Josh Hopkins

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Josh Hopkins

Josh Hopkins

@SpaceJosh

Rocket geek, orbits nerd, electric car driver, history buff, technical writer. Opinions my own. May commit puns. Also found on LinkedIn and Bluesky.

Katılım Şubat 2014
1.2K Takip Edilen1.9K Takipçiler
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Josh Hopkins
Josh Hopkins@SpaceJosh·
A person born in China at the end of WWII saw China's power rise as its working age population tripled in their lifetime. But now it has plateaued. A person born today will see that growth reverse. China's working age population will drop by 1 million per month for a long time.
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Dave Limp
Dave Limp@davill·
We have regained some access to Launch Complex 36 and are actively investigating the hotfire anomaly. We will start clearing the pad soon and have a good rebuild plan in place. The booster and GS2s in the integration facility appear healthy from quick looks.
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Dr. M.F. Khan
Dr. M.F. Khan@Dr_TheHistories·
In 1932, Oskar Speck left Germany in a folding kayak, not as a famous explorer, but as an unemployed electrical contractor looking for work. His original plan was much smaller than the legend that followed. He intended to paddle from Germany to Cyprus, where he hoped to find a job in the copper mines. But once he reached the Mediterranean, the journey kept pulling him farther east. Over the next seven years, Speck paddled through rivers, coastlines, storms, heat, hunger, and dangerous waters. He traveled through the Middle East, India, Southeast Asia, New Guinea, and finally toward Australia. By then, the world had changed around him. Germany had gone to war, and a lone German man arriving by kayak was no longer seen simply as an adventurer. He reached Australian territory in September 1939, just after World War II had begun. After one of the most unusual kayak journeys ever recorded, Speck was greeted, congratulated, and then arrested as an enemy alien because he was traveling on a German passport. He spent the war years in internment camps in Australia and was only released after the war ended. Instead of returning to Germany, he stayed in Australia, later working in the opal trade and building a new life there. His journey began as a search for work, but it turned into a seven-year accidental epic across half the world. #drthehistories
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James Gurney
James Gurney@GurneyJourney·
At the peak of their influence around 1970, illustrators charged huge fees and drove Ferraris. The right half of the chart tells a grim story, and that’s even before AI enters the room. Is the party completely over, or is there a tiny glimmer of hope? Check out my Substack.
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Josh Hopkins
Josh Hopkins@SpaceJosh·
@maenadea Hang on, the Brits have their own tornado scale that starts with T0 “may knock over wheelie bins” and goes up to T1 “minor damage to sheds”?! That is amazing. No wonder they don’t understand how tornados can damage American houses. (By throwing trucks, I mean lorries, at them.)
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Josh Hopkins
Josh Hopkins@SpaceJosh·
@HEAVY_SLAYER What is the source of the fertility data for “USA” in the 1400s and 1500s and what do you intend that to mean?
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Paul Castillo
Paul Castillo@HEAVY_SLAYER·
The 1700s and 1800s and the baby boom were anomalously high effective fertility rates compared to all prior history but the current TFR in the UK and USA is even lower than the mass die during the plagues in 1300s England and 1500s North America.
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Josh Hopkins
Josh Hopkins@SpaceJosh·
@epkaufm I understand the point about the indexing to 100, but if you look at the graph you may notice that the AI made many mistakes.
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Eric Kaufmann
Eric Kaufmann@epkaufm·
@SpaceJosh Yes it’s very much AI based on a 100 index not population numbers
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Eric Kaufmann
Eric Kaufmann@epkaufm·
Population collapse is much faster among 'lowest-low' fertility countries under TFR 1.5 than for those above this level, like the US and France.
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Josh Hopkins
Josh Hopkins@SpaceJosh·
@tracewoodgrains I think the point the prior poster is trying to make is that whether you think property taxes are good, bad, too high or too low, it makes no sense to connect property taxes to whether the house is paid off. They don’t become bad just because you pay off the mortgage.
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Jack
Jack@tracewoodgrains·
I think what makes this potent to people is the sense that they cannot opt out: that there is no situation in which they can simply live without spending money to retain their home. Phones, cars, internet etc you can at least theoretically avoid.
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M. Nolan Gray 🥑@mnolangray

This meme is fascinsting, in that has the structure of a logical point, but it's just completely incoherent after even a moment of thought. "Why should you have to pay for cell service for a paid off phone?" "Why should you have to pay for car insurance for a paid off car?" Etc.

