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ScreenFeast

@Screen_Feast

Katılım Mayıs 2022
691 Takip Edilen46 Takipçiler
ScreenFeast
ScreenFeast@Screen_Feast·
@FirstSquawk Too early in the weekend for an agreement. Will fall apart to get saved by the open.
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First Squawk
First Squawk@FirstSquawk·
Washington Times: The United States and Iran will announce a peace agreement within 24 hours.
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bubble boi
bubble boi@bubbleboi·
Is this bullish meta stock?
Jeremy Bernier@jeremybernier

Meta was easily the most toxic company I've worked for. There's a reason the Chinese call it "Squid Game". Others refer to it as "Hunger Games" or "Lord of the Flies". I think they're all accurate. The company culture is basically every man/woman for themselves. The performance review process (PSC) not only doesn't incentivize helping others, if anything it actually discourages it since everyone is stack ranked against each other. Imagine working on a team where every 6 months, one of you is going to get axed. Of course it's going to become toxic. "Bottoms up" culture is a complete farce - it's just a way for leadership to offload accountability. The Tech Leads (TLs) have all the power - owning the relationships and tribal knowledge to gatekeep projects to their buddies. Managers are "people managers" with limited technical understanding, who basically aggregate TL feedback and create performance review packets to calibrate with other managers and IC7+. The takeaway is that your destiny is in the hands of the TLs, and TLs unlike managers have no responsibility for your career. There are no repercussions for unethical behavior. I've seen managers and TLs throw others under the bus and get away with it. The only mission bonding the company together is individual self-preservation. Save your own ass to survive for another stock vesting, and throw someone else under the bus if you need to. That's why layoffs rarely impact directors/VPs or tenured IC7+ despite the fact that they're paid by far the most. Even this recent mass layoff that was supposed to "flatten" managers layers barely affected directors/VPs/IC7+, and fell predominantly on M1s - the lowest rung of the management chain. The culture is extremely performative and focused on box ticking and optics. Everything is about PSC (the performance review system) and perception. This means tons of meetings, useless AI slop posts, and top-down initiatives that don't benefit anyone but maybe help tick off the impact box of some go-getter at the top. Impact is not enough - it has to have sufficient complexity. So complexity is added for complexity's sake. The org I was in (Facebook ads) is 90% Chinese, and the entire leadership chain up to the VP level is Chinese. Mandarin is the primary language at the office, except in official meetings with non-speakers. Chinese work culture is very different from American work culture, with 996 (9am-9pm, 6 days/week), top-down nature, emphasis on saving face (eg. don't question your superiors), and toxicity being quite common. Naturally when an org is completely dominated by a single ethnicity that's notorious for not integrating, elements from their work culture seep in. Of the layoffs I witnessed in this org, 3/4 were not Chinese (just to be clear, most Chinese are very kind so don't take this as an attack. But it is a reality that I think most people outside this company are completely unaware of, and I question if leadership is even aware despite the fact that we're talking about the company HQ) I had the most toxic manager of my life here. I watched him deliberately set up a new hire to fail, driving them to needing to see a psychiatrist for anxiety + depression, and getting them fired. Then he suddenly disappeared for 8 months, before leaving the company. I could go on and on, but this is already pretty long and I think you get the point. Yes there are a lot of great, kind people here. I managed to transfer out of my first team into a new team with a great manager where everyone was very smart, supportive, and hardworking. But the company has its Squid Game reputation for a reason. Company culture comes from the top. It seems leadership is either too removed to notice, or maybe don't really care anymore because I guess they already made their billions and us plebs are expendable these days.

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Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs@Dr_Gingerballs·
I was interested today in diversifying my retirement account, and decided to do a deep dive on the holdings in the fun options I have. A couple of observations: 1) The govt bond options absolutely suck. Just stuffed full of shitty bonds from 2020 with terrible yields. Infinitely worse than just buying the bonds direct, which of course is not an option! 2) the stock baskets are not well diversified. Top holdings in just about everything is hyperscalers and semis. Even the emerging market funds were over 10-20% TSMC and ASML! 3) things I’m actually interested in like commodities are nearly non-existent. I’m on Voya and looking to go to fidelity netbenefits as they seem to have many more options. Not really sure what to do here I feel like I’m getting ripped off no matter what.
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ScreenFeast
ScreenFeast@Screen_Feast·
@bubbleboi The meltup will not be driven by optimism but by panic.
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Andrej Karpathy
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy·
Personal update: I've joined Anthropic. I think the next few years at the frontier of LLMs will be especially formative. I am very excited to join the team here and get back to R&D. I remain deeply passionate about education and plan to resume my work on it in time.
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Crypto Office
Crypto Office@officeappnews·
@citrini if this really is the beginning, talk of a soft landing will soon be replaced by talk of something else
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Citrini
Citrini@citrini·
This selloff in rates is closer to the beginning than the end imo.
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jawz
jawz@sayinshallah·
why are people even excited to buy/long spacex at >$2 trillion lol trillion dollar mcap my brothers, are all of u retarded
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The Factor Report
The Factor Report@PeterLBrandt·
@TomLaresca I trade real markets at real exchanges, not side bets like some back alley nickle thrower. You can keep your ego to yourself
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Tom Laresca
Tom Laresca@TomLaresca·
Funny how “legendary” traders love making predictions… until money gets attached to them. Still waiting, PeterLBrandt 100,000 XRP. $2.10. 6 months. 100,000 XRP 1 year @PeterLBrandt 🐥
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eigenrobot
eigenrobot@eigenrobot·
so. who's absorbing the billions of people getting laid off in tech rn seems very bleak
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George Robertson
George Robertson@BickerinBrattle·
It is time to face facts, reality . It is impossible for USA to defend or support Taiwan. USA must declare that they view Taiwan as in civil war and only recognize China. It is daft to do otherwise. US must offer to evacuate TSMC but if they don't come they are cut loose no matter what the up front chaos and cost. Or US accepts about 100,000 war dead and perhaps nuclear war.
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J.C. Parets
J.C. Parets@JC_ParetsX·
Now that large speculators are all in again on the Nasdaq100, are you betting on sustained underperformance from the QQQs this summer?
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ScreenFeast retweetledi
Patrick Moorhead
Patrick Moorhead@PatrickMoorhead·
$CSCO shows that AI infrastructure needs networking, security, observability, and operating discipline at scale, and and Cisco is now putting numbers behind that position. The question from here is how much of the AI networking demand broadens beyond hyperscalers and into enterprise, sovereign, and cloud-adjacent buildouts. That is what I am watching next.
Wall St Engine@wallstengine

