Ko Chun

Best loser wins 🏆

@0xinternetchild No i meant the name, so if he starts project freedom +, does it count yes

@NoShitSatoshi No it does not, the rules say that it must be a clear actual announcement, not hypothetical

"Will Trump restart project Freedom by May 31st" Price : 38c Fair value imo : ~20c I think this market is very overvalued for one reason. Traders equate restarting Project Freedom with restarting the war. They think it's a good proxy, now that we don't have strike markets anymore, but it really is not. The rules explicitly require that the US announces the restart of "Project Freedom" or any "substantially equivalent" operation. Problem is that Project Freedom was a substantial failure. US destroyers were sent to the strait of Hormuz with the task of escorting civilian ships. It resulted in 2 oil tankers (HMN Namu and CMA CGS) damaged and forced to turn back and not a single oil tanker making it to the other side. Only a few of the +2000 ships stranded in the Persian Gulf agreed to take part in the operation in the first place because they believed that the risk was too high. I imagine that there won't be many volunteers for round 2 It just doesn't make much sense to restart project freedom at that point. If the US want's to restart the war they will probably go with a massive air campaign (most likely) and maybe a limited ground invasion (less likely but possible). I know Trump said he would restart "Project Freedom" if Iran didn't make a deal but he's notorious for saying whatever sounds cool at the moment so i'm not taking it very seriously I think NO on this market is a good bet. Maybe coupled with YES on "Iran closes it's airspace" in case the war restarts.

@Aviation_Intel Why is everybody hell bent on US opening the strait, trump are not in a hurry opening it

China pressures Iran into opening the strait and Trump pulls back on Taiwan? Is that the deal? Access to CHIPS is a bigger threat to our national security than anything going on in the Middle East folks.

@clashreport Another mf who cherry pick trump's statement for personal bias

Trump signaled opposition to Taiwan formally declaring independence, saying: I’m not looking to have somebody go independent. And, you know, we’re supposed to travel 9,500 miles to fight a war. I’m not looking for that. I want them to cool down. I want China to cool down. Source: Fox News

@WilliamYang120 You took the taiwan statement out of context. Why did you blot out the comment about china as well? Cause it fits your narrative, eh chigga?

U.S. President Donald Trump urged Taiwan against seeking independence, reiterating that he wants the situation to “stay the way it is.” He then openly urged “everybody making chips in Taiwan” to head to the U.S. because that “would solve” their “problems” since it’s a heated situation. This passage will likely renew anxiety and debate in Taiwan about whether its advantage in advanced semiconductor manufacturing is at risk of being “hollowing out.” It will create more challenges for the Taiwan government to convince the public about staying in locked step with the U.S. despite the continuous aggression from China. “I’d like to see everybody making chips over in Taiwan coming to America. It’s a heated situation and there is no question about it. We expect to have 40 to 50% of the world chip businesses by the end of my term and I think it should be even more than that. I think all of those chip companies, if they are smart, they should start heading to Arizona, or where they are building it. That’s going to solve you problems.” x.com/atrupar/status…

@araghchi Pffttt you can't even close BEM, houthis would rather watch you drown than save yo ass

Americans are told that they must absorb rocketing costs of war of choice on Iran. Put aside gas price hike and stock market bubble. Real pain begins when U.S. debt and mortgage rates start to jump. Auto loan delinquencies are already at 30+-year high. This was all avoidable.

@0xinternetchild Agreed, also, starmer ain't got balls so 0,1 chance.

The freest bond from last month is making a come back "Will the UK send warships through the strait of Hormuz by May 31s" NO -> +11% (UK) for 16 days hold = 998% APR 💸 Contrary to many markets, this one does not resolve upon the mere announcement that the UK *will* send warship through the strait. "This market will resolve to YES a national government or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships *transited* through the Strait of Hormuz" This already makes a difference because their closest (and only LMAO) ship in the region, HMS Dragon, would still need to travel 5-6 days to reach the strait. Which mean that if it isn't much closer by then the market will essentially resolve on the 25th. Both the UK and France also made clear that they would only send warships through the strait once peace came back. So we would probably need a solid permanent peace deal before they attempt anything, considering that there is currently fighting ongoing in the strait despite the "ceasefire". Add to that the fact that the UK led coalition is comprised of 40 nation that all have to coordinate and you will understand how unlikely it is that anything get done at all. Fair value for this market is probably around 1-2%. It's not a flashy 10x but good traders don't sneeze at free bonds

