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Mr Calchas
949 posts
Mr Calchas
@MrCalchas
Going for x1000, for fun and profit and myself, using: Predictions markets ref: https://t.co/nP2SDEHzFB Vow of transparency. ofc NFA😜 you do you.
onchain Katılım Eylül 2024
645 Takip Edilen72 Takipçiler
@Psyhodelikus @elonmusk Qu'est-ce qu'il ne faut pas entendre comme conneries.
Allez mater du Hentai ça va nous faire des vacances
Français
En découvrant le X des Japonais. Je me rend compte qu’il ont la mentalité et la liberté de la France des années 80 qu’on a totalement perdue à cause des gauchistes.
Français
@Polymarket Maybe I should stick to basket market... My best runs have been in that category and hopefully I will make decent predictions these playoffs.
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Mr Calchas retweetledi
@Polymarket Still grinding.
Finding some stuffs here and there but nothing consistent yet.
Let's continue learning
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Update: things are going good thanks to markets on Elon/Trump tweeting.
Next stop, $100K volume traded!
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@PolymarketHoops the sixers have been irrelevant for a while now...
Their best shot was blocked by... Kawhi's shot lol
English
True or False: Joel Embiid has no excuses not to make the conference finals this season.
👀🤔
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@LukaUpdates Luka should be really low on the list compared to the other candidates if we are all being honest.
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NBA ain't serious.
"Notable MVP candidates"
Didn't even bother to put Luka on the graphic 🤨
Meanwhile peak second picture
(Shai Gilgeous-Alexander minutes played in February)
Media hate for Luka is reaching abnormal levels and it's starting to piss me off
NBACentral@TheDunkCentral
NBA.com’s updated MVP Ladder: 1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2. Nikola Jokic 3. Cade Cunningham 4. Victor Wembanyama 5. Luka Doncic 6. Jaylen Brown 7. Donovan Mitchell 8. Jalen Brunson 9. Anthony Edwards 10. Kawhi Leonard
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POLYMARKET JUST OFFICIALLY CONFIRMED A TECHNICAL EXPLOIT 🚨
They had to add a clarification today after someone used it to artificially pump derivative market odds from 0.6% to 30% (+5,000%)
How? The bot is frontrunning the matching engine
When you try to buy, the bot detects the off-chain match on the CLOB and cancels the order before it hits the blockchain
They are artificially rigging prices while completely avoiding being traded against
The team knows about it, but it's still not fixed
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@travelingflying @elonmusk What kind of brain-dead people do you need to be ask such question???
Com'on people
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Both 5-min and 15-min Markets use Chainlink Data for resolution settlement
2 out of 3 charts at 5-min markets open/close at the same price as 15-min one
Is there any cross-market arbitrage?
read more in thread:
Kyle the Writer@KyleDeWriter
3 Days Sample on 5-min Markets gives bigger edge. Dew Point exists, retail momentum mispricing offers up to 100x per trade. but longer analyzed sample showed: ~66% of markets where "losing outcome" overtakes happen at UTC night time. US trading session ended, Asian not yet started. lower liquidity and less volatile markets make squeezes far more unpredictable. price doesn't bounce = gap in YES/NO odds pricing becomes inefficient. orderbook thins = easier to manipulate spot prices. We brought more people to 'dew point' trading pattern, as I named it earlier. as a result: $0.05 per dew point now worth ~$0.06 which is slightly reduces estimated EV calculations. this was expected, if not me then someone else could become the first to call. my mission as a trader is to maintain low-sizing and pick better trading hours.
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Somewhere (2010) is Sofia Coppola at her most patient. Long stretches where nothing “happens,” and that’s the point. The movie just sits with a famous man who has everything & still feels empty. That final drive says more than pages of dialogue ever could.
cinesthetic.@TheCinesthetic
What are some movies that feel peaceful and calming, with little to no tension?
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@TheCinesthetic After all these years, I realise that this was made for people who read the book. While everyone who only watched the movies was annoyed it was "just a dream", those who read the books were happy for this display of powers.btw there were critics on the ending of Harry potter too.
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nothing could ever describe the feeling of watching this for the first time
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Mr Calchas retweetledi
@fesshole I wish we could have more on this. I have so many questions.
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Or at least try...
*Me with the most negative pnl of @Polymarket of all time lol
Mr Calchas@MrCalchas
Be the edge you want to see in the market
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