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Revisiting India’s GDP growth: A smaller overestimation, spread across base years @pramodhegde1/note/p-191464525?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=o1cq2" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@pramodhegde1/…
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Pramod P
6.7K posts
Pramod P
@Pramodph2019
Interested in Government policies, history, culture of India
Katılım Aralık 2019
5.7K Takip Edilen1.2K Takipçiler
@Puyangan5 He does very fair analysis...one can listen and be assured that his criticisms are valid..
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Montek is a rare gentleman and a profrssional. Though part of the old regime and despite being an MMS portege, he sticks to his principles while analysing Modi govt's performance.
Unlike that Thuguram Rajan.
Lloyd Mathias@LloydMathias
Candid & non-partisan assessment of the current economic situation by Dr Montek Singh Ahluwalia in his interview with @sardesairajdeep Says fuel price was inevitable. Applauds current dispensation for pushing thru reforms like GST & Air-India privatisation (though privatisation of others a fail). Says current turmoil should be used to accelerate reforms esp ease of doing business. Montek who is 82 now & has seem it all from liberalisation of the early 90s is still sharp & on the ball.
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I read in Mr. Som's book that there was 1-2 CM400s which were effectively fired out of the blue but we were able to intercept / escape those. With J35 one should expect a lot more of those. Im not sure if they will give the YJ21. I don't know if it's an HGV or Kinzhap type missile. But anyway it will be very tough.
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@Pramodph2019 Yes, but there is ways to counter Anti radiation missile, S400 needs to be quick to On and Off its radars and be on the move everytime, even this was done this time to some extent. Need to take advantage of terrain as well, need to hide also sometime besides ridges etc
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J35+PL16/PL17+KJ500 AWAC with new weapon grade datalink will be a real headache and they might be operational soon. I will be soon writing a detailed counter which we can prepare against this..
Sameer Joshi@joe_sameer
#PAF 2030 "No Defence in Depth" Push-Back Strategy: #PL17 envelope, anchored on #J35A holding line west of border + silent kill web, pushes back IAF #BrahMos/#ScalpEG launch line by ~220 km — exposing AEW&C, tankers & strikers to far higher risk.
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Seriously 15.4% during 1977-80?
krishan sharma@krishan_sharmaa
After reading @surjitbhalla ji’s article, I mapped India’s GDP growth across political regimes. And I agree with him when he says- 👉BJP is winning politics decisively, but not economics at the same scale. From 1999–2014, coalition governments took India’s GDP from about $459 billion to over $2 trillion. From 2014–2026, despite a far stronger political mandate, GDP growth in USD terms appears slower comparatively. This is not politics. This is economics. Our first priority as a nation is politics and not economics- we do not focus on economics 🙏 History shows: Strong governments do not automatically create strong economic outcomes. Sometimes politically “weak” coalition eras delivered stronger economic expansion than politically dominant eras. In the end, elections are won by narratives. Economies are judged by numbers. #india #economy #gdp #inr #dollars #capitalflows
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There was a question on EW. It should have been mentioned that some Su30 MKI is integrated with Escort jammers (although the early 2000s tech may be) SAP 14.
NDTV@ndtv
It’s the first birthday of Ctrl Alt Defence. @ShivAroor and @Vishnundtv take a 'New Year's Resolution'... They’re back with a “Big Boom”. Watch Episode 42 this Saturday at 6 PM.
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@Griezmenace Some thoughts on this. Direct air to air takedown is not possible even for Rafale without much higher losses.
x.com/i/status/20582…
Pramod P@Pramodph2019
Awaiting your detailed answer. But whatever I have thought would be mainly an indirect attack. Either destroy them on the ground and/ or destroy the awacs. Pakis don't have depth so it would mostly remain within S400 range. J35 will anyway be using awacs guidance mostly. If they fly with radars on then they will anyway be detected earlier.
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How we are countering ?
