Nicholas Chirls

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Nicholas Chirls

Nicholas Chirls

@nchirls

in the asylum with early-stage founders @asylumventures @notationcapital

Brooklyn, NY Katılım Şubat 2009
915 Takip Edilen9.9K Takipçiler
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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
Today I'm launching @asylumventures, a new venture firm dedicated to the creative act of building companies. Asylum's first $55 million fund is an embodiment of my belief that founders are artists, not assets:
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Beezer Clarkson
Beezer Clarkson@Beezer232·
1/ Power law still holds at scale - just at a different magnitude. On Origins, @daveclark85 walks through the math (w/ @NChirls). If you’re allocating to $1B+ funds, the assumptions matter. What has to be true: → Exit markets need to support massive outcomes → Even a $6B fund can produce fund returners → A return-driven lens ≠ IRR-driven lens
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Otto
Otto@ottosipe·
Stoked to announce our $16m Series A led by Healthier Capital. This team made it possible. I wrote some thoughts about what growth means to me. Read below.
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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
One of the joys of this work is to see people grow into true leaders. @ottosipe is making art in an unlikely place - prescription routing for patients, which will bring down the cost of our therapeutics.
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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
@aashaysanghvi_ Feels so long ago like it almost wasn’t real. But it was! Still is in pockets, such as Brooklyn 😉
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Aashay Sanghvi
Aashay Sanghvi@aashaysanghvi_·
Venture has become a transactional, 'deal' oriented business...it's nice to see this injection of humanity from one of the OGs Constant reinvention, genuine curiosity about people and products
Michael Mignano@mignano

Fred Wilson is one of the greatest VCs of all time. He is also my new partner at @USV and I'm lucky to say that. We've known each other for years, but becoming partners felt like a reason to get to know him even better. So a few weeks ago, we walked around Union Square and caught up about what @fredwilson has learned over nearly 40 years of VC, how AI may be making the profession obsolete, how to build an investment thesis, why he believes the Knicks will win the NBA title this year, and a few of his long held grudges. Here's a video of that conversation, set at Union Square, Madman Espresso, the USV office, and Leon's on Broadway. Chapters: 3:22 - That time Fred wrecked Mike on Twitter 6:01 - Pre-Internet VC in NYC 9:50 - Early Internet Investing and Raising for Flatiron Partners 11:59 - The Dot-com Crash Killed Fred’s First Firm 14:28 - Fred’s Grudge Against Coffee Shop 16:35 - How to Pick the Right Team at Right Time 18:28 - AVC blog, Gawker’s Nick Denton, TypePad.com 20:44 - Jim Kramer invented Tweeting 21:46 - Why Fred Bet on Twitter Early 23:39 - Building Agents on Claude Code and Tasklet 26:20 - Claude Mythos and Doomerism 27:27 - The Original USV Thesis 29:19 - Network Effects and Brad’s Thesis 31:29 - Coinbase: Thesis, Investment, Outcome 33:18 - Investing in Decentralized AI 34:59 - Open Source AI 36:55 - AI Kill Zone: Legal AI is Dead, Energy Investments 42:37 - USV Agents Will Replace Its Partners 47:00 - Are VC’s building themselves out of a job? 48:30 - Leon’s, NYC’s New Tech Watering Hole 50:52 - Generative Art 53:18 - SOLIENNE: AI Artist trained by Kristi Coronado 54:25 - What About AI Scares Fred 55:40 - Societal Backlash to AI 58:10 - Advice to Early Career VCs: There’s More Risk in Not Doing Deals 1:00:48 - Fred’s Biggest Regrets: Saying No Because of Price 1:04:17 - Fred’s Bold Prediction for the Knicks and the Mets

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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
This is as close to a perfect pod episode and interview I’ve seen in a while. More than anything it’s a beautiful homage to nyc and what you can do and become here. Well done @mignano and @fredwilson
Michael Mignano@mignano

