
Roman Dobrik
2.3K posts

Roman Dobrik
@ScaletonOne
30 years of experience in various product development roles in leading Silicon Valley enterprise technology companies. Cofounder of Collaxa, acquired by Oracle.





The vibes in SF feel pretty frenetic right now. The divide in outcomes is the worst I've ever seen. Over the last 5yrs, a group of ~10k people - employees at Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Nvidia, Meta TBD, founders - have hit retirement wealth of well above $20M (back of the envelope AI estimation). Everyone outside that group feels like they can work their well-paying (but <$500k) job for their whole life and never get there. Worse yet, layoffs are in full swing. Many software engineers feel like their life's skill is no longer useful. The day to day role of most jobs has changed overnight with AI. As a result, 1. The corporate ladder looks like the wrong building to climb. Everyone's trying to align with a new set of career "paths": should I be a founder? Is it too late to join Anthropic / OpenAI? should I get into AI? what company stock will 10x next? People are demanding higher salaries and switching jobs more and more. 2. There’s a deep malaise about work (and its future). Why even work at all for “peanuts”? Will my job even exist in a few years? Many feel helpless. You hear the “permanent underclass” conversation a lot, esp from young people. It's hard to focus on doing good work when you think "man, if I joined Anthropic 2yrs ago, I could retire" 3. The mid to late middle managers feel paralyzed. Many have families and don't feel like they have the energy or network to just "start a company". They don't particularly have any AI skills. They see the writing on the wall: middle management is being hollowed out in many companies. 4. The rich aren’t particularly happy either. No one is shedding tears for them (and rightfully so). But those who have "made it" experience a profound lack of purpose too. Some have gone from <$150k to >$50M in a few years with no ramp. It flips your life plans upside down. For some, comparison is the thief of joy. For some, they escape to NYC to "live life". For others still, they start companies "just cuz", often to win status points. They never imagined that by age 30, they'd be set. I once asked a post-economic founder friend why they didn't just sell the co and they said "and do what? right now, everyone wants to talk to me. if i sell, I will only have money." I understand that many reading this scoff at the champagne problems of the valley. Society is warped in this tech bubble. What is often well-off anywhere else in the world is bang average here. Unlike many other places, tenure, intelligence and hard work can be loosely correlated with outcomes in the Bay. Living through a societally transformative gold rush in that environment can be paralyzing. "Am I in the right place? Should I move? Is there time still left? Am I gonna make it?" It psychologically torments many who have moved here in search of "success". Ironically, a frequent side effect of this torment is to spin up the very products making everyone rich in hopes that you too can vibecode your path to economic enlightenment.


I have interviewed 1,000s of the world's best founders over the past decade. Few have impressed me like @ShivdevRao at @AbridgeHQ. He navigated a brutal 5-year wilderness before exploding into one of the most dominant forces in vertical AI. Today, Abridge is a $5.3BN powerhouse. I sat down with Shiv to unpack exactly how he did it and condensed my notes below: 🚀 6 Lessons on Building a $5.3B Vertical AI Juggernaut 1. Survive Long Enough for Market Timing to Catch Up: Abridge spent 5 years in the "wilderness" before hitting a tidal wave of adoption. When you have an absolute true north thesis, your primary job in the early days is simple: stay standing and don’t die. You must be alive when the sky finally opens up. 2. Pivot the Product, Never the Core Thesis: Shiv was willing to pivot on features, go-to-market strategies, and business models. But he refused to budge on his core thesis that healthcare is ultimately powered by the spoken human signal. Die on the hill of your thesis; adapt everything else. 3. Target the Concentration of Scale Early: A massive trap for healthcare and enterprise founders is staying down-market too long for "fast feedback loops". In the US, the vast majority of clinicians are concentrated within large, integrated delivery networks. Time your "YOLO shot" to go up-market the moment the market inflects. Single biggest advice to founders on when to go up market @bhalligan @dharmesh? 4. Own Your Stack to Protect Your P&L and UX: While many AI startups rely entirely on frontier systems, 40% of Abridge's model outputs are generated by in-house models. Milliseconds matter in high-stakes enterprise workflows. Building your own models gives you insane performance gains, lower latency, and ultimate control over your P&L. When should you vs should you not build your own model @matanSF @MaxJunestrand @antonosika? 5. Don't Fight Foundation Models—Counter-Position Instead If you try to fight the frontier model giants directly, you've already lost. You win by going millions of miles deep into regulated industries with proprietary datasets and workflows they can't easily replicate. Find ways to coexist and leverage their tailwinds. Reminds me of what @bradlightcap said on his 20VC. 6. Move Toward the "Flat Company" Era: With the explosion of AI agents and advanced tooling, the traditional management layer is compressing. Shiv’s latest idealistic shift is building a hyper-flat organization: fewer managers, and highly leverageable "Super ICs" who can move in lockstep and cover massive surface area. (link in comments)


