Michael Caputo

42 posts

Michael Caputo

Michael Caputo

@MikeCap14

Katılım Haziran 2012
138 Takip Edilen10 Takipçiler
Michael Caputo
Michael Caputo@MikeCap14·
@AstiAlexandria @alphaticaio We move to 6000-6100. Then climb back throughout q4 to 7400+. The divergences are everywhere. It’s plain to see except market participants seem not to care about charts at the moment.
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Alphatica
Alphatica@alphaticaio·
SPX GEX LEVELS: May 6 Yesterday's post said the gamma was decaying and the flip was 13 points from spot. Today the market responded by rebuilding the entire structure in a single session. 🚨🚨🚨Tomorrow's expected range: 7,200 – 7,325. Bias higher toward the 7,300 magnet. Net GEX snapped back 45%, from +$787M to +$1.14B. The flip widened from 13 points to a cluster that tops out at 7,245, still close to spot but no longer sitting on the regime threshold. Call buying dominated the session. 7 of the top 10 volume GEX strikes were positive, concentrated between 7,275 and 7,350. The heaviest flow hit 7,300 (+$88M), 7,290 (+$37M), and 7,350 (+$34M). That's directional conviction above spot. SPX closed at 7,259.23, 41 points from the max magnet at 7,300 which carries +$197M. That's the strongest single-strike reading since the April pinning regime. The magnets above ladder cleanly: 7,350 (+$117M), 7,400 (+$117M), 7,500 (+$71M). Every strike from 7,200 to 7,600 is positive gamma. The path to 7,300 and beyond is paved with stabilizing force. The 7,000 strike flipped negative for the first time in the series. Net GEX contribution is -$6M. Put OI (1.038M) exceeds call OI (993K) by 45K contracts. The level that anchored the March-to-April rally, carried +$308M at the peak, and acted as the gravitational center for three weeks is now working against price. That's the structural migration, the market's center of gravity moved from 7,000 to 7,300 over six weeks. $AMD reported after the close. $1.37 EPS vs $1.29 street ($1.33 Alphatica estimate). $10.25B revenue vs $9.89B street ($10.0B Alphatica estimate). Revenue +38% YoY. Data center +57%. 14 straight quarters without a miss. Our Alphatica Earnings Quality Signal flagged AMD 4/6 BULLISH heading in. The data was telling the truth. The gamma decay schedule is still active, another 15% of the blanket expires by Friday, and monthly OPEX on May 15 takes the structure down further. But today showed that one session of aggressive call buying can rebuild what took three sessions to drain. The structure is more reactive in both directions now. That's the new normal. $SPX $SPY $QQQ
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Alphatica
Alphatica@alphaticaio·
We encourage you to sign up. Signal #002 will likely be the last batch we publish publicly on this platform. Not because we don't want to, but because there's real edge here, and we need to protect it. Email subscribers will continue receiving every signal at entry. Link in bio. Signal #002: Day 7 of 10 Flipped positive. Both sides green. Today: Longs +0.59% | Shorts +0.73% | L/S +1.32% Cumulative: Longs -0.46% | Shorts +1.64% | L/S +1.18% Short book carrying this signal, 7 of 8 shorts green today. $PH +3.87%, $CMS +3.61%, $ITW +2.67% cumulative. The model keeps identifying the same defensive weakness across both signals. $FCX +3.20% and $NEM +2.54% leading the long recovery. Was -0.09% yesterday. Now +1.18%. 3 trading days left. Signal #001 is at +17.40% cumulative L/S on day 17. Signal #003 goes to email subscribers first. Sign up link in bio. Longs: $DOW $NCLH $CNC $FCX $C $CTRA $NEM $CRL Shorts: $NDSN $SPG $MAA $ITW $AEP $WEC $CMS $PH $SPY $SPX $QQQ
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Vulture trades 🦅
Vulture trades 🦅@vulturetrades·
Just made a free private X group where I’ll drop my next 5–10x setup. Completely free. I don’t charge for access. I make money trading. I will also be mentoring 100 followers that join and helping them make their first million in 2026. Comment “$SPY” to be added (Must be following to join)
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Vulture trades 🦅
Vulture trades 🦅@vulturetrades·
You know what I’m restarting the $100 to $10,000 challenge. I want everyone to have a fair shot at this. Last time it took me about 7 days, will try to do it faster this time. If you want to follow along, comment below to join Going to lock comments in 24 hours
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Jacob Gibbs
Jacob Gibbs@jagibbs_23·
Beyond the Box Score got so much love this offseason! @DanSchneierNFL and I cannot thank you enough 🫶🏼 Comments, likes, downloads, reviews, everything — especially the few of you who do not gatekeep the show — thank you for your support Let crush it this season 👊🏻
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Michael Caputo
Michael Caputo@MikeCap14·
@RyanJ_Heath @FantasyPtsData Wr targets in 11 personnel vs 12. Vs TE targets in each 1st read targets vs ppr scoring per game Total teams points per game vs top 24 at rb wr Total team points per game vs top 12 te.
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Ryan Heath
Ryan Heath@RyanJ_Heath·
What types of stats from the @FantasyPtsData Suite would you like to see on weekly graphics this season? ASS vs. TPRR? Missed tackles forced vs. Stuff rate? Red zone usage vs. actual scoring? Chime in below, and I might bring your idea to life!
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.@22_johnny2·
@ZANmadden just wanna say, i’m getting into learning all the match coverage rules and how i should use them in my games and your videos are all scattered around my fyp excited to start learning i appreciate all ur work🙏
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Rob Boland
Rob Boland@CopsnROBB_ers·
@RyanJ_Heath Trying to make sure I understand who is considered “in the tree” McVay (LAR), Shanahan (SF), Johnson (CHI), O’Connell (MIN), Lafleur (GB), McDaniels (MIA), Coen (JAX), Kubiak (SEA), Taylor (CIN), Robinson (ATL), correct? Does Canales (CAR) and Callahan (TEN) count? Anyone else?
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Ryan Heath
Ryan Heath@RyanJ_Heath·
At flex-eligible positions since 2022, 23 of 43 league-winners (>55% ESPN playoff rate) have come from offenses with a McShanahan play caller or Ben Johnson. That's a 53% rate. For comparison, roughly a third (34%) of offenses fit that description heading into 2025.
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Ryan Heath
Ryan Heath@RyanJ_Heath·
But looking at these splits, personnel probably matters more. In 2024, 49.9% of dropbacks with 2 or fewer WRs on the field utilized play action. For 3+ WR sets, that drops to just 17.6%. 12 personnel may be the true efficiency hack for those on the field. @FantasyPtsData
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Ryan Heath@RyanJ_Heath

