Seth Stephens-Davidowitz
5.5K posts
Seth Stephens-Davidowitz
@SethS_D
NYT bestselling author (EVERYBODY LIES & DON'T TRUST YOUR GUT); Harvard econ PhD; data nerd.
New York, NY Katılım Kasım 2010
1.7K Takip Edilen16.1K Takipçiler
@SethS_D Just finished reading this amazing book full of new insights, pattern & a deeper understanding of how people think. It shows how we’re all so common yet so unique at the same time. The future of big data and how Google search can reveal so much is honestly mind blowing
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Seth Stephens-Davidowitz retweetledi
Everybody Lies by @SethS_D is one of my favourite books. It looks at the danger of listening to direct customer claims and what we can do instead to get closer to the truth
In our podcast, MichaelAaron & I interview Seth about some of his key ideas
YT: youtube.com/watch?v=H09Dgn…
Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/5GoTw9…
YouTube
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Loved talking to fellow techno-optimistic quant with hard-to-remember last name.
Jim O'Shaughnessy@jposhaughnessy
“If you're under six-foot tall, you have less than one in a million chance of making the NBA. If you're seven feet or above, you have a one in seven chance of making the NBA, which is just wild." ~@SethS_D
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I am obviously no fan of Trump. But this is an *excellent* pick. Stephen is a world-class economist.
Stephen Miran@SteveMiran
I am beyond honored that President Trump has chosen me to lead his Council of Economic Advisers. I look forward to working to help implement the President's policy agenda to create a booming, noninflationary economy that brings prosperity to all Americans!
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My piece for The Economist on why polls got things so wrong — and new sources of data we might consider: economist.com/by-invitation/…
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@SethS_D Just to let you know, I’ve just listened to this (right to the end🤗) and it was excellent. Not a lie!!
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This is the book I wrote on how you can't trust polls. Probably more relevant now than ever. amazon.com/Everybody-Lies…
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@SethS_D I’ve read and highlighted pages in your book. When’s the next one coming out?
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The best way to predict economic effects of Trump is to learn from history. There have been 51 populist leaders since 1900. On average, GDP ends up 10 percent lower after they take power. ifw-kiel.de/publications/k…
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@lastexposfan we were going to write an op-ed saying trump was looking strong. but weren't able to get it published.
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@SethS_D What did the google searches reveal about interest in Kamala versus Trump by region of the country
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@SteveMiran @PatrickRuffini No. If anything reverse power. Opponents of candidate frequently more likely to search them.
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A fun indicator that works every year for which way a state is going to go: What percent of Google searches that include both candidates (e.g. "Trump Harris debate", "Harris Trump debate) include each candidate first.
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And this is article (w/ Stuart Gabriel) where we first discussed: nytimes.com/2016/10/23/opi…
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@SethS_D So the role is first torso to cross the finish line—no other body part matters? Where is the finish line in this pic? Can’t someone produce an image with a vertical plane extending above the finish line so we can see who punctures it first and where?
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Can someone explain to me how you can determine from this image that Lyles won? Which line and body part should I be looking at?
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