Sal Al
146 posts
Day 1 of burning leftover Claude tokens for equity research.
Deep dive on $LITE , fintwit favourite optical stock, the company with a quiet monopoly on the single chip bottlenecking every 1.6T transceiver on the planet.
@penguincapital1/note/p-193103722?r=41etwm&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@penguincapita…
Enjoy
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@SJCapitalInvest @Sal_KMA Agreed. IMO if the strait was open, but the war was ongoing the market would rally. Which most likely is impossible because Iran knows that’s their leverage. Hard market to get bullish on until the conflict ends.
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If you think market isn’t going lower you are not paying attention.
I’m not calling a crash, but open your eyes.
We are still barely off the high marks.
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: The Trump Administration has made "detailed preparations" for deploying US ground forces into Iran, per CBS News. Details include: 1. Senior military commanders have sent Trump specific requests aimed at preparing for a ground invasion 2. Trump has been "deliberating" whether to position ground forces in the region 3. The US has held meetings to prepare for how to handle the "possible detention of Iranian soldiers and paramilitary operatives" in a ground invasion 4. The US is preparing to deploy elements of the 82nd Airborne Division into the Middle East region It's going to be another busy weekend ahead.
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QQQ 610C stealth whale opened ANOTHER $750k at the ask less than an hour ago.
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15 minutes ago I thought this IEF mini-whale just got nuked by the TIPS auction (they opened the calls at 11:56AM). Yet the 10Y yield is backing off now. On the daily the 10Y looks like it's kicking out a topping candle. If oil doesn't spike, the ST tops on the VIX and the 10Y should give stocks a little bit of breathing room. Not an all clear by any stretch, but supportive of my tactical bullish stance today.
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@SJCapitalInvest Hopefully gov continues to subsidize domestic solar through 2026
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We didn't hold 6790. So now $SPY will crash. At least until 11 am ET
Data Driven Stocks@stockdatamarket
I don't know how true it will be for the $SPX / $SPY. But MMs are saying with the full confidence that we go to 6850 - 6860. To confirm it - we must go above 6790-6800. Especially 6790 is important!
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There may be a $SPY dump like yesterday, before we rip higher. So it may be bearish till 11 am ET
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@stockdatamarket think CPI digestion already done anyways unless it’s hot. Think it’s inline, buy the rumor sell the news, excuse to fade into a thursday selloff. Please confirm w/ data
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Per premiums actually the stock market should go up tomorrow.
They short puts, and buy a lot of calls
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@investwithsheng Think Wednesday flatline to a slight bounce, Thursday Selloff, Friday coin flip. CPI priced in.
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$SPY if tomorrow or Thursday dips
Looking to add to leaps heavy and potentially shorter dated calls
Could be the final higher low before all-time high
Lining up with March - July seasonality as well
sheng@investwithsheng
$SPY $SPX 2 touches of this trendline now Let's see if we close the week back above 20 ema at $677
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@whoiscole helps to have your own ai ingestion pipeline to map out dynamic systems
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I find it harder and harder to come to the core truth of things now more than ever. Every time im analyzing some event or piece of information in regards to generating alpha / an understanding, I have to run it through at least 10 lenses. Is this ccp running an angle? Mossad running an angle? Maga running an angle? Hard left running an angle? Russia running an angle?
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@UncleAlpha007 What do you think about VECO as a potential beneficiary in the Photonics space
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$IQE at this market cap could to a small equity offering of 10% and wipe out its debt.
A clean balance sheet should enable a much higher move towards LandMark Optoelectronics (TPEX: 3081) market cap of $3.6B (7x higher).
Importantly, if the company sells its wireless assets for ~$50m (roughly the size of a small 10% equity offering) and repurchases shares with it, net dilution would be ~0%. Enables potential for 7x more upside to reach parity with Landmark.
This should be resolved by March 21, which is the deadline for $IQE's strategic review.
$lite $cohr $AAOI $AXTI
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