The vibes in SF feel pretty frenetic right now. The divide in outcomes is the worst I've ever seen. Over the last 5yrs, a group of ~10k people - employees at Anthropic, OpenAI, xAI, Nvidia, Meta TBD, founders - have hit retirement wealth of well above $20M (back of the envelope AI estimation). Everyone outside that group feels like they can work their well-paying (but <$500k) job for their whole life and never get there. Worse yet, layoffs are in full swing. Many software engineers feel like their life's skill is no longer useful. The day to day role of most jobs has changed overnight with AI. As a result, 1. The corporate ladder looks like the wrong building to climb. Everyone's trying to align with a new set of career "paths": should I be a founder? Is it too late to join Anthropic / OpenAI? should I get into AI? what company stock will 10x next? People are demanding higher salaries and switching jobs more and more. 2. There’s a deep malaise about work (and its future). Why even work at all for “peanuts”? Will my job even exist in a few years? Many feel helpless. You hear the “permanent underclass” conversation a lot, esp from young people. It's hard to focus on doing good work when you think "man, if I joined Anthropic 2yrs ago, I could retire" 3. The mid to late middle managers feel paralyzed. Many have families and don't feel like they have the energy or network to just "start a company". They don't particularly have any AI skills. They see the writing on the wall: middle management is being hollowed out in many companies. 4. The rich aren’t particularly happy either. No one is shedding tears for them (and rightfully so). But those who have "made it" experience a profound lack of purpose too. Some have gone from <$150k to >$50M in a few years with no ramp. It flips your life plans upside down. For some, comparison is the thief of joy. For some, they escape to NYC to "live life". For others still, they start companies "just cuz", often to win status points. They never imagined that by age 30, they'd be set. I once asked a post-economic founder friend why they didn't just sell the co and they said "and do what? right now, everyone wants to talk to me. if i sell, I will only have money." I understand that many reading this scoff at the champagne problems of the valley. Society is warped in this tech bubble. What is often well-off anywhere else in the world is bang average here. Unlike many other places, tenure, intelligence and hard work can be loosely correlated with outcomes in the Bay. Living through a societally transformative gold rush in that environment can be paralyzing. "Am I in the right place? Should I move? Is there time still left? Am I gonna make it?" It psychologically torments many who have moved here in search of "success". Ironically, a frequent side effect of this torment is to spin up the very products making everyone rich in hopes that you too can vibecode your path to economic enlightenment.




FREE DIAPERS COMING THIS SUMMER!


“Agents will generate workflows dynamically. Applications will get thinner. And the systems that manage memory, state, coordination, and history will become more important than ever. Which is why I think databases are moving back to the center of software architecture. Not as storage. As runtime.”














The Console now supports UFO - aka raw canisters 😉 - spin up any canister and enjoy the full administration features (metrics, settings, controllers, and snapshots), and it's even compatible with monitoring 🚀.