Fred Wilson is one of the greatest VCs of all time. He is also my new partner at @USV and I'm lucky to say that. We've known each other for years, but becoming partners felt like a reason to get to know him even better. So a few weeks ago, we walked around Union Square and caught up about what @fredwilson has learned over nearly 40 years of VC, how AI may be making the profession obsolete, how to build an investment thesis, why he believes the Knicks will win the NBA title this year, and a few of his long held grudges. Here's a video of that conversation, set at Union Square, Madman Espresso, the USV office, and Leon's on Broadway. Chapters: 3:22 - That time Fred wrecked Mike on Twitter 6:01 - Pre-Internet VC in NYC 9:50 - Early Internet Investing and Raising for Flatiron Partners 11:59 - The Dot-com Crash Killed Fred’s First Firm 14:28 - Fred’s Grudge Against Coffee Shop 16:35 - How to Pick the Right Team at Right Time 18:28 - AVC blog, Gawker’s Nick Denton, TypePad.com 20:44 - Jim Kramer invented Tweeting 21:46 - Why Fred Bet on Twitter Early 23:39 - Building Agents on Claude Code and Tasklet 26:20 - Claude Mythos and Doomerism 27:27 - The Original USV Thesis 29:19 - Network Effects and Brad’s Thesis 31:29 - Coinbase: Thesis, Investment, Outcome 33:18 - Investing in Decentralized AI 34:59 - Open Source AI 36:55 - AI Kill Zone: Legal AI is Dead, Energy Investments 42:37 - USV Agents Will Replace Its Partners 47:00 - Are VC’s building themselves out of a job? 48:30 - Leon’s, NYC’s New Tech Watering Hole 50:52 - Generative Art 53:18 - SOLIENNE: AI Artist trained by Kristi Coronado 54:25 - What About AI Scares Fred 55:40 - Societal Backlash to AI 58:10 - Advice to Early Career VCs: There’s More Risk in Not Doing Deals 1:00:48 - Fred’s Biggest Regrets: Saying No Because of Price 1:04:17 - Fred’s Bold Prediction for the Knicks and the Mets

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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
He took the comparison to its logical conclusion: “Most paintings are failures. Most songs suck. Novels aren’t often best sellers. So the nature of an artist is you fail most of the time, yet you’re tenacious and you’re resilient.”
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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
“They see things that other people don’t. They hear things others don’t. And they’re driven to take that vision and turn it into physical reality. You know who else does that? Painters do that; sculptors do that; poets do that; playwrights do that.”
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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
The @asylumventures thesis in a nutshell —> “The true founders—not the ones who want to make a lot of money or do it because their roommates want to do it—are closer to artists than to any other profession,” - Steve Blank H/t @billdybas
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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
In 2023, I was pretty sure I was done with the venture and technology business. I went through a rough patch in both my personal and professional life. I told myself pushing through was the only option, but in hindsight I’m not so sure…
Nicholas Chirls tweet media
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Sam Gerstenzang
Sam Gerstenzang@gerstenzang·
@nchirls you've been an inspiration to me in doing "your own thing, your way" for many years. thank you for sharing - meaningful to many.
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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
Planning to post a personal essay tomorrow on “rough patches” - kinda nervous but now I can’t not. See ya in the morning…
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Nicholas Chirls
Nicholas Chirls@nchirls·
+1 to Arian comments. I don’t know him but he gets it
arian ghashghai@arian_ghashghai

idk this essay relays a very articulate picture of the current zeitgeist in VC but also establishes a few opinions as fact that imo are empirically incorrect: The general premise here again is the now-common VC trope that only 10 companies matter, and everything else is chopped liver. I find this nonsensical because: 1) implies that only a company with certain input permutations (e.g. founder credentials) can grow to "matter", which enforces an elitism (e.g. "legible to institutional capital from day one") that only founders of a certain geography or milieu can matter (as we know, even this is wrong in the current climate). imo this is inherently the antithesis to the original "pirate" spirit that has historically driven VC returns (and why this industry even exists). also there is no empirical evidence that there are permutations of founder credentials that reliably predict outcomes 2) by extension of 1), that means everything priced cheaply (e.g. $5M post) is "lower quality" (and will not produce outcomes due to structural conditions). however, OP also says a way for small funds to navigate the narrow path is to invest in "opportunities in sectors or categories that are not yet legible to large institutional firms" and "to take bets where others won’t" (which is 100% correct btw). These verticals are exactly where those supposed poor $5M post deals are found btw (so the entire point on low price = low quality contradicts itself). 3) the assumption here is also that only companies hot on the private market will have liquidity opportunities (as IPO and M&A is "dead"). VC-backed tech co's not IPOing is primarily a product of cheap private capital, and frankly, brittle businesses that might have exploding revenues (which VCs value) but suck w.r.t free cash flow (which the public market values). incidentally, i would make the counter bet that this "narrow path" will actually produce *more* companies that are viable for the public market (by necessity, due to lack of access to cheap capital), but these might not be companies carrying the SF VC halo (OP uses OpenAI as the gold standard example, which is objectively a bad business in the truest sense of selling services or goods at a profit) fwiw I don't think Lucas is wrong per se. imo he's talking about a new category that's emerging as a product of AUM bloat in VC, which is still operating under the "VC" umbrella, but is not really VC anymore (and we should find a new name for it)

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