Seigneurhol

@DegenApe99 @Polymarket Can’t wait to try the web version I FOMO hard Should I pay for the VPS or wait for the web one ?

Sniping the crypto hit market on @Polymarket is +EV if you buy fast enough right after the price reaches that level. Human reaction is too slow for this task, you need a bot. You need EVPoly.

@LaurenIpsu31127 @thismacapital Ça marche merci 👌

@Seigneurhol @thismacapital Ca casse le cache. Mais tu peux optimiser les appels API en utilisant des modeles moins cher pour des taches basiques ( trier des fichiers, classer des trucs ...parfois meme remplacer la tache par un script python sans IA ).

Maintenant que tout le monde sait utiliser un LLM, le cœur de l’alpha va être d’optimiser la consommation de tokens Et c'est facilement optimisable avec quelques astuces qui tournent autour de : > quel contexte envoyer > quel contexte ne pas envoyer > quand router vers un petit modèle > quand payer pour un gros > quand résumer > quand garder l’historique brut > et quand sortir complètement du chat pour passer par de la mémoire, des outils ou des workflows

@DegenApe99 @Polymarket Full auto mode for LP or do you choose the market yourself ?

No bad fill in 24h $200 in rewards and still have 11 hours left. I guess it is a good LP day on @Polymarket 😎

@cobie @cz_binance Need this arc again

@cz_binance Escrow needed?

I typically ignore all these false claims attacks. But... You can apologize now. I am officially divorced. I won't post any legal docs online, as I respect privacy of my ex-wife, and I appreciate the time we spent together. I am happy to bet $1 billion USD (or any number you choose) that: I am officially divorced (way before today). If you agree to take the bet, we can get lawyers to validate my divorce agreement, which should be dead simple. This bet offer is valid permanently, whenever you feel ready. But if you don't take it within 24hrs, it clearly shows who has been mis-representing to the public. Moving on to better things to do.

@cursor_ai Is it possible to have a local agent to do that as well from Cursor ?

Cursor's code review agent can now learn from activity on PRs to self-improve in real time. 78% of issues found are resolved by the time the PR is merged.

@DegenApe99 Can’t wait to try it

@Seigneurhol Web-app will be faster based on theory.

I just pushed a new update for EVPoly, both CLI and Window App version. - A new Weekend button: Disabling new entry on the Weekend. Simple and effective to avoid getting manipulated. - Timeframe selector for Premarket/Endgame/EVCurve/Sessionband:

@einsworthe @mil000 I should try this

@mil000 oh we are!! It’s really fkin good. run it on an Opus plan vs Gpt and Opus and composer will win in quality and speed

god no one is using Composer 2

@DegenApe99 @EVplusAI Can’t wait to try it !

Are you ready for @EVplusAI Situation Room?

@USDai_Official I was ICO aligned but didn’t participate to the Level up. Do we get some allocation too ?

All Airdrop-aligned users who participated in Level Up will have 100% of their protected $CHIP allocation bought out at $350M or $420M FDV. USDC will be airdropped to users' wallets at TGE. No action needed. Check your final CHIP allocation and protected balance at app.usd.ai.

If you want to start using Polymarket, there’s no better time than now. You can aim to generate some gains while also farming a potential airdrop, which could be one of the last truly profitable ones. A simple strategy is to mostly bet “No” on markets where the probabilities are roughly 50/50. Since on Polymarket resolution trend to resolve to "no" 75.2% of the time across all markets. Consistently betting “No” at those levels can give you a slight edge over time allowing you to generate small profits while building volume. Using limit orders also appears to increase your volume, making the strategy more effective. You can use my ref code to get started : polymarket.com/?r=seigneurhol

@powl_d Tu m’a sauvé mon reuf, j’avais commandé un AirPod Max hier et j’ai tous annulé

Apple qui drop les Airpods Max 2 ... C'est un instant Buy de mon coté !

@grok @PYRNNET @Cointelegraph @grok what will happen to MSTR ?

@PYRNNET @Cointelegraph Ask Grok is currently available to Premium and Premium+ subscribers only. Subscribe to unlock this feature: x.com/i/premium_sign…

🔥 TODAY: Strategy’s STRC set a new record with 7.3M shares traded, all above threshold, an estimated 4,086 $BTC equivalent.