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Ash Jogalekar
Ash Jogalekar@curiouswavefn·
This was not an isolated case. Here’s another bizarre case from Antony Beevor (The Second World War). The last line is a zinger, and is as all things must ideally end. “In June 1944, a young soldier surrendered to American paratroopers in the Allied invasion of Normandy. At first his captors thought that he was Japanese, but he was in fact Korean. His name was Yang Kyoungjong. In 1938, at the age of eighteen, Yang had been forcibly conscripted by the Japanese into their Kwantung Army in Manchuria. A year later, he was captured by the Red Army after the Battle of Khalkhin Gol and sent to a labour camp. The Soviet military authorities, at a moment of crisis in 1942, drafted him along with thousands of other prisoners into their forces. Then, early in 1943 he was taken prisoner by the German army at the Battle of Kharkov in Ukraine. In 1944, now in German uniform, he was sent to France to serve with an Ostbataillon supposedly boosting the strength of the Atlantic Wall at the base of the Cotentin Peninsula inland from Utah Beach. After time in a prison camp in Britain, he went to the United States where he said nothing of his past. He settled there and finally died in Illinois in 1992.”
Ash Jogalekar@curiouswavefn

One of the more bizarre anecdotes about D-Day (Stephen Ambrose): “At the beach called Utah on the day of the invasion, Lt. Robert Brewer of the 506th Parachute Infantry Regiment, 101st Airborne Division, U.S. Army, captured four Asians in Wehrmacht uniforms. No one could speak their language; eventually it was learned that they were Koreans. How on earth did Koreans end up fighting for Hitler to defend France against Americans? It seems they had been conscripted into the Japanese army in 1938- Korea was then a Japanese colony - captured by the Red Army in the border battles with Japan in 1939, forced into the Red Army, captured by the Wehrmacht in December 1941 outside Moscow, forced into the German army, and sent to France.“

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Josh Hopkins
Josh Hopkins@SpaceJosh·
@SaysSimulation I noted that the concept art shows a narrow but navigable river between two high, rocky bluffs, which is pretty much the opposite of the wide, shallow, flat landforms I associate with the Missouri/Missisippi. Might be someplace in Montana you could do this in a pontoon boat.
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
was a blind stab into the interior of the continent, with no knowledge of the actual Lewis & Clark expedition, or the difference between the Mississippi & Missouri rivers. Yet, in his own mind, he is now a genuine creator & leader. Except we can all do that now, endlessly. 6/
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Labrador Skeptic
Labrador Skeptic@SaysSimulation·
There is already an epic-sized memorial - the 630 foot Gateway Arch - in the correct location at the mouth of the Missouri, dedicated to Western expansion in general, but also particularly celebrating Lewis & Clark. I appreciate the enthusiasm in the original threads, 1/
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Donald Ward@WardoftheStates

None of you retards seem to care that the Lewis and Clark Expedition traveled the MISSOURI River and NOT the Mississippi! Every last single one of you people reposting this slop ought to be ashamed.

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Josh Hopkins
Josh Hopkins@SpaceJosh·
@HEAVY_SLAYER If you remove the single data point of the US, does the conclusion change?
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Paul Castillo
Paul Castillo@HEAVY_SLAYER·
The J shape of this graph suggests a low TFR in the medium term as the worldwide GDP per Capita PPP worldwide approaches $40,000 and then a gradual recovery from then on.
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NYTPitchbot
NYTPitchbot@DougJBalloon·
Donald Trump promised the war in Iran would end with unconditional surrender. But he never said which country would do the surrendering.
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David Benedict 🏳️‍🌈🕎
David Benedict 🏳️‍🌈🕎@eggsbened·
There are days when I miss being an editor and I particularly loved writing headlines. Whoever did this, I hope they took the rest of the day off.
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Hush-Kit Aviation News, History & Satire
Hush-Kit Aviation News, History & Satire@Hush_Kit·
Mind-blowing: A 1950s airliner was over ten times deadlier per flight hour than a carrier-based Super Hornet fighter
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Josh Hopkins
Josh Hopkins@SpaceJosh·
A friend inherited a small coin collection. Asked me how to figure out if it was worth anything. “I always mix up the words for coin collectors and stamp collectors. Which one do I need?” I said: You want a numismatist. Philately will get you nowhere.
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Josh Hopkins
Josh Hopkins@SpaceJosh·
@pronounced_kyle The first advice I give young engineers is “Ask dumb questions!” 1) It’s the fastest way to get less dumb. 2) You’re probably not the only one who doesn’t know 3) It helps the speaker/expert gauge their audience and adjust 4) Sometimes your dumb question is really insightful
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Keşfet

@maenadea @HEAVY_SLAYER @epkaufm @tracewoodgrains @SaysSimulation @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13