Swade

2.2K posts

Swade

Swade

@SwadeHD

Not financial advice...👀

Katılım Mayıs 2012
405 Takip Edilen5.3K Takipçiler
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
Elliott spoke of "the right look" as a guideline in his work, for the people who are doing janky counts like the one on the right, you should heed that advice, 9 times out of 10 theyre wrong, play the statistics.
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Bluntz
Bluntz@Bluntz_Capital·
short and sweet #FF @tradingroomapp - hardest working helpful person on twitter @SwadeHD - beast elliotician, thought he left but looks like hes back @Sanchez8810 -know IRL can verify is profitable, simple approach yet effective @CryptoMichaelT -honest and accountable always
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
scenario 1 might still have 1 more small leg up, that was a strong 4hr candle close, subwaves of Y might be a wxy
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Swade@SwadeHD·
if we are still in our downtrend and this is the major wave 4 this should be the end of this leg up but i have been thinking of a possible diagonal scenario
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
The way the count is looking atm we could likely see 2.5 - 2.8k before the major bounce, feels kind of surreal that we are sitting in the target we've held to since feb of this year, there is a possible count where that could be our bear market bottom depending on the bounce
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
@sqrin2 the first 2 are 15m charts looking at the very recent move, the last one is the weekly long term pattern, just saying that if this was a major wave 4 on the entire cycle of bitcoin from 2009 to today then this could possibly be the end of it, i dont think its likely just possible
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sqrin2
sqrin2@sqrin2·
@SwadeHD the scenarios are in order of how probable they seem to you?
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
i will say though, If we break down from here, i dont believe 3k will be our bottom, this is not the first time ive looked at the 2011 fractal and if we break down rather than up our move will more closely resemble 2011 rather than 2014 this could end up taking a while ...
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
@SmartContracter i think if it was a wxyxz you wouldnt have 90% of it going sideways and then Z alone dumping, either it is a sideways wxyxz or a triple zigzag/complex combo, you dont really mix and match them, i had a count like this once but i cant remember it exactly
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Bluntz
Bluntz@Bluntz_Capital·
@SwadeHD dis an old chart cos im not near computer atm but you considered the wxyz possibility with us being in A of Z now?
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
have seen a couple of other posts talking about the 2011 fractal now, funny since people laughed at me saying 1k btc before we broke 6k support, that structure would still be in play also, it would feel almost too easy if the bottom was 2.5-2.8, i still believe we deadcat but 🤷‍♂️
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
@nebraskangooner fair enough, i shouldve clarified i was speaking more for myself, as someone who spoke of the fractal similarities with 2014 frequently, i dont see it now, so for me specifically i wont reference it anymore
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
With this breakdown any 2014 fractal comparison is dead, 2011 fractal looking pretty eerie, i have no doubt that 3k will provide a nice bounce as all the ppl sitting on the sidelines waiting for 3k finally buy back in, setting up for the final bulltrap
Swade@SwadeHD

is this better quality?

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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
i left you guys with a bunch of triangle scenarios, triangles can take a long time to resolve, only thing left before i can give a more detailed EW count is getting confirmation of where the orthodox top of the triangle was Should have something within a week i hope
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
@SalientQuips either it never happens or its another bulltrap, but it will never be the bottom as long as everyone is waiting for it to be the bottom
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BTC risk on/off
BTC risk on/off@SalientQuips·
@SwadeHD If everyone is waiting for 3k -- it will NEVER happen. Whales are people or funds that need stop runs to get filled at size. Dark pools use stop run liquidity to service institutional needs. Institutions are being serviced at these prices and have been for 9 months.
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
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CryptoE123
CryptoE123@E123Crypto·
@SwadeHD Good, posts like this make me realize we are very close to bottom or that bottom is in.
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
@kryptowavetradr looks valid to me, there are many open possibilities, thats whats making this so hard to call
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
Just gonna post everything im looking at for btc, theres too many possibilities open atm to say confidently, the further along we get into the pattern the narrower the possibilities become, thats just how EW works Theres also so many valid triangles i can't even post them all
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
is this better quality?
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
@Byars_Matt seems plausible that tether could die soon, things im hearing dont give me confidence we see tether for much longer
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Swade
Swade@SwadeHD·
@Crypto_Sheen i have a similar structure although i wouldnt agree with that count, i just said this would be my thoughts if we break down, not saying this is what i think is going to happen
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