Priyam Patel

172 posts

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Priyam Patel

Priyam Patel

@PriyamCharts

Markets through a technical lens | Price action, key levels, setups | No hype. Just charts.

Chicago, IL Katılım Mayıs 2026
199 Takip Edilen60 Takipçiler
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
Starting to post publicly as @PriyamCharts. What you'll get here: - Chart breakdowns across stocks + crypto - Macro context when it matters - Educational threads to sharpen your read of markets No hype. No noise. Just honest analysis. Beginners - I'll break everything down simply. Experienced traders - let's talk setups. Drop a ticker in the comments - I'll add it to my watchlist. 👇 - Priyam
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
@Hedgeye Japanese bonds - can’t stop, won’t stop. Covered the full mechanism today - carry trade, USD/JPY, and what it means for global markets. 👀
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Hedgeye
Hedgeye@Hedgeye·
🇯🇵 Japan’s 30-year yield makes a new all-time high
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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note rises to 4.631%, its highest since early 2025.
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
Japanese bonds - can’t stop, won’t stop. This didn’t happen in isolation. Japan’s 30-year yield is up 535% in just over 4 years. As domestic yields rise, Japanese investors bring capital home- US Treasuries get sold first. This is the carry trade unwinding in real time. Covered the full mechanism today. 👀
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PeloSwing🎯👸🏻
PeloSwing🎯👸🏻@PeloSwing·
Japanese bond yields going crazy again. Futures no likey 📉 $SPY $QQQ
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J.
J.@PresentWitness_·
Bond yields absolutely ripping. Watch out.
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
@KobeissiLetter 4.63% — right through the 4.62% level I flagged this week as the key level to watch. Once that breaks, 5% comes into play. The weekly chart has been telling this story all week. 👀
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
It simply won't stop. It is Sunday night and the US 10Y Note Yield just casually hit 4.63%, the highest since February 2025. We are now ~4 basis points ABOVE the high that prompted President Trump's "90-day tariff pause" in April 2025. This puts the 10Y Note Yield up +70 basis points since the Iran War, with US mortgage rates now nearing 7.00%+. And, in a sudden turn of events, the odds of rate cuts have collapsed to 2% this year and US inflation is nearing 4%+. The US bond market is collapsing in real-time.
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
Every time USD/JPY pushes back to 160, the MOF buys yen and sells dollars to push it back down. But the market knows this. Speculators keep selling yen, forcing repeated interventions- each one drawing down Japan’s reserves. Japan has roughly $150–180 billion in immediately available reserves for intervention. The market doesn’t have that constraint. Eventually either the BOJ raises rates enough to make holding yen attractive, or the market overwhelms the intervention. Covered the full mechanism in my thread today - carry trade, BOJ hiking cycle, and what it means for global markets. x.com/priyamcharts/s…
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
@Cointelegraph This didn’t happen in isolation. Japan’s 30-year yield is up 535% in just over 4 years. As domestic yields rise, Japanese investors bring capital home- US Treasuries get sold first. This is the carry trade unwinding in real time. Covered the full mechanism today. 👀
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Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph@Cointelegraph·
🇯🇵 BIG: Japanese investors sold a record $29.6 billion in US debt in Q1 2026, the biggest quarterly dump since 2022.
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
@TedHZhang $215 is the net below the tightrope. $235 is the other side. Wednesday decides which way he falls. Posted the full chart breakdown today. 👀
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Ted Zhang
Ted Zhang@TedHZhang·
$NVDA earnings May 20th.
GIF
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
@MichaelMOTTCM New cycle highs on the 30-year and RSI isn’t even overbought yet. No technical reason for this to stop here. The 10-year at 4.617 is sitting right at the 4.62% level I flagged this week- last time yields were here deficit fears were the trigger. Watching closely. 👀
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Michael J. Kramer
Michael J. Kramer@MichaelMOTTCM·
US 30-yr New cycle highs. Hasn't been here since '07
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
@rev_cap 10Y at 4.617. That’s right at the 4.62% level I’ve been watching- last time yields were here deficit fears were the trigger. Weekly triangle compressing since 2023. Ichimoku turning bullish. If 4.62% breaks, 5% comes into play. Covered the full $US10Y setup this week. 👀
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts

$US10Y monthly - zooming out. The triangle compression is clearer from up here. Last time yields spiked to this area - deficit fears were the trigger (May 2025). 4.62% is the next level to watch now. That spike is the most recent reference point overhead. Weekly structure turning bullish. Monthly approaching a decision zone.