Sameer Joshi@joe_sameer
#PAF 2030 "No Defence in Depth" Push-Back Strategy: #PL17 envelope, anchored on #J35A holding line west of border + silent kill web, pushes back IAF #BrahMos/#ScalpEG launch line by ~220 km — exposing AEW&C, tankers & strikers to far higher risk.
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@raptor1991007 This would be a real threat. Same goes for CM400
x.com/i/status/20582…
Defence Matrix@Defencematrix1
J 35A will be more problematic with LD-8A missile than with PL-15 or PL-16. We will cover it in detail, tomorrow morning 0730
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@raptor1991007 Finally on J35, since we would likely have 3 S400s in western sector likely at least one may be able to get a side view which has much higher RCS than frontal.
Nevertheless it's a real threat even for S400s much more than what we faced during Sindoor with JF17 and CM400.
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@raptor1991007 AIM 260 will be the real deal no doubt...but won't meteor technically have better NEZ...
Plus I have seen I think you saying Astra MK2 ER would be almost similar to PL16, so does it mean it's almost meteor class then?
Astra MK3 is one level beyond all this mostly...
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I would slightly disagree. Yes, Meteor was best for a couple of years, but now AIM260 & PL16 have come up with better range 250-300KM & AESA seeker. Meteor will get an AESA seeker in its MLU. Energy wise its still debatable in lower ranges. Need more data of NEZ of the new ones
Defence Matrix@Defencematrix1
Meteor is the world's best air to air missile. And it's not just a quote. SFDR makes huge difference, the kind of numbers in which PL-15 were found in India which did nothing wouldn't have been the case with Meteor, regulating your energy based on condition gives you serious benefits, that's why most of the countries are trying to mimic meteor and still not there, including China.
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@Peeyooshch Yes...that's mostly for 2021...there were unfortunately a few lakh COVID deaths in 2020 as well...and given the scale of India undercounting was definitely there too...
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@Pramodph2019 Most credible data driven estimates do fall around the 20 lakh or so number.
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COVID year there is a clear increase...so undercounting is certain...only question always is how much...plus it hasn't dipped to pre COVID years levels since, better measurement?
andyd@andyd10
India 2018-2024
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@Peeyooshch It would be even higher...my sense was around 25-30 lakhs overall deaths due to COVID ...
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@Pramodph2019 If you assume that the additional deaths were between 1 and 1.5 per 1000 and a population of 1.4 billion then covid deaths were around 1.5-2 million. Official number is 700,000 as far as I remember
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@Puyangan5 Exports grew much faster in the earlier period also no? Don't know one may have to see growth over global growth or something
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Does depreciation of ₹ help exports? Possibly yes. Going back to the 2010s, between 2010-11 and 2012-13, there was a ~10% increase in "core" exports while currency depreciated ~15%. But difficult to figure out how much of this is just a bounce back from recession levels.
In 2013-14, the year UPA had to firefight the Fragile Five crisis, exports grew by a healthy 7%.
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everyone, including the finmin and pmo folks, is aware of these problems afaik, and yet they aren’t keen enough to address them
Pramod P@Pramodph2019
People from PM EAC who know a lot better should make these people understand. If this is premise on which the advice is going to Finance Ministry, then what to say.
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People from PM EAC who know a lot better should make these people understand. If this is premise on which the advice is going to Finance Ministry, then what to say.
Puja Mehra@pujamehra
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Definitely mixed...unless they know the product is not upto the mark or something....otherwise this approach should follow...would be mostly better than IRBIS upgrade...
VERTEX@vasilyaarkhipov
Super Sukhoi may not be the only upgrade path for the IAF’s Su-30MKI fleet 🤯🇮🇳 Private player Data Patterns has proposed an alternative avionics + radar package featuring Talent Shield jammers and the Hawk Eye 2700 AESA radar (claimed ~350 km class detection against 5m² RCS with wider side coverage). The idea is to offer a faster and potentially more scalable upgrade option while the deeper Super Sukhoi modernisation continues. With 258 Su-30MKIs in service, the bigger question is whether India should pursue one standard for all or adopt a mixed upgrade approach. Thoughts?
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