Patrick Ward

New Blog: Making predictions from a mixed model using R I've covered mixed models a bunch in my blog. Today I go through extracting confidence intervals and prediction intervals, to go along with point estimate predictions. optimumsportsperformance.com/blog/making-pr…

@ChelseaMartinPT Congrats, Chelsea!! Way to go!!

PhD ✅ It has been quite a journey that I am incredibly grateful for. Thankful for the amazing friends and colleagues I have gained along the way in the UNC Epidemiology program and beyond and all the love to my family and friends. 🫶🏻❤️

New Blog: Bayesian Modeling with STAN Part 3 – Handling Categorical Predictors optimumsportsperformance.com/blog/bayesian-…

@markhelme1 @EngIceHockey @Carnegie_Sport @CentreForCAPL @Ashjones1987 @rupertquineymsc @Kelvey_Perform @ktconditioning @Joe_Eisenmann @IceHockeyUK @ICSportsTherapy Would love to check it out

@OSPpatrick @EngIceHockey @Carnegie_Sport @CentreForCAPL @Ashjones1987 @rupertquineymsc @Kelvey_Perform @ktconditioning @Joe_Eisenmann @IceHockeyUK @ICSportsTherapy Hi Patrick, it was accepted today so I can’t be certain on the date for publication ahead of print, but I can share a pre-publication copy if you would like?

I was delighted to get this email accepting our first study with @EngIceHockey. We measured over 300 youth British Hockey players to model their physical Development trajectories. Look out for it in the International Journal of Sport Science and Coaching

I believe Seattle's Becca Erenbaum is the first data/analytics NFL staffer to make the official draft call to a club's pick. Pretty cool and good for Becca (and Seattle)

The deadline for applications for the Fall 2026 cohort of our Master’s Degree program in Human Performance and Fitness is just 2 months away. Qualified candidates who are looking to advance their careers in the fitness industry are encouraged to apply. The program also provides extensive opportunities for students to engage in ongoing research in our state-of-the-art lab and potentially co-author publications. 💪 Below is the link to the online application. welcome.lehman.cuny.edu/apply/

New Blog: Bayesian Modeling with STAN Part 2 – Multiple Linear Regression & Model Checking This week we extend our STAN model to handle multiple independent variables and cover some model diagnostic and convergences checks optimumsportsperformance.com/blog/bayesian-…

@bballstrategy In future parts of the series I will get into it.

@OSPpatrick Thanks for reply. Not enough explanation for a typical reader imo. But will look to read more at your site over time.

New Blog: What’s the Plan Stan? Bayesian Modeling with STAN Part 1 Beginning a multi-part series on probabilistic coding in STAN (via R and Python) optimumsportsperformance.com/blog/whats-the…

@bballstrategy Trace plots of the iterations of the Markov chain

@OSPpatrick What is the 1-3 sentence or paragraph explanation of that graph?

We are currently accepting applications for the Fall 2026 cohort of our Master’s Degree program in Human Performance and Fitness. Qualified candidates who are looking to advance their careers in the fitness industry are encouraged to apply. The program also provides extensive opportunities for students to engage in ongoing research in our state-of-the-art lab. Link to the online application below welcome.lehman.cuny.edu/apply/

11 straight years of Brian Eayrs & I looking at football data together!!

What a season!!

JSN. WR1. OPOY. 🔥 Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the 2025 NFL Offensive Player of the Year 🏆

Go work with @SeanAClement ! Not only is he a smart dude, he’s also a great guy! 👇👇👇👇👇

The Analytics and Strategy department is hiring a seasonal intern to come and join our staff at the New York Jets. We are looking for someone who is ready to take on the challenges of working in the NFL and change the future of football. Go Jets teamworkonline.com/football-jobs/…

Shoutout to the talented analytics staffers behind the Seahawks and Patriots rise. Seattle's group is nicely on their website -- New England's squad includes Max, Ekene, Marshall, Richard, Keithen, Emily and Mike

@SamEhrlich @ellis_hughes Thanks!!

Learned a lot of my early coding in R from @OSPpatrick and @ellis_hughes YT channel back in the day! Smart people over there @tidyx_screencast?si=PfDSoBr-a_ymm6VG" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">youtube.com/@tidyx_screenc…

Excited to finally get this one published!

The last 14 months have been some of the most challenging ever in my life. I’m just so happy we could get this win and head to the Super Bowl. Go Hawks