Derek. 🇺🇸

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Derek. 🇺🇸

Derek. 🇺🇸

@SuitablePolitic

Politics? It's all just storytelling.

Katılım Temmuz 2024
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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
Media: "Trump thought 4-5 weeks meant 2-3 days and now he's panicking. He wants nothing more than for the fighting to stop. He's desperate for an off-ramp where he doesn't look weak." Trump: "IT IS MY GREAT HONOR—AS YOUR PRESIDENT—TO KILL THESE DERANGED SCUMBAGS IN IRAN!"
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captive dreamer
captive dreamer@captive_dreamer·
Guicciardini very underrated, should be more well known:
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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
This is the wild card. If the revolution reached critical mass, we'd know. We'd know if the revolutionaries had a certain level of success. But that's a high bar given the blackout and we don't know if the beginnings of success have already happened.
argentus@mordreek

@SuitablePolitic Us, there's no real way to consistently get reports on if they're succeeding, if the local Iranians are doing anything like poisoning the Shia mercs or even just dropping rocks on their head. We don't know. For all we know there's a shadow civil war and Trump's buying them time

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David
David@FBAWolfAMZ·
@SuitablePolitic The best thing Reza can do (and I believe he is doing a good job of it) is making the voices of the Iranian people heard from his platform outside of Iran. He's in exile, but he can at least rally the rest of the world to his cause.
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argentus
argentus@mordreek·
@SuitablePolitic I think its more that theres no consistent line of coms and supplies. Reza did summon essentially the guerilla fighters of the Iranian people and there's been limited reports of success against the Shia mercs and other IRGC forces but this is where the IRGC blackout works against
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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
Honestly, it's very possible that Reza actually has people on the ground but doesn't know how to organize them and hasn't shared their identities and means of contact with the USG. That'd line up with Trump's opinion of Reza. Great guy, but not the guy to lead a revolution.
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic

No, him being in exile doesn't mean he's alien to Iran. It means he has limited utility on the ground in Iran. And if he has people on the ground, they're hidden so well that even the USG has no idea who they are. Which is a problem cause it means we can't work with them.

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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
No, him being in exile doesn't mean he's alien to Iran. It means he has limited utility on the ground in Iran. And if he has people on the ground, they're hidden so well that even the USG has no idea who they are. Which is a problem cause it means we can't work with them.
Howard Baskerville@howardbasker

@SuitablePolitic Pahlavi has helped smuggle thousands of starlink terminals into Iran. His call alone organized millions of Iranians to revolt against the regime. Foreigners say the exile thing like it somehow makes us as aliens to Iran as them. You're looking for a commander & Pahlavi has them.

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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
To whom would the US even address the question? Reza can't possibly know. He's spent his whole life in exile. We need a person or group on the ground that we can work with. THAT has to come from within. Once we have that, yeah, resources are no obstacle.
Howard Baskerville@howardbasker

@SuitablePolitic The only part that rings untrue or unfair is that the USA has agency too. They haven't even bothered to ask us how to go about regime change. Tons of people are saying that Iranians must overthrow the regime alone. "Regime change should come from within" is it's dogwhistle.

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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
Again, I really am not BLAMING anyone. Nobody is at fault. You can tell me that this stuff is really difficult, and I wholeheartedly agree. Nobody's asking the people to overthrow the regime by themselves, but who exactly is the US going to support? And in what way? We need answers to those questions. In that way, the resistance needs to be more organized. We need something concrete to support. What part of this is ringing as untrue or unfair?
Howard Baskerville@howardbasker

@SuitablePolitic You're being half disingenuous. Show me a revolution by an internet-less populace against a totalitarian state with free internet to organize & kill dissent & a global media eager to side with them Im character limited but it's always easy to blame defenceless Iranians & Pahlavi

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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
I'm not blaming anyone. I'm simply describing the reality at present. People have organized revolutions without the internet for thousands of years. It'd be easier with the internet, but it's not impossible without it. Especially if the political support for the revolution is as strong as it appears to be. Where does the US send the guns? To whom? By what channels? Simply being able to answer these questions would mean a lot.
Howard Baskerville@howardbasker

@SuitablePolitic You're still speaking over us Derek. You're telling me what should be done instead of listening to what we need. You want a Guerrilla revolution but - We have no internet - We have no guns - We have no friendly neighbouring nation It's easier to just blame the people/Pahlavi

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Mossad Commentary
Mossad Commentary@MOSSADil·
🇮🇷 REPORTS: A runway in Bandar Abbas, Iran was reportedly struck tonight as explosions and anti-aircraft activity continue across multiple regions of the country. Iran is clearly under attack as tensions rapidly escalate.
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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
It's not my purpose to condescend or act as what the Iranian people must do is easy. It's very, very difficult. But it nevertheless must be done if the regime is to actually change. The resistance needs a voice. A figurehead. Reza is in exile. He isn't particularly useful here. They need to be organized around a figure on the ground with the charisma to make people follow them. The regime will doubtlessly attempt to kill that person, so he or she will need protocols to stay alive and keep broadcasting the message. Protests need to be replaced with, frankly, terrorist tactics perpetrated against the regime. Less demonstrations. More guerilla warfare. Successful guerilla warfare will attract the attention of the CIA/MOSSAD. Which is how bigger and better equipment will enter the picture. Once the resisting force has guns of their own and a figure they're organized around, they can start looking for ins with the Iranian army. Members of the Artesh that can be turned for the cause. I can keep going. But eventually, the figurehead that pulls this off can make themselves the authority negotiating with the United States. And the deal that gets made is very simple. The US government helps you destroy the IRGC, and you deliver the very same terms willingly that the IRGC is refusing. That's what everyone in America would LOVE to happen right now. But until it does, we are limited.
Howard Baskerville@howardbasker

@SuitablePolitic Derek you will never understand us until you talk to us. So far you only talk over us Go ahead and shrug off Reza Pahlavi. That's fine. He is our choice for a clean break. You people cannot expect us to break the internet blackout and launch an armed rebellion with ZERO support

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Trident
Trident@GodlyTrident·
@SuitablePolitic You can always draw parallels with the bolsheviks on the soviet russia. They had organization, military support, public support by the time Lenin arrived. Pahlavi does not have that.
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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
How does one change the regime in Iran? By giving it to the people? Which people? Where? What are their names and political goals? What resources do they have access to? What do they provide to any fight? What do they need from the US to win thatfight? Nobody knows. I understand that there are reasons for some of this, but we have to appreciate the tactical limitations that exist because of this dynamic.
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic

Trump? Yeah, he knows, it's one of his biggest tactical limiters is what I mean by "issue." Because the Iranian people are a functionally nonexistent political entity, Trump has no option but to play these games with the IRGC. Reza? Really, I have no clue what to think of Reza.

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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
Trump? Yeah, he knows, it's one of his biggest tactical limiters is what I mean by "issue." Because the Iranian people are a functionally nonexistent political entity, Trump has no option but to play these games with the IRGC. Reza? Really, I have no clue what to think of Reza.
General Soreness@PangaMan5

@SuitablePolitic You don't think he knows?

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Derek. 🇺🇸
Derek. 🇺🇸@SuitablePolitic·
How to tell the future and get SuitablePolitic(al) opinions!
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