$CSCO Q3 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $15.8B (Est $15.54B) 🟢; +12% YoY 🔹 Adj. EPS: $1.06 (Est $1.04) 🟢; +10% YoY 🔹 Product Orders: +35% YoY 🔹 Networking Product Orders: +50%+ YoY 🔸 AI Infrastructure Orders: FY26 expected orders raised to $9B from $5B FY26 Guide: 🔹 Revenue: $62.8B-$63.0B (Est $61.6B) 🟢 🔹 Adj. EPS: $4.27-$4.29 (Est $4.16) 🟢 Q4 FY26 Guide: 🔹 Revenue: $16.7B-$16.9B (Est $15.82B) 🟢 🔹 Adj. EPS: $1.16-$1.18 (Est $1.07) 🟢 🔹 Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 65.5%-66.5% 🔹 Non-GAAP Operating Margin: 34%-35% Other Metrics: 🔹 GAAP Gross Margin: 63.6% 🔹 Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 66.0% 🔹 Non-GAAP Operating Margin: 34.2% 🔹 Campus Networking Orders: +25%+ YoY 🔹 Data Center Switching Orders: +40%+ YoY 🔹 AI Infrastructure Revenue: FY26 expected revenue raised to $4B from $3B 🔹 RPO: $43.5B; +4% YoY Capital Return: 🔹 Shareholder Returns: $2.9B in Q3 🔹 Dividend: $0.42/share 🔹 Share Repurchases: $1.3B 🔹 Remaining Buyback Authorization: $9.6B Commentary: 🔸 “Cisco delivered record quarterly revenue in Q3 and we saw very strong, broad-based demand for our products, demonstrating the relevance of our technology for connecting and securing AI.” 🔸 “Cisco is well-positioned as the critical infrastructure for the AI era.”

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Steve Hou
Steve Hou@stevehou·
I find it absolutely fascinating how the story arcs of AI infra and EV infra converged at the so called “power semis”. Ironically investment and development of EV industry ended up being useful for power hungry AI. That’s why I think this story has more to go and hope it does.
Joe Malchow@jmalchow

