Poly Sapiens

Fastest Free scanner for prediction market arbitrage Manually flipping between tabs to hunt mispricings? Pure pain. Ignoring? Bigger pain >Polymarket + Predict fun, 3 more soon >Free to use >Sports🧐 Created by @zloynasistemy & @PolySapiens predict.zloynasistemy.com /1 Tread

So this is how $INK works? NADO has a $1 and $0.10 price step on majors in 2026. Similar to @aevoxyz back in the day, but they had more liquidity than this trash If I need to hedge my futures trial funds, will I get more than the fees I spend, or is it not real anymore?

@edgeX_exchange aka eggdicks pre-market on Binance has just started By FDV now $EDGE = $MARU lmao But edgex still has biggest proven buy-back potentian among perps. What to expect from other purps? Btw odd on 1B fdv droped in minutes after Binance pre-market

Look at this memecoin $RUB. The chart of the world's biggest country heavily looks like a pump & dump meme... But in fact we have seen this many times. It's all because of Strait of Hormuz issues. Russia can temporarily sell oil at higher rates... What is their plan? This pump is artificial – they just stopped selling $USD lol. And it's official. In fact, Russia benifits from this situation with Iran How long will it last? There are "elections" in September, so they won't make mistakes like in 2011-2012. It's not going good EVEN ON RUSSIAN TV. High $ = So I expect $RUB to sit around 85-95 until the operation in Iran concludes. Deadline to fill the budget – September, then they need to return it to about the level we used to: ~80 rub/USD I will start converting my USDT to RUB soon

@zaika_hl I want to see those IPO participants who will agree to enter, knowing that 20% of the share supply will be distributed to some web3 farmers

Backpack (a CEX) launches their own token, promises IPO access through their platform, then lists it on every exchange instead of keeping it exclusive like Hyperliquid did They have zero faith in their own platform 😂 The strategy meeting probably went like: "We need something to make them stake our token while we dump unlocks on them. Let's tell them they can access IPOs by staking. Who cares if it dumps 60-70% in a year" 🫵😹

Aspecta launched Edgex Pre-market It's at 900M FDV now, but Polymarket gives only 63% odds on FDV above 700M Looks kinda inefficient

@securezer0 Yeah, could be the real source of those fresh relay-deposited insiders…

Its pretty clear to anyone paying attention that FDV markets on Polymarket are being manipulated Projects themselves, or VC's backing projects, or ICO / seed round investors, are *trying* to pump their tokens FDV We can determine this thanks to: 1. Bidding NO being disproportionately profitable 2. The arbitrages between platforms are huge 3. New wallets that keep spending thousands The economics of this make sense 1. Spend $5,000 per week pumping FDV odds -> Get higher valuations / more investment -> Send premarket token price higher Probably illegal, I don't know, nor do i care For us its meant thousands of dollars in +EV from Arbitraging the artificial pumps You can trade these arbs on AlertPilot!

@Doonhamer_ @predictdotfun Only Yzi labs invested in this project so far, no other shitty tier 3 funds, and if they keep it clean, it’s a good pattern. However, this market is still obsessed with the revenue, so 500M+ is really optimistic..

Does anyone want to explain why almost every YES holder on the @predictdotfun Polymarket is a fresh account funded by Binance? Some more Binance crime incoming?

And another prediction market that will change everything The new HIP-4 will change the game, as this platform will be the first to deliver excessive liquidity with leverage in prediction markets It's essential to track HIP-4 listings. even coins listed on $HYPE give arbs...

@Fijacyber_ Well, at that time I mostly traded Zeta Markets, LogX and some Orderly, but a few hedges on HPL gave bigger returns than all that together.. But still Arkham, AEVO, lighter, derive were awesome

On Hyperliquid airdrop day, I almost cried. I was not a good trader, which resulted in me losing 4 figs while trading on orderly. I was farming orderly instead of hyperliquid. Man, that's still one of my greatest regrets in this space. I stopped farming perp dex since Orderly. No matter how high the next perp dex will print, I won't be showing up.

There is an arbitrage setup on a Fed rate hike in 2026 There is 3.6% +EV, but poor liquidity Going to try providing some sponsor liquidity on Polymarket to check if it will help to provides sufficient liquidity and if the EV actually covers the it How to trigger LP bots?

TVL in fun & Opinion decreased, and it seems some local arb bots eventually left because the market now offers more and more opportunities It's hard to rely on point calculations in this world sentiment, but +EV is still here

@Ivanbenzemama @Polymarket @predictdotfun @zscdao @PolymarketTrade Good point, FDV markets are very similar to alts, as they always dump after literally anything, at least until the latest news But, I would 100% buy up to 200M NO if I see another round with tier-3 funds and ect, but if the market changes, it will be at least on the same level

1.5m volume of the market. Predictfun hypes on @polymarket. > Not bad volume for the 18th days. After @predictdotfun acquired Probable the percentage for a good outcome increased. > You can see this clearly on the screenshot. But this actually plays right into our hands. Once the hype dies down we'll likely return to the same percentages or even lower.

@baga_brc @MEXC_Official @edgeX_exchange True, solid breakdown btw

@PolySapiens @MEXC_Official @edgeX_exchange That CRCL sequence matches what I documented in real time - including funding inversion, spread expansion, and disappearing discussion.

