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Strategy ₿ hodler 🟧
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Strategy ₿ hodler 🟧
@Strategy_B_ATM
$mstr #mstr maximalist #bitcoin #meliuz
Katılım Mayıs 2025
238 Takip Edilen261 Takipçiler

@GrainofSaltSF @Strategy Brazilian meliuz did a good buyback
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A buyback is the reverse of an ATM.
Sell 100 shares at 3.0× mNAV.
Buy back shares later at 1.0× mNAV (or below).
The result is more shares retired than originally issued.
That’s the same math as ATM accretion ->just running in the opposite direction.
$STRC $MSTR @Strategy

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@GrokyG32556 @Strategy Only because Bitcoin price is below STRC buyings so the dividends are now projecting a loss.
Projecting is the word... If bitcoin goes above 100k this Will change very fast
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Time to move on. $MSTR is now trading at a substantial MNAV discount. Since 11/20/24 I've been posting daily that the company is destined for this future and to sell MSTR and replace with BTC or IBIT
MSTR is down 82% while BTC is only down 36%.
Muting Saylor and Strategy And MSTR and STRC and anyone who comments with anything other than "Thanks Andy" like comments.
It's been a fun ride but it's over and boring today. Hopefully I can avoid posting about this silly company forever more

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@wacamasta @AnselLindner If mNav is negative Bitcoin is going to sale
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@AnselLindner The dividend will be cancelled any fucking month now. MSTR is below 1 mNAV, The whole thing is fucking done
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The crash in $STRC probably started with some liquidity issues from a whale. When it went into the $80s last week, retail probably flooded in with high leverage. Now, they're all getting liquidated.
I'm betting this recovers pretty quickly actually. Maybe next week back into the 90s and 2 weeks from now we'll be back near par.

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@BritishHodl @techleadhd Weak hands should be flushed out. The bottom will be determined when the weakest of all Michael Saylor is flushed down the toilet not just out
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@GrainofSaltSF @Strategy My grandma has lost 25% of her retirement!!!
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@mattkratter How do you figure? They have $1.7 billion in cash and only owe $200 million in dividends for June? Where’s the distress?
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Do people not understand there is no impairment to $MSTR ?
Bitcoin is getting smacked. MSTR is used as amplified exposure to Bitcoin.
The dividends are all getting paid for all prefs. The cost is $132 million per month. They have 10 months in cash today if they do absolutely nothing. You selling STRC at $80 is giving someone else with a much greater time preference than you the ability to buy at a 20% discount and capture a 25% capital gain on top of it
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@ruanrlx Quando alguém tá jogando mal e o técnico deixa jogando isso sempre acontece. Culpa do técnico.
Português

Em que mundo essa rapaziada que está "comemorando" a lesão do Raphinha vive?
Já estamos sem Estevão, Militão, Rodrygo... Onde perder um top 5 da bola de ouro é bom?
Tá devendo? Pra cacete. Mas a qualquer momento pode embalar e desencalhar a fazer gols. Gosta de jogo grande.
Não dá pra entender, irmão.

Português

@RoaringRagnar Saylor should buyback at some price. At $50 is very cheap
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All of those who looped $STRC aggressively are now being liquidated.
I‘m not saying it will, but it absolutely could temporarily go as low as $50.
Digital credit is irrevocably tied to Bitcoin sentiment and investor confidence.
There‘s a lesson in there, if you‘re willing to go look for it.
This is also why I would always apply a stop loss when investing in digital credit.
The potential downside is larger than people might think.
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@BitPaine What is your target range to buy
Jersey Village, TX 🇺🇸 English

@BitPaine I said this gonna happen, stops and over leverage. Very cheap right now
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@MetodoMoreira Vc ainda tá nessa de achar que tem o direito de decidir o que os outros podem ou não fazer? Kk
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@RoaringRagnar Dude, the stop loss Hunting created the dip.
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I think that $SATA might just have killed $STRC.
Why?
It's now the rational thing for folks to rotate to $SATA and collect daily dividends while waiting for the next $STRC record day.
So the outflows/rotations might now structurally be even more violent than before.
It might be too early, but it seems that daily dividends are simply the superior model.
The last couple of weeks also show how important it is to have stop losses in place for digital credit instruments.
I got stopped out of $STRC at $96, and rotated the capital to $SATA.
If I didn't have the stop, I would be stuck in STRC.
Which would not be catastrophic of course, as I expect Strategy and STRC to do well long term, but it would have been a bit unfortunate.
Here's today's lesson:
Be smart about risk management and always protect your downside.
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$MSTR
We’re currently sitting at $91.79 on $STRC
It finds itself in what many would call the valley of despair.
Just a month ago, the instrument was raising record amounts of capital and absorbing billions of dollars in demand.
Truthfully, this isn’t what the instrument was designed to do.
Even after the weaker-than-expected ex-dividend price action, I expected some weakness.
I didn’t expect us to be sitting nearly 10% below par with nothing fundamentally changing about the instrument itself.
Some developments worth observing since I first pointed out the weakness:
• The semi-monthly dividend amendment was approved on June 8, yet the market doesn’t appear to have meaningfully priced it in.
• Management has actively begun rebuilding the USD reserve.
• $SATA has continued raising capital and trading strongly since introducing daily dividends.
• The broader Bitcoin market has remained under pressure, potentially encouraging short-term capital to rotate back into BTC itself.
Despite all of that, buyers haven’t aggressively stepped in to close the gap.
To me, the market is sending a message.
It could be saying that 11.5% is no longer the clearing rate for Bitcoin-native capital.
$SATA currently offers a 13% headline yield alongside daily dividends.
The market may simply be placing a higher value on both the additional yield and the increased payment frequency.
And that’s not necessarily a bad thing.
Competition forces innovation.
It gives management real-time feedback on what investors actually value rather than what we assume they value.
If the market overwhelmingly prefers daily dividends, Strategy has the flexibility to adapt.
If semi-monthly proves sufficient once investors begin experiencing it, today’s weakness may ultimately prove temporary.
The bigger takeaway for me is that the instrument still appears to be heavily owned by Bitcoin-native investors.
As long as that remains true, it will continue competing against Bitcoin itself for capital.
Every meaningful dip in $BTC creates another opportunity-cost calculation for investors deciding whether to park capital in yield products or rotate back into the underlying asset.
That naturally pushes Bitcoin-native investors to demand higher yields than traditional fixed-income participants.
But Bitcoin natives aren’t the only pool of capital available.
For investors coming from money markets, preferreds, and broader fixed-income markets, an 11.5% yield remains extraordinarily attractive.
Could a modest increase in yield provide temporary relief? Perhaps.
But I suspect the long-term answer lies in expanding beyond Bitcoin-native capital rather than endlessly competing for the same dollars.
X will continue debating what management should or shouldn’t do.
Ultimately, it’s management that will find a way to bring the instrument back toward par and raise billions again.
That much, I still believe.
Testing times tend to reveal strengths and weaknesses alike.
For now, the mission carries on.
$BTC $MSTR $STRC


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