NatVeryLikely

442 posts

NatVeryLikely

NatVeryLikely

@NatVeryLikely_

Katılım Temmuz 2022
35 Takip Edilen3 Takipçiler
NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@peter_tulip @Mark_Graph Peter, your argument on immigration is confused. "pecuniary externalities" but then say people should debate the other issue they have with immigration elsewhere. Pareto is irrelevant. When it comes to the housing ?, at the margin would decreasing immigration decrease demand?
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Peter Tulip
Peter Tulip@peter_tulip·
.@Mark_Graph has a good blog post on immigration vs planning. "If a city consistently can't build enough supermarkets despite decades of population growth, you don't blame the people for eating food. You ask why nobody can get a planning permit." markthegraph.blogspot.com/2026/03/why-ho… 9/9
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Peter Tulip
Peter Tulip@peter_tulip·
Q: Is supply or demand to blame for expensive housing? A: Both. It’s the gap that matters. Asking which is more important is like asking which blade of the scissors does the cutting. The important question is what's the best policy to address it. 1/9
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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@DrCameronMurray Everybody has this backwards and upside down. Pref voting doesn't favour large or small parties. If voter are on a relative normal distribution and cast their preferences as such, the pref. voting favors candidates that are positioned towards the middle.
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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@peter_tulip @Dittloff4Sense @swrighteconomy Did you read the article Peter? I did. And while what Drew quoted was the entirety of the articles arguments, it was one of the points the author put forward. Why would they author write that if not to try and support their own claims? You are the one misrepresenting the article
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Peter Tulip
Peter Tulip@peter_tulip·
@Dittloff4Sense @swrighteconomy Yes, that's a charitable interpretation. The other interpretation is that he is misrepresenting his opponent's views because he can't address the arguments actually being made.
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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@MarkoMatvikov Come on dude. What percentage of Australia's population does Victoria account for? Hint: it might make the 25% figure make perfect sense and nit sensationalist! I know math be hard for an engineer but jeezus.
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Marko Matvikov
Marko Matvikov@MarkoMatvikov·
Victorians now account for almost a quarter of all Australians receiving JobSeeker payments. And overall, the proportion of people receiving JobSeeker payments for more than 2 years has risen from 35% in 2010 to 53% in 2024.
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Angie Jones
Angie Jones@angijones·
🤣 Couldn’t resist making my point when they were all lined up hurling abuse.
Maggie Greer 🦘💚🤍💜@Maggie_Shhh

@angijones still staring down the feral trans activists. If @JohnPesutto couldn’t break her in the last two years, nutters screaming the erudite chant “no one likes you” certainly won’t. 2 years after the @ThePosieParker rally, women came to reclaim the steps of parliament 🙌

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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@DrCameronMurray It was nice to have the general public realize econ was more than macro, gdp and interest rates. I would take Freak over sitting through another math grads econ phd defense who couldn't explain opportunity cost in an intuitive way to save his life.
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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@DrCameronMurray As a former (and reformed) economists, i will defend Freakonomics for what it is. PopEcon. I can't think of anything else that has done more to explain the power of an econ framework for analysis of the novel, to the layperson. Even if the analysis is so robust at times.
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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@ComicDaveSmith You are the human version of Chatgpt. Lots of info and can formulate it into seemingly plausible sentences. But completely lacking ability to prioritize source credibility. Moronic. i had never heard of you before. Douglas Murray performed poorly. But you are a dummy.
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Dave Smith
Dave Smith@ComicDaveSmith·
I find it funny that you guys do everything but present an actual argument. It’s all framing tactics. Here’s a video of Douglas blatantly strawmanning over and over. Your response: look at Dave talking about the debate, beta! Of course I’m talking about it. It was a huge debate. YOU are talking about it and you have nothing to do with it. You have to be delusional to think my reputation took a hit on this. Even if you think he won the debate on substance (he didn’t) look at the response. Your boy committed reputation suicide.
Eyal Yakoby@EYakoby

It’s so funny that Douglas hasn’t tweeted once about the debate and Dave Smith is working overtime to try and salvage any credibility he has left. Beta behaviour.