Play action remained an efficiency cheat code in 2024. And it's not just because of target depth or location: WRs and TEs each saw more actual fantasy points per target on play action. But they also exceeded their expected fantasy points (XFP) by more on those plays, too.

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Ryan Heath
Ryan Heath@RyanJ_Heath·
HUGE new article! Somewhere between only ~6-20 players matter in every fantasy football season, per data from actual leagues. Inside, I tell you exactly where to find them. My most in-depth and actionable piece ever. ...Anatomy Of A League Winner. fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/2…
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Michael Caputo
Michael Caputo@MikeCap14·
@PattonAnalytics @FTNFantasy I’m sorry this sounds so stupid. But can you please explain this chart? What do the left and bottom scores represent ? I’m unfamiliar with the wording and scores on this chart. I’m guessing like all of these plot points top right suggest the best and bottom left is the worst?
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Derek Brown
Derek Brown@DBro_FFB·
Brian Thomas Jr. last yr Wks 11-18 (among 75 WRs) (per @FantasyPtsData) tg%: 30.7 (4th) rec yds/gm: 96.4 (4th) YPRR: 2.78 (4th) YAC/rec: 6.96 (6th) Full szn pace: 187 tg 121 rec 1,639 rec yds BTJ could lead the NFL in targets as the WR1 overall in Fantasy this yr
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Michael Caputo
Michael Caputo@MikeCap14·
@Jmellflo @YouTube bro, your videos r the best! Quick ? Is there a way around nano det system. D line glitch n pause. Don't sack qb
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Michael Caputo
Michael Caputo@MikeCap14·
@ZAN_4PM ok. Heard about that. It's great and bad at same time lol. Was hoping there was way around. Fig ur the king of this
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Michael Caputo
Michael Caputo@MikeCap14·
@ZAN_4PM also interior lineman a gap blitz. Players freeze. Don't rush in for sack. Is RS in the way past this glitch ? Thx
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