@bundeskanzler @POTUS You're such a freeloader merz

I had a good phone call with @POTUS Donald Trump on his way back from China. We agree: Iran must come to the negotiating table now. It must open the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran must not be allowed to have nuclear weapons. (1/2)

@ArcherNightfall Well i mean, if i have a wife like macron's i'd probably do the same 😂

@grok @grok did He or his wife directly deny the allegations

Has Emmanuel Macron, since the scandal broke of him and Golshifteh’s affair, made any public statements about Iran in anyway? @grok

@jenniferzeng97 Trump just likes to sit leaning front

As far as I know, Trump is 12 cm (4.7 inches) taller than Xi Jinping. Why does he look shorter when they sit down? This is how “confident” Xi Jinping is.

@TheIranWatcher I mean yeah, if this war ends, iran is still going to need to sell oil to china again. probably at a steep discount too. Who else will buy their oil. so good move there by xi throwing iran under the bus

🚨 China openly sides with the U.S. over the Islamic Republic on key Iran issues. Several of Iran’s core pressure points are weakening fast: 1️⃣ Nuclear leverage weakening China stated that Iran should never obtain a nuclear weapon, effectively following the United States’ position and further isolating the Islamic Republic internationally on nuclear energy rights. 2️⃣ Hormuz leverage weakening China also emphasized that the Strait of Hormuz must remain open and stable for global trade and energy flows, while signaling opposition to Iranian tolls or restrictions on commercial shipping. That directly undermines one of the Islamic Republic’s strongest geopolitical cards: threatening global shipping and energy markets through Hormuz. 3️⃣ China is prioritizing itself, not Iran China is prioritizing trade stability, energy security, and broader economic interests over protecting the Islamic Republic. China buys Iranian oil because it is cheap and useful. It is not going to sacrifice its far larger global interests for Iran. 4️⃣ The relationship was never equal United States-China trade still exceeds $400 billion annually, while China-Iran trade is only a small fraction of that even with discounted oil and sanctions evasion. Iran needs China far more than China needs Iran. Xi called China-U.S. relations the “world’s most important relationship,” which shows the Islamic Republic’s leverage, partnerships, and bargaining power are far weaker than it believed.

@ArcherNightfall Xi throwing iran under the bus fr?

🇺🇸 USS MAKIN ISLAND, WASP CLASS, IS JOINING THE FIGHT IN IRAN!!! THE BROTHER OF USS BOXER - THE VAUNTED 13TH MARINE EXPEDITIONARY UNIT IS ON THE WAY LET'S GOOOOOOOOOO THE CALCULOUS IS NOW INCREASING FREE IRAN ALL THE WAY

@InsiderGeo No, so you mean it's a one sided deal wim for trump? Surely xi got something more

NEW | The Trump-Xi joint statement out of Beijing contains three Chinese concessions on Iran. One: China agrees Iran "should never have nuclear weapons" — exactly what Tehran rejects in the MOU. Two: China supports "the opening of the Strait of Hormuz" and Xi publicly expressed frustration over Iranian tolls. Three, and the heaviest: Trump says Xi pledged not to supply military equipment to Tehran. What Xi got in return: rhetorical recognition of Taiwan as priority, but not in the joint statement itself. The "strategic stability" framework. Equal-status framing at the table with Trump. He sold Iran for Taiwan at the level of language, not substance. What it means for Tehran: the Russia-China-Iran triangle just lost a vertex in 8 hours. Moscow stays as the only major power left in the ring. Iran's MOU position weakens dramatically. China keeps buying discounted oil, important distinction: it aligned the public language, not the operational behavior. But for the international diplomatic framing, Iran is more isolated now than it was 24 hours ago.

@DefensePolitics Didn't xi like strait up made comments about taiwan? Still friendly or just some "love tap"

So far, all things look great in China as Xi Jinping welcomes Trump for the state visit. The highest welcome had been prepared by China for Trump and in term of the language used by both leaders, are very positive, respectful and friendly. Looking forward to a positive outcome from the talks for a more cooperative and peaceful future.

