
I got my main account back. I’ll make an announcement in a little bit. Will include proof of life.
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I got my main account back. I’ll make an announcement in a little bit. Will include proof of life.



I got my main account back. I’ll make an announcement in a little bit. Will include proof of life.





I got my main account back. I’ll make an announcement in a little bit. Will include proof of life.

Howard Marks is the biggest bear right now—the S&P 500's trailing P/E ratio is 26 times, while the forward estimate is 21 times—both at elevated levels. Historically, when the P/E ratio has reached around 23 times, the 10-year annualized return that follows has ranged from 2% to −2%, with no exceptions. Even in the best case, it's negative after inflation adjustment. History proves that buying at high valuations makes asset building difficult…


The ratio of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) to Coincident Economic Indicators (CEI) showing the steepest decline in the entire history of the metric and now at a level typically seen during or just before recessions. Small/mid + cyclicals rip hard once the ratio bottoms and turns up







Key word: historically. Look forward. Not backwards. It’s 2026. Diff economy from 1985, from which these old data sets draw from. Regime change is a thing kids. People like this will keep fighting the mkt and lose money. It’s been happening since 2009.