Peter xyp
540 posts

Peter xyp
@Peterxyq
AGI/ASI 2030 singularity 2035 LEV 2040-2060

"My prediction is that within 50 years, biology will be the engineering material of choice, and many of the people reading this article will become bioengineers." Terrific wide-ranging interview with @AdrianWoolfson at @IEEESpectrum: spectrum.ieee.org/synthetic-biol…

📁 Demis Hassabis, CEO of DeepMind, says AI will not just accelerate medicine. It will redefine it. First it will design drugs. Then it will change how they are tested and approved.

高考600分以下的最好出路、唯一铁饭碗,就是学EE。 中国未来一个最大产业趋势,就是用整整一代人的财政和市场作为代价,彻底解决半导体国产自主可控的问题,解决芯片上下游卡脖的问题。 这不是一个产业盈利和外贸的问题,这首先是国家战略安全、产业安全、信息安全问题,是国家安全问题, 所以必须用国家战略级别的手段和魄力,用市场准入、补贴、地方财政和国家产业大基金一起滋滋孵化、国产红线、各大互联网厂商认购订单、国企央企强制采购等等方式, 扶持半导体制造和高端半导体设计整条产业链,彻彻底底、完完全全扶持一整套国产半导体产业。 除了半导体以外,还有一大批外围其他小众领域核心硬科技产业,比如医疗器械、船舶、航空航天(国产山寨SpaceX、starlink)等等,都是未来中国各级地方基金、国务院各产业部门扶持的热点项目。 对于高考600分以下的小朋友,如果不爱编程、不想学编程、甚至不爱学习的人而言, 选个EE(电子、信息、通信、集成电路、自动化、电气、光电)专业,毕业进入这些行业,混吃等死一辈子, 愿意学习的,考个211,读个本硕博,踏踏实实死磕VLSI,毕业进华为海思、寒武纪、摩尔线程、瑞芯微、紫光展锐等等半导体设计公司,或者大疆、比亚迪、小米这些消费电子和新能源汽车, 不愿意学习的,普通垃圾一本毕业,考个垃圾一本硕士,找个中芯国际、新凯来、鹏芯微、长江长鑫等等半导体制造,年薪30万也能混吃等死一辈子, 再不愿意学习的,读个三本电子专业,进个单片机、智能手环、山寨无人机公司,当个销售工程师、售后工程师、测试工程师, 哪怕大学一门课都没听,但必须至少懂一丁丁技术,只要能正确区分示波器和微波炉,能看得懂PLC的梯形图,能分得清仪器上的红灯绿灯,知道电线电容电阻焊锡不能咽下去,智商高于75, 你就可以有一个月薪1.5万、混吃等死大半辈子的工作。 虽然学了EE,基本上跟科技互联网和AI的机会彻底告别绝缘(哪怕进了华为海思做ascend 910 series,但是你依然觉得自己跟LLM六小虎不在一个层面), 但是至少比学个垃圾材料环境、数学物理化学、学个人文社科经管垃圾三本毕业(就业率<20%),出路要强太多了。 EE这个行业,不需要你喜欢,不需要你爹妈懂,因为高考不到600分的人,也他妈别谈什么“我喜欢什么行业”、“我从小梦想学什么专业”了, 这个分数段的人,能保证一辈子有碗饭吃、一辈子在一个被江浙沪广东地方财政扶持、擦边进入国产强制半导体和仪器设备采购名录、一辈子能让你混吃等死的半导体企业, 已经是这一代人当今时代最大的福报了。



If you want to be in good shape at the age of 70, you need to be in GREAT shape at the ages of 30 and 40 If you're in semi-decent shape in your 30s and 40s, you're going to be in bad shape in your 70s There's a natural decline in fitness due to aging, but you will be in a better position if you start off from a higher level That's why it's important to be above average Graph: PMID: 39456714

Elon Musk on Semi Immortality “I've long thought that longevity or semi-immortality is an extremely solvable problem… when you consider the fact that your body is extremely synchronized”

I think the term ‘Virtual cell’ will have the same trajectory as ‘AGI’ or ‘Foundation models’ Initial opposition by rigorous scientists Bay Area + Demis are the only users --> mainstream term soon in few years (something about Overton windows)


Aging startup Retro Bio chases $5 billion valuation statnews.com/2025/12/03/agi…




When we published AI 2027, we thought 2027 was one of the most likely years AGI would arrive. But it was not our **median** forecast, those ranged among authors from 2028-2035. Now our medians have moved back a bit, but our most likely year is still ~2028. More in thread.