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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@DrCameronMurray My favs from 2024. Blind Spots: When Medicine Gets It Wrong, and What It Means for Our Health - Marty Makary. Public health getting things wrong on a mass scale. So good. Frostbite: How Refrigeration Changed Our Food, Our Planet, and Ourselves by Nicola Twilley
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Cameron Murray
Cameron Murray@DrCameronMurray·
I've got some audible credits to use. I'd like to hear from my X followers their book/audiobook recommendations.
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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@peter_tulip @GrattanInst We have one of the highest construction labour as % of workforce. Housing policy and immigration are separate questions. What an absolute facile statement.
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Peter Tulip
Peter Tulip@peter_tulip·
Complaints that pro-housing economists like me or @GrattanInst ignore immigration show a failure to pay attention. But the complaint that my not having a position is a "cop out" is a fair point. Housing policy and immigration policy are separate questions. Whatever ... 1/2
Grond Capital@GrondCapital

@PhilbyB @JosephNWalker @peter_tulip *marginal* housing demand is *mostly* immigration To ignore it, is to be totally irrelevant in the debate To palm it off as "complex with trade offs" is a total cop out

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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@peter_tulip @GrattanInst How do we build more houses though? You talk like there is a magic wand, "if we just released more land blah blah", we would build more houses. We build more dwellings per capita than any developed nation already, by some margin.
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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@DoNoHarm79 What the hell does her obesity have to do with it?! I'm against RCH gender clinic as much as anyone but this is a trash post. Pathetic.
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Evidence Based Treatment
Evidence Based Treatment@DoNoHarm79·
Would you trust the advice of a morbidly obese “professional” at the RCH without medical training? What if this meant putting your child on puberty blockers and cross sex hormones? Please note that this photo was taken after gastric banding surgery and significant weight loss.
Evidence Based Treatment tweet media
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Aja ♀️🇬🇧
Aja ♀️🇬🇧@AjaTheEmpress·
Sharing this for anyone who hasn't read it yet. It's a must. Germaine Greer, "On Why Sex-Change is a Lie," published in The Independent Magazine 1989 #ThisIsTrans
Aja ♀️🇬🇧 tweet media
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NatVeryLikely
NatVeryLikely@NatVeryLikely_·
@KerenZelwer 😂 "Umm…where was Jesus born?" I would love to here @antoinette_news actually answer that question and how she thinks that helps her point.
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Keren Zelwer
Keren Zelwer@KerenZelwer·
I’m not spiralling, I’m laughing at how pathetic it is. If I didn’t know better I’d think it was protesters making fun of protesters.
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Antoinette Lattouf
Antoinette Lattouf@antoinette_news·
@KerenZelwer Thought you’d be busy writing letters to news outlets trying to get journos sacked for sharing facts about Israel. I’ve seen a few you’ve written. Nice hobby during a genocide & when the highest number of journalists have been killed since @CPJAmericas began in the 1980s
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Humanspective
Humanspective@Humanspective·
NEW. Misinformation Bill: Legal Expert from the Victorian Bar Association calls the misinformation bill and what’s contained in the explanation memorandum “an extraordinary document”: “[The idea] that opinions, claims [and] commentary can constitute misinformation, is one of the most disturbing aspects of this bill”
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Shambo of Luxembourg
Shambo of Luxembourg@BradfemlyWalsh·
You know what would be a good test for sex? Whether you think a cheek swab is "invasive" or not. Because if that's the most invasive medical procedure you'll ever have done, you are 100% male.
Dr Adam Rutherford@AdamRutherford

New paper out today: Fair and Safe Eligibility Criteria for Women's Sport: The Proposed Testing Regime Is Not Justified, Ethical, or Viable @RugbyGeneStudy @stebbina coauthored by me, @BlairH_PhD @JonathanOspinaB @SGollishRuns et al. + Linked rebuttal. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/sm…

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Keşfet

@peter_tulip @Mark_Graph @DrCameronMurray @Dittloff4Sense @swrighteconomy @MarkoMatvikov @Glinner @PaulHoyw