Romain Faquet

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Romain Faquet

Romain Faquet

@RomainFaquet

économiste

Paris Katılım Mayıs 2012
325 Takip Edilen846 Takipçiler
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Philippe Waechter
Philippe Waechter@phil_waechter·
𝗝𝗮𝘆 𝗣𝗼𝘄𝗲𝗹𝗹 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝗿𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗻 𝘄𝗶𝘁𝗵 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗙𝗲𝗱 𝗮𝗳𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝗼𝗳 𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗺 𝗮𝘀 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗶𝗱𝗲𝗻𝘁. Jay Powell decided to remain a member of the Federal Reserve board after the end of his term as president in May 2026. He can remain governor until January 31, 2028. In the press conference following the monetary policy committee, he indicated that once Kevin Warsh has been sworn in, he alone will lead the American central bank. It is then up to him to convince about the relevance of the strategy he will lead. He, Jay Powell, will become a simple governor again and wants to be neutral but ready to discuss with Warsh like any board member. By acting in this way, he avoids the role of shadow governor, the one who deciphers and criticizes decisions and who discredits the choices made. From this point of view, his attitude is rather honest by not wanting to draw the lights on him to the detriment of the new president. This is consistent with the attitude he had during his presidency. If Powell stays then he will deprive Trump of the appointment of a new member who would be favorable to him. The FOMC board, with Powell as governor, would not have a pro-Trump majority. For now there is Michelle Bowman, Christopher Walker. There will be Kevin Warsh, of course, who will replace Stephan Miran who is a temporary member. This will not make a majority. On the other hand, Donald Trump will get carried away. He has already threatened Powell to fire him if he stayed. During an interview with Fox Business on April 15, 2026, he said: "Well, then I will have to fire him. If he doesn't leave on time...". This point will be interesting since he has already tried to "fire" Lisa Cook without success. It will therefore be a new test of the independence of the American central bank. This will be important for the credibility of the institution and the status of U.S. assets for international investors.
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Justin Wolfers
Justin Wolfers@JustinWolfers·
If you're in the mood for a bit of a deep dive explainer on the private credit boom (and its risks!), by jingo, I've got you covered. Trying something new on my youtube page, and I'm interested in what you think: youtube.com/watch?v=sa2Eud…
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Nick Timiraos
Nick Timiraos@NickTimiraos·
At his confirmation hearing, Warsh dismissed core PCE as "rough swag" and said he'd prefer to focus on better gauges of underlying inflation like median or trimmed mean. This got attention because Dallas Fed trimmed mean was 2.3% in February (y/y)—well below core PCE at 3.0%.
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fipeco
fipeco@ecallefipeco·
Publié ce matin par Eurostat :
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Yann LeCun
Yann LeCun@ylecun·
Dario is wrong. He knows absolutely nothing about the effects of technological revolutions on the labor market. Don't listen to him, Sam, Yoshua, Geoff, or me on this topic. Listen to economists who have spent their career studying this, like @Ph_Aghion , @erikbryn , @DAcemogluMIT , @amcafee , @davidautor
TFTC@TFTC21

Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei: “50% of all tech jobs, entry-level lawyers, consultants, and finance professionals will be completely wiped out within 1–5 years.”

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FedResearch
FedResearch@FedResearch·
Consumers' inflation expectations closely tracked actual inflation before, during, and after the Covid-19 pandemic. This #FEDSNote explores consumers' wage and income growth expectations, which remained stable during this time despite surging wages: federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/…
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Insee
Insee@InseeFr·
#Blog | Après le choc géopolitique de fin février 2026, le prix du pétrole a fortement augmenté (+17 % en mars). Les données à haute fréquence de l'Insee révèlent notamment un pic de consommation début mars et un changement des anticipations des ménages 👉 blog.insee.fr/hausse-des-pri…
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Minneapolis Fed
Minneapolis Fed@MinneapolisFed·
US goods inflation is more than 2 percentage points above average. But categories predicted to be most affected by tariffs do not align well with goods experiencing the most inflation. New analysis from our @neilmehrotra & @tradewartracker. bit.ly/41UkGyL
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Raphael Glucksmann
Raphael Glucksmann@rglucks1·
Viktor Orban a perdu! La défaite du valet de Poutine et Trump est une grande nouvelle pour les Hongrois, pour les Ukrainiens et pour tous les démocrates européens. Ce soir, le règne de l’ami corrompu et autoritaire de Le Pen et Bardella est fini. Ce soir, la liberté a gagné!
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fipeco
fipeco@ecallefipeco·
Dans ma nouvelle note sur le site de FIPECO j'examine les effets d'un choc pétrolier sur les finances publiques et les risques présentés par l'augmentation de la dette publique : lire fipeco.fr/commentaire/Ch…
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Peterson Institute
Peterson Institute@PIIE·
🌸APRIL 14: @ojblanchard1 joins a special Spring Meetings episode of PIIE Insider LIVE to explain why he's optimistic about Europe's future. Subscribe wherever you get podcasts & register to watch live here: piie.com/events/2026/ol…
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Andrea Presbitero
Andrea Presbitero@a_presbitero·
Interested in the macroeconomic effects of #wars and scaling up #defense spending? Join us tomorrow for the launch of the World Economic Outlook analytical chapters
IMF@IMFNews

TOMORROW: Tune in at 9AM ET as IMF’s Andresa Lagerborg & Hippolyte Balima join @MSchularick president of the @KielInstitute, in conversation with Reuters’ Andrea Shalal, to discuss insights from new analysis in our April 2026 World Economic Outlook. imf.org/en/publication…

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Ernie Tedeschi
Ernie Tedeschi@ernietedeschi·
Good thread & column by @foxjust. My take: - There are major asterisks with both the DFAs & CEX. - However, many (not all) of the CEX issues have to do with income measurement & won't change the rank ordering of households for these percentile purposes. /1
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Justin Fox@foxjust

I have a new column (gift link to come farther down in the thread) on that Moody's Analytics stat attributing nearly 50% of consumer spending to the top 10% of the income distribution, which @LevyAntoine, @ernietedeschi and others have critiqued

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Kiel Institut
Kiel Institut@kielinstitute·
📢 Next Kiel–CEPR International Economics Seminar on Thursday! We are excited to host Fiorella de Fiore @BIS_org presenting her latest research on the pass-through of input price shocks to firms’ expectations and pricing decisions 👉 kielinstitut.de/events/seminar…
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Marc Goldwein
Marc Goldwein@MarcGoldwein·
The President’s budget doesn’t include many actual budget metrics. But @BudgetHawks figured out that debt would fall to 94% under their fantasy assumptions, but rise to 124% based on CBO-like assumptions. crfb.org/blogs/overview…
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Nick Timiraos
Nick Timiraos@NickTimiraos·
The judge who ruled that Pirro's subpoenas of the Fed were improper denied the government's motion to reconsider his ruling, paving the path for an appeal that could continue the brinksmanship with Tillis over the Warsh confirmation wsj.com/economy/centra…
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