Matthew J. Spaniol

Here's the paper: researchgate.net/publication/38…

I made a #foresight tool selection tool based on a research paper. I'm wondering what it might be good for and who might use something like this and when. Give it a try - I'd love some feedback: form.typeform.com/to/wF2kHTK3 #Resilience #futures #preparedness

@neiltyson We should move it into orbit around the moon and mine it.

At the moment, mansion-sized Asteroid 2024-YR4 has a one-in-fifty chance of hitting Earth in the next eight years. Now might be a bad time to reduce spending on Science. Just sayin’.

Musk’s purchase of Twitter was a political game changer. Also important was his decision to hide people’s “likes” from other users. This diminished preference falsification on X. It also boosted the apparent popularity, and thus the circulation, of un- or anti-woke posts. (1/2)

"People who collaboratively imagined a shared future together felt closer and more connected to their partner than those who independently imagined a shared future and those who collaborated on an unrelated task" ow.ly/hXPw50Tr3gY via @ConversationUS

In 1995, 14 wolves were released in Yellowstone National Park. No one expected the miracle that the wolves would bring [📹 Protect All Wildlife]

@PhysInHistory More precisely: between two of our ideas about what reality must be.

Shipping scenarios 2030 have been published! Learn more at: www.wartsila.com/shippingscenarios

@LegatumInst @Telegraph Time stamp 1:30 why do we excel? Bcz we do what's right? What's fair? Sounds like justification to me. Instead, the bedrock of prosperity is not conservatism... it is enlightenment, it is risky conjecture ... It is openness to criticism

In reality, that does not happen, for war instantly exposes the exaggerations and half truths of the plan. -Carl von Clausewitz

RUC’s forskere er med, når landets eksperter i Deep Tech samles i Øksnehallen til debat og idéudveksling på Digital Tech Summit i næste uge. Kom og vær med! event.ing.dk/digitaltechsum… #dktech #digital #digitaltechsummit #AI @SineNJust @MatthewSpaniol

Study finds that people infer preferences from forecasts: if a forecaster predicts an outcome, people infer that the forecaster prefers this outcome. This matches previous findings saying that forecasts are in fact often guided by preferences. journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.117…

At the ❤️ of decision-making is the creation of new options and the abandonment or modification of existing ones. -David Deutsch

"...there is only one way of making progress: conjecture and criticism." -David Deutsch p.203

Postdoc in strategic foresight position closing soon. Apply now! candidate.hr-manager.net/ApplicationIni…

A time tunnel appears in your kitchen, allowing you to view and study our world 200 years in the future. Tell us something interesting you observe.

#Foresight, the greatest blessing humanity has been given, is transformed into a curse... Memory brings back the agony of fear while foresight brings it on prematurely. -Seneca

Having an amazing time at the @ffrc Finland Futures Research Conference presenting on AI and chatbots #Futuresconference23

ICYMI The futures of chatbots doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.1…

Before 2000, the global balance sheet grew in tandem with GDP. Since then, assets have increased far faster than GDP, as equity and real estate created $160 trillion in paper wealth. What’s next? Here are 4️⃣ possible scenarios from our research. mck.co/3X4hsFJ