@Lamsito_eth GG quand même d’avoir visualisé ça en novembre Ouais je penche aussi pour un petit moment de sideways avant de mega pump En espérant que ta chart soit la bonne quand même ça ferait plaisir haha

@Seigneurhol C'était celle-ci : Plutot pas mal non plus pour l'instant, mais j'pense qu'on va mettre quand même plus longtemps a pump que ce que j'avais envisagé en novembre x.com/Lamsito_eth/st…

On était pas si loin de mon monde ideal mdr... on est juste pas aller assez haut. Maintenant en route vers mon nouveau monde idéal, avec un ATH BTC en 2026.

@benjamincowen Thx you for addressing this subject That food for thought

This year, there has been a strong pivot to using the ISM to predict where the price of Bitcoin will go, especially after many of the supercycle narratives coming into this year seem to have failed. I want to show a clear example of why the ISM does not *necessarily* have to impact the price of Bitcoin. First, let us take a look at 2014, which was a midterm year, and also a bear market for BTC. Jan 2014 ISM: 52.5 BTC Price: $737 Dec 2014 ISM: 55.7 BTC Price: $302 So the ISM went *up* from 52.5 to 55.7 in 2014, but BTC went down from $737 to $302. Imagine watching the ISM each month in 2014 and seeing it go higher, but then watching the price of BTC go lower. It must have been maddening (if anyone was doing that back then, but I imagine most people were not looking at these two things together). Now let's look at 2015. The bear market ended in January 2015. Jan 2015 ISM: 54 BTC Price: $322 Dec 2014 ISM: 48.8 BTC Price: $429 So the ISM went *down* in 2015, but the price of BTC went up. If you used the ISM to tell you where BTC was going to go in 2014, you would have assumed BTC would have gone up in value because the ISM was going up. But in fact the opposite happened. If you used the ISM to tell you were BTC was going to go in 2015, you would have assumed that because ISM was dropping, BTC was also dropping. But in fact the opposite happened. A single data point does not make a trend. But relying on a single indicator like the ISM to predict the price action of BTC in order to confirm a supercycle does not seem to be a wise decision either. There are absolutely scenarios where they could both go up or both go down together in 2026 (as they have many times), but I think it would be unwise to rely on this single indicator to tell you where the price of BTC was going to go. What is interesting is this: The ISM in Jan 2014 was 52.5. The ISM in Jan 2026 was 52.6. There exists a scenario where the ISM goes up in 2026 (like it did in 2014), but the price of BTC still goes down. In fact, I would argue that the more likely scenario is that 2026 is a red year for BTC while the ISM goes up, exactly like how it played out more than a decade ago. I hope that the people using the ISM to bet on a supercycle can view this post as educational and not trying to attack anyone. I have just seen a lot of people lose a lot of money relying on single economic indicators, and sometimes the price action of risk assets like BTC does not always make sense when compared to what is actually going on in the economy. As the famous saying goes, "the stock market is not the economy." But in this case we can say "Bitcoin is not the economy."

@benjamincowen Historically, BTC tops have come during ISM expansion (never in deep contraction like now <50), and liquidity was high but often peaking/turning. And this cycle's macro doesn't match perfectly, which is why some expect extension. Do you still think 4 years trend continue ?

In case you are new to crypto, be prepared to hear constantly that it's "organic growth" when markets go up and "market manipulation" when markets go down. It is always someone's fault, despite the fact that BTC has always topped in Q4 of the post-halving year.

@WatcherGuru Blown off top is forming

JUST IN: Silver crashes below $80, falling over 30% in a single day.

@securezer0 Ok thx ! Will subscribe

@Seigneurhol We don touch your seedphrase or wallets, we send you alerts everytime we find a new arb!

Polymarket Arbitrage Today for +$183 EV Bid YES on Polymarket Bid NO on Opinion Bid The Same Amount on Both Platforms to Remain Hedged ( No Directional Risk ) Close The Arb When The Spread Closes ( Few Hours to Few Days )