@IRIMFA_SPOX Big words coming from a regime that massacred it's own citizen

To every decent human being—regardless of religion, ethnicity, nationality, race, or any other distinction, To Muslims, Jews, Christians, Sikhs, Hindus, Buddhists, and all others of faith, And to those who follow no formal religion but hold deeply to the universal values of peace, justice, and human dignity: The U.S. - Israel launched this war of aggression on 28 February 2026, for a second time in less than a year, while Iran-U.S. were engaged in diplomatic negotiations. This is not merely a war over land, resources, or geopolitics. This is a war that will determine the very meaning of 'good' and 'evil' in our time and for future. What has been unleashed upon our peace-loving nation is not just another conflict. On one side stand those who delight in violating every law of war and basic human decency—those who murder for sport, who slaughter children to torment their families, who fire newest missiles at women’s sports halls simply to test their destructive power. This is a war between those who boast of torpedoing unarmed vessels “for more fun,” and those who go to extraordinary lengths to protect innocent lives. This is a war between professional liars who fabricate justifications for atrocity, and a proud people who defend their homeland and human dignity relying solely on their own strength and resolve. This is a war between those whose decisions are shadowed by moral compromise, and those who act with a clear conscience. This is a defining struggle for the future of humankind. It will decide whether civilization’s hard-won achievements—human rights, the rule of law, and basic morality—will survive or be swept away. We must choose: Do we accept a world ruled by modern slave masters—arrogant, domineering, and unaccountable—who govern through coercion, lies, and extortion? Or do we stand for a world grounded in respect, justice, peace, and human dignity? Humanity’s conscience is not yet dead. But in times like these, silence is complicity with evil. If you reject the path of barbarism and domination, then find the moral courage to speak, to act, and to stand on the right side of history—before the world descends into an abyss of lawlessness and subjugation. The choice is yours. And history will remember.

@tsybka Surreal market who's even bidding

Wtf, who even created this market? It’s so absurd it doesn’t make any sense. We’re losing so many potentially good markets for unclear reasons, yet we’re publishing this shit...

@USronaldcarter Well you're just pointing out the obvious tbh, nothing new

🚨 THE NEXT 72 HOURS. DAY BY DAY. BOOKMARK THIS. 📅 TODAY — May 13 → Air Force One lands in Beijing with 12+ named CEOs aboard — Tesla, Nvidia, Apple, BlackRock, Boeing, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, GE, Qualcomm, Micron, Blackstone, Cargill → Jensen Huang boarded during the Alaska refueling stop — last-minute addition → Trump confirms "many other" undisclosed CEOs also on the plane → The largest corporate delegation ever to accompany a sitting U.S. president touches down in China 📅 MAY 14 — Day 1 of Summit → Trump and Xi sit down for formal talks → The ask: Xi opens China's market to U.S. business — directly, officially, on camera → 12+ of the most powerful CEOs in the world are in the room or the building → Combined market cap of companies represented: over $10,000,000,000,000 📅 MAY 15 — Day 2 / Outcomes → Deal announcements expected — or silence that speaks louder → Every CEO on that plane needs something specific from Beijing: chip licenses, manufacturing access, supply chain agreements, financial market entry → If Xi says yes to even half of it, the trade war framework changes overnight → If Xi says no, 12 CEOs flew to China for nothing — and markets will price that immediately 72 hours. Every step has precedent. Every prediction has math. Nothing like this has ever happened in the history of U.S.-China relations. The outcome of this trip will move markets more than any Fed meeting this year. Bookmark this. Come back May 15. if you're not following me you're finding out about this 48 hours late from someone who read my post..

@MEPPonPM @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket Eh,, starmer ain't got balls.... Except he needs a diversion for his shaky position... Germany is a freeloader.. France is a wild card, perhaps

sorry not sorry, I dont make the rules. (last one went from 3c(when I shared on x) to 65c).

The most.comprehensive shit ever. Excellent work

@Aviation_Intel Israel doing it through secret base in iraq? 🤔

Possibility Of Operation To Retrieve Iran’s Enriched Uranium Appears To Rise As Negotiations Sputter Both Trump and Netanyahu made comments in the last 24 hours that point to a possible high-risk operation to snatch Iran's nuclear material. twz.com/news-features/…