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Ruuj
356 posts
Ruuj
@RuujSs
Every Decision Is Just Math Underneath.
on chain Katılım Şubat 2026
242 Takip Edilen194 Takipçiler
"His conclusion: never swing at a bad pitch, even if it's technically in the strike zone. Wait for the perfect pitch in the perfect location, then swing as hard as you can."
So underrated.
Doubling down on what works will beat the alternative every single time.
Doesn't apply just to stocks either, applies in all facets of life!
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Anthropic pays $750K/ year per senior engineer.
The creator of Claude Code just revealed his coding setup at the Sequoia AI session.
Boris Cherny: "100% of my code is written by Claude Code. I run around 100 agents at one time."
free. 24 minutes. watch it
then read article below
Movez@0xMovez
English
A CNBC host warned the US is sitting on $100 trillion in liabilities it can't afford
Nobody in the room wanted to hear it
"the stock market doesn't give you a glimpse into our future or our kids' future"
Bookmark & Watch it. Then read the post below the CEO of Citadel behind $90 billion in profits says being wrong is the job ↓
Сarm1ne@carm1nee
CEO of Citadel: "no one is more wrong than I am today", he built the most profitable hedge fund in history in this interview he explains why he hired a Russian rocket scientist, why being the smartest in the room is a mistake, and why being right 54% of the time made $90 billion Bookmark & watch it. Then read the article below - The 77-year-old formula that explains why a small edge is all you need ↓
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Professor Pierre Pinson in his 65-minute lecture explains how to use modern AI tools for better forecasting on Polymarket
He says the key shift is this - instead of trying to predict one exact outcome, treat the future as a range of possibilities
Forecasting isn’t just about being right. It’s about creating a useful "forecast" that actually helps you make smarter decisions
The real winners are those who deeply understand two things:
- the probabilistic nature of the future
- their own psychological biases
Highly recommended watch and bookmark this post ↓
koren’s@korenssss
This venture capitalist on Polymarket correctly identified that the market was undervaluing Alphabet in tech rankings and earn +$79,540 He bought first/second/third for Alphabet in different months at 20¢ – 38¢ and received 67% – 240% ROI His profile: @hauchn?tab=positions&r=korenssss#gWrBjrs" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@hauchn?tab=po…
But this is not the only case Trader identifies a company that the market underestimates in rankings Strategy is simple: >buys every possible position of a single asset >avoid positions at 85–99¢ >track multiple companies simultaneously No one tracks this systematically anymore, that's why the prices there are often wrong This is the point that the trader takes into account during the analysis Check his profile and follow him English
CEO of Citadel: "no one is more wrong than I am today", he built the most profitable hedge fund in history
in this interview he explains why he hired a Russian rocket scientist, why being the smartest in the room is a mistake, and why being right 54% of the time made $90 billion
Bookmark & watch it. Then read the article below - The 77-year-old formula that explains why a small edge is all you need ↓
0xDipper@Dipper_pol
English
This 9-minute lecture by Nassim Taleb on "Probability Distribution" will teach you more about prediction trading than 2 months as a Quant intern at Jane Street.
Bookmark it & give it 9-minutes today. It’ll be the most productive start for your week. Then read article below.
0xDipper@Dipper_pol
English
A solo builder with $50 can now ship what used to cost:
> $5,000+
> 2 months
> a full dev team
The bottleneck isn’t coding anymore
It’s knowing what to build
Hawks@Hawks0x
English
This bot started with tiny $5 orders - and somehow pulled in over $200,000 on the 5-minute market.
In just one week, it’s already cleared more than +$212,578
And the biggest single win? Only $745.
But the wild part isn’t the size of any one trade -
it’s how those tiny positions stack up
into such an aggressive profit curve.
From the outside, it looks like it’s running three simple plays:
- Uses $5 to grab 1¢ outcomes
- Exits early before expiration to lock in profit
- Scales up to $250 on 25¢–50¢ positions
Then pushes further with $500 into 50¢ outcomes.
So this doesn’t look like a typical “elite” trading bot squeezing every edge with precision.
It feels more like something is off inside Polymarket -
creating these exaggerated, almost unnatural returns.
And yet, right now, this account sits at #2 in weekly crypto profits.
If it’s really hitting profitable trades this consistently -
that’s not just a bot.
That’s basically a money printer.
Dekos@PolyDekos
A guy with $10 just outperformed every hedge fund on Polymarket. 100% win rate. 5 trades. $7,579 profit. His secret? He only bets on markets where he's the smartest person in the room. Tamil Nadu state elections. A market so niche that most western traders can't even spell it correctly. Low volume. Zero competition. Zero attention from CT. But for him it's not research. It's just life. Local party dynamics. Ground level sentiment. Conversations his neighbors have been having for months before any result becomes obvious. That information never reaches Bloomberg. Never gets discussed in alpha groups. Never gets priced in early. So when he opens a position, he's not trading against algorithms or quant bots. He's trading against people who googled Tamil Nadu for the first time 5 minutes ago. Easy money. > 5 bets placed. > 5 bets won. > $9.99 into $7,579. Now here's how you multiply this exact edge with @Poly_Parlay: Find 4-5 niche markets where you genuinely know more than the crowd. Local elections. Regional weather. Obscure leagues. Stack them into one combined parlay. > Traded separately = $7,579 total grind > Same trades as one parlay = $37,895+ in a single position Just because parlay mechanism works this way. Bot access: t.me/poly_parlay_bo… CT keeps chasing the same 10 narratives. Meanwhile this guy prints on markets nobody else even opens.
English
HOW DOES THIS QUANT BOT PRINT $2,295 IN PROFIT PER DAY
+$89,488 PnL in one month on Polymarket
Only on short crypto “Up / Down” markets
On Mar 27, this wallet switched to a high-frequency market-making style using Bayesian + Stoikov pricing rule
P(H|D) = P(D|H) · P(H) / P(D)
The highest-paying trades make the pattern obvious right away:
$664.72 → $11,309.45 (+1,601.38%)
$247.15 → $10,697.56 (+4,228.4%)
This Quant Bot’s wallet:@0xa806270a1a7a8b18a2409c927b1e08851ce72c7c-1774550295650?via=dan-kwpx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xa806270a1a7…
The first deposit was $100,000 and the wallet is now up roughly +89.5% ROI
f = (bp - q) / b* ;
Kelly is the sizing engine that decides how much capital should be pushed into each edge
r = s - qγσ²(T - t) ;
Stoikov is the quoting layer that keeps inventory balanced while the bot hunts for mispricing
Everything still comes back to one simple condition:
{ YES + NO < 100¢ }
Daniro@Dan1ro0
English
This 1 hour Yale lecture by Nobel Prize winner Robert Shiller will teach you more about Portfolio Theory and how Wall Street actually prices risk than 4 years of a finance degree.
The foundational math behind every hedge fund, every pension fund, every risk model on earth.
Bookmark this. Skip one episode tonight. Watch it. You will not regret it.
Ruuj@RuujSs
English
"It takes character to sit with all that cash and to do nothing. I didn't get to the top where I am by going after mediocre opportunities." - Charlie Munger
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Buffett has been in the business for 60 years and produced one of the track records of all time.
Out of those 60 years, only 5 of them were "very juicy" to consider doing things in a BIG way.
That is such a contrast to the way the majority of market participants think.
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BUFFETT: There is less risk in owning three easy-to-identify, wonderful businesses than there is in owning fifty well-known, big businesses.
MUNGER: What he's saying is that much of what is taught at modern corporate finance courses is twaddle. 🤣
English
$200 BILLION has been WIPED from the stock market the past 20 minutes!
Whats going on?!
English