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Rev Cap
Rev Cap@rev_cap·
Those are some big yields Small caps going to struggle
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
158.85 and climbing. 160 is where the MOF has intervened twice before - spending over $62 billion defending that level. The ascending triangle on the weekly is compressing right into this zone. Resolution coming - either intervention or breakout. Covered the full USD/JPY setup and what it means for the carry trade today. 👀
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts

Japan’s 30-year bond yield is up 535% in just over 4 years. Japanese investors just sold $29.6 billion in US Treasuries in Q1 - the largest quarterly sale since 2022. Here’s the full story and why it matters for every market you’re watching. 🧵

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JustDario
JustDario@DarioCpx·
“Either Japan intervenes on the JPY FX again today, throwing another batch of its monetary reserves down the drain, or it won't take long till we see 160 again” - Looking forward to seeing how many monetary reserves will be incinerated this week by Japan
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JustDario@DarioCpx

Either Japan intervenes on the JPY FX again today, throwing another batch of its monetary reserves down the drain, or it won't take long till we see 160 again. In either case, expect sharp moves in one direction or another

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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
@zerohedge When bonds go bidless the BOJ faces a choice- let yields run or step back in with QE. Either way it’s a significant moment. Covered the full story today- the carry trade, USD/JPY, and what Japan’s yield surge means for global markets. 👀
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts

Japan’s 30-year bond yield is up 535% in just over 4 years. Japanese investors just sold $29.6 billion in US Treasuries in Q1 - the largest quarterly sale since 2022. Here’s the full story and why it matters for every market you’re watching. 🧵

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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
Countdown to more BOJ QE as JGBs go bidless.
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
@Mr_Derivatives Godzilla is right. 30-year at 4.121%, 40-year at 4.322%. This is the regime change playing out in real time. Covered the full mechanism today - carry trade, USD/JPY, and what it means for global markets. 👀
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts

Japan’s 30-year bond yield is up 535% in just over 4 years. Japanese investors just sold $29.6 billion in US Treasuries in Q1 - the largest quarterly sale since 2022. Here’s the full story and why it matters for every market you’re watching. 🧵

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Heisenberg
Heisenberg@Mr_Derivatives·
Japan’s yields going godzilla.
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
@Jake__Wujastyk Clean setup. $433 is the level- ATH VWAP sitting right there as confluence with the triangle resistance. Break and hold that and it opens up toward $475 where volume profile shows thin air above. Posted a full $MSFT breakdown earlier this week if you want the levels. 👀
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Jake Wujastyk
Jake Wujastyk@Jake__Wujastyk·
$MSFT #MSFT Ascending triangle on the weekly candle chart.
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Priyam Patel
Priyam Patel@PriyamCharts·
Bar is high and the chart knows it. $235 is the resistance overhead. Break and hold that post earnings and the structure opens up. Fail and $215 is the first level to watch- triple confluence sitting right there. Posted a full top-down breakdown of $NVDA today if you want the levels. 👀
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The Rock Trading Group
The Rock Trading Group@The_RockTrading·
$NVDA Wall Street consensus expectations are for strong double-digit growth driven by AI/data center demand:Revenue: ~$78.5B–$78.8B. This would represent ~78–79% YoY growth. NVIDIA’s own prior guidance was $78B ±2%. Adjusted EPS: ~$1.75–$1.78 Data Center (the AI GPU engine) is expected to dominate at ~$73B+, with other segments (gaming, automotive, etc.) making up the rest. Many analysts model a beat and raise, with some projecting ~$80B revenue on stronger Blackwell B300 ramp and AI demand. The bar is high—NVIDIA has beaten revenue estimates in every quarter of FY2026—but Street sentiment is bullish, with focus on: Blackwell/Rubin ramp timing and AI capex outlook from hyperscalers Gross margins (expected ~71% non-GAAP, any sustainability signals) Overall AI demand commentary from Jensen Implied move: market is pricing in a ~6–8% one-day stock move post-earnings. Here at ATHs, I think stock gets pinned on earnings print.
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Jesse Cohen
Jesse Cohen@JesseCohenInv·
No pressure, $NVDA.
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Cole
Cole@StockOptionCole·
$NVDA As we approach earnings on 20th, we're getting a great opportunity I believe we're on for a move to 300+ this year as we're on for a massive re-rating after 9 months of consolidating Last week a good piece of Catalyst came out with a partial lift on Chip restrictions, and with all the great news form every Semiconductor company this quarter. Will share Trade Idea on Watchlist & Alerts with Subscribers this week 🏆
Cole tweet media
Cole@StockOptionCole

$NVDA This opportunity from 195 to 300 will be one for the books of 2026 for Semiconductos The center core of the entire AI Industry is breaking out and just starting 244, 260, 300 Whales loaded up 300C for 8/21 today and maybe we'll get that sooner than I think. Earnings is on Monday and this is a very similar situation to Whales loading up 240-260C the week before $NBIS gapped up 20%+ on earnings 🏆

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Keşfet

@Hedgeye @FirstSquawk @PresentWitness_ @KobeissiLetter @leadlagreport @Cointelegraph @TedHZhang @MichaelMOTTCM