Mike8Wallace

I'll continue to advance in comparisons, from the relative warmth of the laboratory's fusion boiler room where I am chained and subsist on bugs and spiders. If I wasn't so fascinated with the actual work, I might have withered away long ago.

@PaulRoundy1 If no takers, no worries. forecast is driven by other motivations than a trip to vegas.

@PaulRoundy1 a good hindcast is helpful to show where I'm at, but these charts don't include the resulting forecast for this July. I have 46 hours to improve hindcasts further if possible, strictly tethered to data ending 2 years ago. That's my self-imposed handicap to challenge imposters.

just warming up... yes land is warming up and I'm warming up to try to forecast a monthly temperature, July in this case. a long shot but worth a shot.

@David_J_Bier It's only about illegal voting, but write a paper and stochastically prove your vision.

Almost everyone who says they want "immigration" reduced also wants legal immigration reduced. It's not, nor has it ever been, about illegal immigration.

@PaulRoundy1 Temperature, and others soon

@PaulRoundy1 Pick your favorite horsehair from your plot and go with it! Or at least in my competition. But for that, have to choose a good era5 coordinate and variable. Since you are digesting maybe, let's go with my example: Vegas, July 2026. Due in 48 hrs from now.

The shift in ECMWF Nino 3.4 solidly into record territory reflects the additional momentum injected into the ocean over the last month. The model isn't well simulating the subseasonal wind stress signals, but once these signals are integrated into the model ocean, amplitude expresses. Confidence is clearly shifting higher on potentially the biggest El Niño event since the 1870s. The next substantial westerly wind event will likely occur during the last 10 days of May.

@BenNollWeather I will check my May 2026 published western US specific snow forecast from last January. If you made any relevant snow forecasts back then please revive them.for comparison. We can check whose forecast is longer and more skillful. :D

It's been 23 years since Denver last saw at least 6 inches of snow in May. That streak could soon end. These HRRR forecasts use dynamic snow-liquid ratios that account for how wet the snow will be. Fall Mountain: 37.5 inches Fort Collins: 8.9 Denver: 7.5 Colorado Springs: 6.2

@AndyHazelton Remember to Never Ever factor solar activity in public, especially when discussing monthly to decadally scaled hydroclimate,no matter how many peer papers indicate its dominance. Orders i get it.

The new ECMWF forecast also nicely highlights why 2023 is not really a viable analog for this year for a few reasons: 1) The Atlantic is much cooler. 2) The NE Pacific (PMM) is much warmer. 3) The El Niño will likely be stronger. Notice the May 2023 ECMWF forecast was picking up on the enhanced rain over the Atlantic, which ended up correlating pretty well with the above-average hurricane season despite El Niño. This year, the Atlantic looks bone dry.

@BevGDoubleZ @SenatorLujan Hermits Peak what happened to that $4B?

@SenatorLujan I'M WAITING FOR THE DOLLAR AMOUNT YOU, BEN, HAVE ILLEGALLY PUT IN YOUR OWN POCKET FROM THE FRAUD IN MEDICARE, MEDICAID, ETC, AND OTHERS LIKE INSIDER TRADING, PAYBACKS, BRIBES, &, I BELIEVE WE WILL SEE THAT AMOUNT...

This is what we knew would always happen – millions of Americans being forced off their health care plans because Republicans took away tax credits to give billionaires tax breaks. Senate Republicans don’t care. This is what they voted for. nytimes.com/2026/05/01/bus…

Yep, I remember how I lost my own home-grown investment in advanced education. A Ph.D. was my goal. Then DEI and CRT fueled climate porn deep-sixed me. All of the professors on my committee originally hailed from other countries. I was so naive I guess to actually recruit them. In retrospect I think they each felt exogenous pressure to suspend me from the university. In the meantime I continue to work with the NORMAL internationally rich scientific community and publish on the topic I was exiled for pursuing.

The U.S. invests in PhDs and high-skill training programs — but #USCISPause blocks U.S.-trained talent from contributing. Delays push them out before they can pay taxes or contribute back. That’s not protecting jobs. That’s losing your own investment. #LiftTheHold

Thank you for calling out the double standard. It really is strange — in many countries, leftists treat foreign flags or certain ideological flags with reverence, while attacking their own national flag. In Japan we’re just now feeling the same pressure. I appreciate you pointing this out.

@FPWellman Remember to report all Soros$ as taxable income this year.

Just disgusting lies. My son-in-law was a National Guardsman scared for his life and it was the Nazis and racists that organized it. What a disgusting woman.

@AttyStevenBrown @SpeakSamuel Lawyer discusses empathy that's rich.

I think a vast majority of the responses to @SpeakSamuel show a lot. They show how much hatred people have for someone doing things the right way. They show a complete lack of understanding of our immigration law (especially AC21 and backlogs). And worst, they show a lack of human empathy for someone who is struggling predominately because of flaws of the Administrative State.

@Molson_Hart Doctor supply such crap. Medical schools distort supply deliberately for $$. Now DEI and CRT distort 'equity' of supply. Can't wait for AI to empower all patients so the MD cartel goes sideways everywhere.

1. Because it is one of the main reasons are country is one of the most powerful in the world. We have a long tradition of importing highly motivated people to improve our country. 2. Because it lowers costs for Americans. ~25% of US doctors are foreign born. Think about how many are 1st gen Americans. So without that “competition” would you have a doctor? 3. All the best things in America are driven be fair competition. All the worst are formerly fair competitive areas where sneaky people put up barriers or subsidies eg private equity roll ups, liberation day tariffs, fake disability/welfare or how you can buy a house because no one lets you build. I literally got ratio’d by someone who said we should go back to our founding stock. I got ratio’d by someone who wants to deport 100 to 200 million people if not more from the United States, including me and most of the people reading this. Do you realize how delusional that is? The United States needs strict enforcement of the border. Illegal immigration should be zero. Legal immigration must be vetted and focussed on making the country better and then those people must be culturally integrated into the nation. But sorry, without competition, Americans will just get even lazier and disconnected from reality. You’re not an Arabian prince with an oil inheritance. You are an American which achieved its country’s greatness through immigration and that’s a fact. We are all immigrants, from natives to African slaves, to “founding stock”, to the Chinese imported to build railways and then banned, to continental euro whites, to USSR escapees, to Mexicans, to everyone’s favorite: H1Bs If you don’t understand this, not only are you wrong but you are on the wrong side of history. 95% white america is done. It’s over. It’s demographically impossible. Just look around or at the data of young people. I don’t have a problem with white people. I am white. I don’t even have a problem with people saying racist things. But what I do have a problem with is anyone, regardless of their origin, thinking stuff like “I am superior because of my race” because it is 1) wrong 2) leads to the most evil acts our species commits.

@mmullins001 @SenatorHick Every country on earth besides the nation of Colorado just suppressing votes.

You lying sack of shit! Schumer bragged Democrats would accept a simple Voter ID requirement instead of the SAVE Act. Republicans called the bluff and offered exactly that—stripped-down, no extras. You voted NO, proving this isn't about mail-in ballots as you claim. You oppose even simple identification to vote. Stop lying to Colorado voters.

I’ll say it until the cows come home.  The SAVE Act is voter suppression. Mail-in voting is done in red and blue states alike. It’s safe and secure.   I'm still a hell NO on the SAVE Act.

@CivilRightsNM @aggiepolitics84 Thanks i didn't know. Curious what with phony performative mass testing and the occupation of Gallup by the Nat Guard

@aggiepolitics84 Fuck off

Not a good look when seeking the Republican nomination for governor. #nmpol