Robin Powell

In 1849, this advert promised fortune to anyone willing to sail to California and dig. Most of the 300,000 who went came home broke. The real money went to those who supplied the tools and served the boom. Sound familiar?

Here's the article 👉 shorturl.at/j9Gsm I'd love to hear people's views.

100 years of US stock market data. Nearly 30,000 stocks. Just 46 drove HALF the gains. The haystack got bigger. The needles got fewer. My latest for The Evidence-Based Investor 👇 #Investing #Stocks #Finance

Time horizon reduces the need for prediction. #LongTermThinking #StayTheCourse

Missed any of the videos in this series? Here's the playlist of all 12 videos so far 👉 shorturl.at/EgsZ2 We're building a library of the research that actually changed how portfolios are built. Which paper would you add? 🤔

"Asset allocation explains 93.6% of investment returns." You've heard that stat. It's wrong. What the paper actually found, and what the industry has been misquoting for 40 years, is the subject of our latest video for @IFAdotcom 👇 #Investing #WealthManagament #Finance youtu.be/SzECm9l1BEc

5/ The smart money is quietly exploiting a behavioural bias the rest of us can't seem to shake. My latest for The Times on why the best investments are the ones nobody wants to talk about. 👇 #Investing #BehaviouralFinance shorturl.at/5VWcG

4/ A new Australian study shows who profits from this. Institutional investors systematically buy steady, less volatile stocks. Retail investors chase the biggest price swings — and only change course after the losses have hit.

1/ Nobody at a dinner party tells you about the payroll processor or the waste handler they've held for years. They tell you about the stock that doubled. It sounds like wisdom. It's usually the opposite.

Market, size, and value factors explain much of long-term returns. #FactorInvesting #EvidenceBased

Want to watch the other videos in this series? Here's the playlist 👉 shorturl.at/EgsZ2 And if there's a genuinely game-changing paper we haven't covered yet that you think should be included, we'd love to hear your suggestions!

Most investors take risks they're not getting paid for. William Sharpe proved it in 1964.. and won a Nobel Prize for it. Our latest video for @ifadotcom explains why his paper still matters. #Finance #Investing #Stocks shorturl.at/pRmsY

Here's my article 👉 shorturl.at/nZ9Sq And here's the paper 👉 shorturl.at/JV9s6

277 out of 334 analysts covering the world's seven largest stocks say buy. Five of the seven have zero sell ratings. That's not analysis. It's a standing ovation. New research examined thousands of boom-bust episodes. Before every crash, every expert signal pointed the wrong way. Short sellers vanished. Analysts forecast 52% returns at the peak. Nobody used the word "bubble". #Stocks #Markets #Investing

Your biggest competitor is your own behaviour. #InvestorDiscipline #BehaviouralFinance

Forecasting distracts. Saving and discipline build wealth. #StayInvested #FinancialHabits

Here's my article 👉 shorturl.at/CsXCG I'd be really interested to hear people's thoughts.

HALO stocks — Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence — are being sold as a new AI-proof strategy. But Goldman's own data shows the trade tracks value vs. growth almost perfectly. A familiar rotation with a fresh acronym. I've taken a closer look. Link in the comments. #HALOstocks #Equities #ETFs #Investing

Markets respond to behaviour as much as mathematics. #MarketBehaviour #InvestmentReality