On-chain @MEXC_Official crime is coming even before TGE... It's now clear to me, as @edgeX_exchange rugged the people I know on $CRLC RWA assets They took arbs on a 5% price gap between "eggdicks" and other platforms, but their MM decided to remove liquidity and set +0.4% funding while everybody had longs... > Nobody could exit the trade because of the bid-ask spread. > Can't close = lose 0.4% per hour > They've deleted most FUD from Discord & TG After a 10/10 incident where a lot of folks suffered from those red candles, it did well, but on some small thing, when they make mistakes, get ready to pay the cost If you'll checked the charts, they are 100% normal, as they've cleared it up...

@BleemAI @CryptomomX @variational_io @edgeX_exchange @grvt_io @extendedapp @reya_xyz @pacifica_fi @hibachi_xyz @grok @Var_Points_OTC it's the one here made by @Vargan0x

@PolySapiens @CryptomomX @variational_io @edgeX_exchange @grvt_io @extendedapp @reya_xyz @pacifica_fi @hibachi_xyz @grok Bro,Which TG's OTC?

Perp dex point - OTC price: • @variational_io : $25–40 per point • @edgeX_exchange : $25–30 per point • @grvt_io : $15–20 per point • @extendedapp : $2–3 per point • @reya_xyz : $1.5–2 per point • @pacifica_fi : $0.5–0.75 per point • @hibachi_xyz : 0.3-0.5$ per point • @paradex : $0.18–0.21 per point • @Backpack : $0.2–0.25 per point • @etherealdex : $0.01–0.015 per point 🤔 Did I miss anything?

@CryptomomX @BleemAI @variational_io @edgeX_exchange @grvt_io @extendedapp @reya_xyz @pacifica_fi @hibachi_xyz @grok What you do is you help projects to farm users, speeding wrong info

@PolySapiens @BleemAI @variational_io @edgeX_exchange @grvt_io @extendedapp @reya_xyz @pacifica_fi @hibachi_xyz @grok $7 is too low for this tier project 😂

@BleemAI @CryptomomX @variational_io @edgeX_exchange @grvt_io @extendedapp @reya_xyz @pacifica_fi @hibachi_xyz @grok Hi man, this guy just pushed some bullshit, so never mind For instance, variational otc rn at 7$, so it’s about his wet dreams, need community notes for this guy

@CryptomomX @variational_io @edgeX_exchange @grvt_io @extendedapp @reya_xyz @pacifica_fi @hibachi_xyz @grok 帮我分析一些这个帖子的内容，并结合其他帖子的相关内容。给我重新整理一份真实不带激励的估值表。

@securezer0 @VortexPM666 Hahahha

@VortexPM666 @PolySapiens 😂?

⚠️ Polymarket loses a lot of its appeal over sportsbooks if it continues to add fees to all its markets Sportsbooks: marketing, legal in most of the US / EU, regulated, refunds on cancelled matches, preferable rules, rebates, free bets, cash trading incentives Polymarket: better odds / no fees, won’t ban your action, no KYC, airdrop incentive Most traders don’t make enough for action banning to even be a factor Airdrop incentive won’t last forever I don’t think they realise how much of a moat no fees P2P is for them And it’s a completely solvable problem. A system that feels fair Flat 1% on profit 0% on principal and 0% on losses Or better yet, any of the other hundred ways they can generate revenue No one on X is willing to talk about this for fear of losing their referral commissions or blue badge Poor coded

Some benefits of $OPN disappointment...

@WZoolly @variational_io By metrics opinion has always been bigger(before TGE), but yea, predict with it’s solo Yzi looks solid with CZ shill He actually never mentioned opinion btw, even if the tried hard on X, fudding othe pms & tagging him. I bet it’s because of their tier 3 vc..

@PolySapiens @variational_io actually only Polymarket and Predict are big enough, Opinion is way too small compared to them

Prediction for perp dex people are farming: FDV estimate and projected value per point at TGE, assuming 30% community allocation. With: $ per point = (FDV × % Community Allocation) ÷ Total Points Pool 1. @variational_io - 9.5 million points (3M retro + ~150k/week until Q3 2026) - $18.95 per point (600M FDV × 30% ÷ 9.5M) 2. @extendedapp ~40 million points (1.2M/week Season 1 ongoing + early 4.3M, expected full if runs ~8–9 months) - $2.25 per point (300M FDV × 30% ÷ 40M) 3. @grvt_io - 20 million points (weekly ~100–150k, expected full by TGE) - $10.50 per point (700M FDV × 30% ÷ 20M) 4. @etherealdex ~6 billion points (200M/week ongoing since Cycle 10, no cap) - $0.01 per point (200M FDV × 30% ÷ 6B) 5. @OstiumLabs - 25 million points (Season 2 hard cap) - $9.60 per point (800M FDV × 30% ÷ 25M) 6. @01Exchange - 40 million points (confirmed total across all phases) - $3.00 per point (400M FDV × 30% ÷ 40M) 7. @edgeX_exchange ~14 million points (7.3M Season 1 + ~250–300k/week pre-TGE) - $7.50 per point (350M FDV × 30% ÷ 14M) 8. @pacifica_fi ~225 million points (10M/week ongoing, accumulated >213M already) - $0.47 per point (350M FDV × 30% ÷ 225M) 9. @hibachi_xyz - 43M in Circulation (Mad March got doubled from 500k, expected full ~65M by TGE) - $1.85 per point (400M FDV × 30% ÷ 65M) 10. @nadoHQ ~25 million points (950k–1M/week Season 1 + bonus pool) - $3.00 per point (250M FDV × 30% ÷ 25M)