UNDERSTANDING GaN vs. SiC Lately investors new to semiconductors and new to power electronics have been asking me about "GaN vs. SiC." There is no GaN vs. SiC. Power semiconductors are defined by two variables: voltage blocking capability and switching speed. These trade off against each other, and different applications sit at different points on that curve. SiC is the right material for high-voltage, high-power applications where switching speed matters less than raw blocking capability. Utility-scale solar and very large (larger than 50 MWh) battery systems should often be served by SiC because their value driver is primarily the energy content. This is also why traction motors (like EVs and locomotives) can use SiC –– the computation environment is relatively simplistic so the slow speeds are acceptable. SiC devices today block up to 10 kV and switch cleanly at those levels. Nothing else does. The most interesting area of power development, though, is in projects where the value driver is a mix of energy, power, capacity, and harmonics. Like a data center. Or a grid-supporting 5 MWh BESS. Or V2X devices that link electric cars and trucks up to the grid. This requires deft computational power handling. These are ~all of the interesting next-gen power applications. You serve your local need well (charging the car, powering the data center); but you are also performing ultra high-speed grid support activities. GaN owns the sub-3 kV space, and it owns it decisively. At voltages below 1.2 kV — consumer fast chargers, server power supplies, EV on-board chargers, microinverters — GaN switches at frequencies an order of magnitude higher than SiC, in a fraction of the package size, at a cost that follows a steep downward curve driven by HVM in consumer electronics. The 140-watt USB-C laptop charger uses GaN switching at a million times per second. A comparable 1990s power supply was four times larger and ran hot enough to need a fan. That cost and density curve is not stopping. The framework is simple. If your application is above 3 kV and switching speed is secondary to blocking voltage, use SiC. If your application is below 3 kV and you need speed, density, and cost efficiency, use GaN. Between roughly 1.2 kV and 3 kV is contested territory where the answer depends on the specific thermal, cost, and frequency requirements of the design. The cost trajectories of the two materials reflect their origins. SiC crystal growth happens above 2,000°C at a rate of roughly 100 to 300 microns per hour — a thousand times slower than silicon. Each step up in wafer diameter, from 4-inch to 6-inch to the 8-inch transition now underway, requires reinventing the thermal field and crucible design from scratch. 6-inch SiC substrates fell roughly 30% in price in 2024, driven by Chinese overcapacity, and the move to 8-inch wafers should cut per-die costs another 30 to 40% once yields stabilize — but those gains come hard and slow. GaN's cost curve is of different stuff entirely. Because GaN-on-silicon grows on standard substrates, it inherits the economies of the silicon ecosystem. 150mm GaN-on-Si wafer prices have fallen roughly 40% since 2020. Prices have crossed below $1 per transistor for high-volume GaN devices. The industry is now moving toward 300mm GaN-on-Si, which will yield 2x more chips per wafer than 200mm. That cost curve is being pulled by billions of consumer electronics units and the grid gets to ride it for free. GaN does have a ceiling. At medium-voltage grid applications — like 34.5 kV — GaN cannot block the full line voltage directly. This is where GaN challengers go wrong. They presume that the only architecture possible is a direct, centralized, single-device approach to handling large voltages. Not so. The more interesting path is to keep GaN operating within its native voltage range — below 12 kV — and build the medium-voltage function from an array of GaN-based modules. Each module runs at GaN's switching frequencies, which are high enough that the transformer inside each module shrinks to the size of a paperback. The aggregate system handles medium-voltage grid connection without exposing any single device to voltages it can't block. What you lose in architectural simplicity, you gain in speed, redundancy, cost, and manufacturability — because you're building from parts that already exist in billion-unit volumes on a known transistor cost ramp. Stacking GaN will do something consequential: bring semiconductor switching speeds to grid scale. And thus bringing a cost profile that follows true high-volume manufacturing economics rather than industrial green-metal-cabinet economics. But the putative "competition" between these semiconductors isn't a reflection of reality. There isn't a winner, really. The grid needs both materials deployed where each is strongest.

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Michael Green
Michael Green@profplum99·
Pork... tastes damn good. Give it a shot.
Michael Green tweet media
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Swingtrader
Swingtrader@Swingtrader·
First time hearing about the word looksmaxing This generation is fucking weird bro
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ScreenFeast
ScreenFeast@Screen_Feast·
@BickerinBrattle Georgie it looks like you have picked the right instrument for your short which is the most impressive thing you can do in this market.
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ScreenFeast
ScreenFeast@Screen_Feast·
@qthomp Probably should rotate to bearish crypto after semis ripped your face off
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Quinn Thompson
Quinn Thompson@qthomp·
Of the two biggest buyers of crypto, one is saying he might sell his BTC to fund dividends (although I think many reactions to this are overblown) and the other is saying his ETH purchases are slowing. Not a great look. ETHBTC on verge of breaking down to new LTM lows.
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Looposhi
Looposhi@22loops·
"MicroStrategy(@Strategy) sold 6,556 $BTC($555.85M) at an average price of $14,785 last week."
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ScreenFeast
ScreenFeast@Screen_Feast·
@bilawalsidhu I always thought blender would win because it will be the frontier for exploration. Disappointing to cater to tool monkey backlash.
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Bilawal Sidhu
Bilawal Sidhu@bilawalsidhu·
Whether you love or hate AI, we can all agree the slot machine nature of generative models sucks. Creators need control -- and perhaps the best way to get it is with 3d tools. But the first time you open blender, it’s overwhelming. Like staring at a 747 cockpit with a dizzying number of buttons. And even when you become a seasoned pilot -- you absolutely wish you had autopilot for the mundane bits. Connectors for AI models like claude were supposed to be the best of both worlds -- like having an expert python coder sitting next to you, driving blender through its API while you get complete visibility and control. Unlike generative image/video models, you’re not surrendering to output you can’t precisely modify, inspect, or understand. You’re directing it to use blender for you. Truly the best of both worlds. But alas the announcement resulted in instant backlash, and the patronage got pulled by Friday… The connector still ships -- that part survives. What didn’t survive though was the brand association between the Blender Foundation and Anthropic. The trust deficit runs so deep that even the most thoughtful, opt in, inspectable AI integration can’t be publicly tied to an AI lab. Disincentivizing even beneficial applications to 3d creation feels like a real loss -- but gosh, i can imagine the backlash has been overwhelming for the blender team. Some tell me this is oil and water -- never the twain shall meet. Perhaps or maybe it’s just a matter of time. One thing I’m certain of is that before it gets better, it’ll probably get worse.
Andrew Price@andrewpprice

x.com/i/article/2050…

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