
Josh Hendrickson
13.7K posts

Josh Hendrickson
@RebelEconProf
Professor and Chair, Department of Economics, Ole Miss | Senior Fellow @bitcoinpolicy | Economic Forces Newsletter: https://t.co/4aTR2YnOro




NJ man who decapitated seagull that tried to steal French fry from daughter sentenced to 8 months trib.al/9QFmGi2


After much reflection, I have decided to resign from my position as Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, effective today. I cannot in good conscience support the ongoing war in Iran. Iran posed no imminent threat to our nation, and it is clear that we started this war due to pressure from Israel and its powerful American lobby. It has been an honor serving under @POTUS and @DNIGabbard and leading the professionals at NCTC. May God bless America.

So grateful to Liberty Fund for their support and commitment to excellence over the years.






New draft out! Must be spring break — another paper update 😅 Conventional VARs can't recover fiscal shocks when agents anticipate policy changes. I demonstrate that an MS-BVAR solves this by showing that regime switching is both the source of foresight and the key to identification. Key Results: 1) Spending multipliers are large and state-dependent (1.4–1.8 in recessions, ~1.0 in expansions). 2) Tax multipliers: consistently small across all regimes — much smaller than conventional estimates suggest. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…


Coinbase is quietly lobbying to kill Bitcoin's de minimis tax exemption. The company reportedly told legislators that "no one is using Bitcoin as money" and that a Bitcoin de minimis exemption would be "DOA." Meanwhile, they're pushing for the exemption to apply only to stablecoins, specifically regulated, dollar-pegged stablecoins like USDC. Coinbase made $1.35 billion in stablecoin revenue in 2025, up 48% year over year, almost entirely from interest earned on U.S. Treasuries held in USDC reserves. Bloomberg estimates that number could surge 7x under the GENIUS Act. Every person who uses USDC for payments instead of Bitcoin is a person whose dollars are sitting in Coinbase's reserve pool generating risk-free yield for Coinbase. A de minimis exemption for Bitcoin would let people spend it freely for everyday purchases without triggering a taxable event. That makes Bitcoin a direct competitor to USDC as a payment method. Coinbase doesn't want that competition. They want you locked into their centralized stablecoin ecosystem where they clip yield on every dollar you park there. The irony is that a de minimis exemption doesn't even make sense for stablecoins. They're pegged to the dollar. They don't fluctuate in value. There's no capital gain to exempt. The exemption matters for Bitcoin precisely because it does fluctuate, and without it, every coffee purchase becomes a taxable event. Senator Lummis proposed a $300 de minimis exemption that would cover Bitcoin. The House framework only covers stablecoins under $200. The Bitcoin Policy Institute has already warned that Bitcoin is being deliberately excluded from these talks. A de minimis exemption that covers stablecoins but not Bitcoin isn't a tax framework. It's a subsidy for Coinbase's treasury management business disguised as consumer protection.



A White House official has just released to @YahooSports a full confirmed list of attendees at the college sports presidential roundtable






