an analysis estimate of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan and US defense / conflict is estimated to cost the world approximately $10T. So stop with this “We can’t afford to send waste money on Ukraine” crap, we honestly can’t afford not to. cfr.org/article/how-mu… csis.org/analysis/first… atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainea…
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
You clearly have not seen the “thought” process of @perplexity_ai computer use. Absolutely blown away my own use of it. Language is just probabilistic processing in the input and output of data from various inputs. The older models could be summed up as just next word probability processing, the reasoning models are something completely different.
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ichi
ichi@ichimikichiki·
@DrPorter @perplexity_ai You're acting like we've achieved AGI. All those LLM's are simply matching groups of words, with other groups of words. Based on how often they are seen together. Each word is substituted for a number. It's pure math probabilities. It doesn't understand your question...
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Christopher Porter
Christopher Porter@DrPorter·
Ran my @perplexity_ai multi-LLM analysis using Intelligence Community's own Structured Analytic Techniques against the public CIA archive of Presidential Daily Briefs from the Kennedy, Johnson, Nixon, and Ford Administrations. The request was simple: use these techniques to spot, using only open source information available at the time, analytic blind spots going to the President. I then ask the LLMs to fast forward and use historical data of how those events actually turned out to be. Would the Structured Analytic Techniques turn out to be useful? 1/?
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@danfaggella Honestly, at this point, I think for sure our descendants, but i'll hold out some hope for aliens. The progress of AI has been so rapid that I honestly can't see more than a year out for any tech/sci advance and for sure cannot see past two yrs for what the job mkt future holds.
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Daniel Faggella
Daniel Faggella@danfaggella·
imagine a swirling ecosystem of entities with 1000x the power / speed / knowledge of all of mankind - eternally shackled to providing free goodies to apes who contribute nothing back to them. serious question: for long long do we expect this scenario to last?
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@danfaggella I just hope that we are judged as a collective whole with preference given to the good that humanity can do, rather than the historical record of what it has done.
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@danfaggella I would posit that with war comes finance and with finance comes both death and progress from the ashes. I wish that war were not necessary, but I do not shy away from it's necessity at times, to paraphrase and adapt - "evil can only prevail when good 'people' do nothing".
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@danfaggella This is the goal, to leave a positive mark on the future, either by being the best parent I can be or actually utilizing and adapting the ever increasing skillset and toolbox available to me to complete projects I never thought possible before, i'm excited for the future honestly
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@danfaggella I work 50+ hours each week, with 3 kids and the missus works Sat - Monday as an ICU nurse, it is not hyperbole when I say I literally have zero downtime to myself except for when I pull multiple all nighters working on me time projects to inc my useful life / employment xp.
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Daniel Faggella
Daniel Faggella@danfaggella·
As it turns out, if you are a cancer, not a contributor (see image), nature will flush you out. So aspire in the age of AI to be an ai-augmented contributor danfaggella.com/cancer stay in touch on my newsletter aby the posthuman transition bit.ly/TrajectoryTw
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@austingooners I remember when we had teeth, hell, even testimonial matches have more bite and urgency then this match.
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Austin Gooners
Austin Gooners@austingooners·
Sigh. Remember when we had depth?
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@Ar_senalXtra_ Neither, we are 1-0 up against Sporting and only have to not lose against City.
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Triple M
Triple M@Tripple____M·
Arsenal fans only, do you think we will beat Manchester City next week?
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Breaking911
Breaking911@Breaking911·
🚨 VP Vance has boarded AF Two, heading to Pakistan ahead of Iran talks alongside Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner.
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@XiXiDu @NOELreports I had the same thought and mental visualization of a bow end up slip into the abyss of the channel, to join countless historical brethren.
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NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦
Russian Navy frigate Admiral Grigorovich escorts sanctioned oil tankers through the English Channel, accompanying vessels linked to Russia’s shadow fleet. The move signals direct defiance of UK plans to intercept sanctioned ships transiting its waters. #Russia
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WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧
WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧@WarMonitor3·
Mass Jet activity reported over Tehran Iranian air defences are attempting to shoot back.
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@Iranevent_tv They've been performing non nuclear strikes for the past month.
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SBC 24
SBC 24@FBX_News·
🚨🇺🇸 BREAKING NEWS: U.S. SENDS B-52 BOMBER TO IRAN These are the planes that carry nukes…
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WarTranslated
WarTranslated@wartranslated·
According to various reports, several B-52 aircraft have just scrambled from a British airbase and are allegedly bound for Iran.
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John Cooke
John Cooke@Marslauncher·
@wartranslated You don't really "Scramble" a bomber, unless its carrying nukes.
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BNO News
BNO News@BNONews·
Trump: "A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will."
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