Magic Moolah
1.9K posts
2019-2021 was the golden era of sports betting...
DraftKings barely had limits for their first 18 months in business. Only reason I was able to run up $195k profit.
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95% of gambling Twitter doesn't have ANY public tracking
Posting this as a reminder. Longshots come with variance. Most days are red, until they aren't 😉. It's also important to zoom out
Everything tracked on my @pikkitsports profile @ evls3321!
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Just wanted to thank everyone on here who started tailing/following me when I started posting on this account three years ago 🙏🏻
What a ride it's been 🍀
Over $200k in profit playing longshots with an edge 📈 ($30k not tracked)
All of my plays are posted in my Discord community and all my tracking is public record on @pikkitsports.
I want to start posting on here more consistently again. The OG gambling Twitter vibes were truly a fun time
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Gonna be live streaming A LOT during march madness, hope you guys are locked in 🙏😈
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@PlusEV If someone said here is 488 dollars I wouldn’t call that a rough day
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I guess we have two different perspectives of what a “rough” day means.
I love the fight though, always want more money🫡
Cooper Chirafisi@CooperChirafisi
@PlusEV Rough day yesterday Matt but I still believe in you
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Day trading for a living is the #1 scam on social media. Lies lies lies
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prizepicks took the “numbers” (e.g. odds) out of gambling & became the most popular platform
low key genius when you think about it. Americans hate math 😅
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one of my biggest regrets is NOT posting on social media earlier…
I spent all of high school & college learning to write code and now AI does that shit in 15 seconds
Building an audience & helping people is way more valuable, fun & fulfilling 👊👊
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2 feet of snow today in Massachusetts got me ready to sell everything & move south
GIF
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I sincerely apologize for all the cringe content & edges I helped burn..I now see why people hated some of the shit I tweeted
GIF
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if you follow my content:
1) I'm gonna be tweeting things I'm interested in/insights. Start-ups, investing, trading, etc
2) I started OddsJam but don't work there now. I still love to gamble though & am a huge believer in data-driven betting, so yeah.. I'll be posting bets lol
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@Jferrie23 If PTOs API for pinny is down, highly doubt any other screen outside of maybe OJ has them up. Thankfully you can just go to the pinnacle site to see the odds with ease!
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This is Alex Monahan new account ❤️
He’s doing a lot of business style content along w betting. Show some love to the goat as he grows his new page 👇
Alex Monahan@Amonahan
New content for me... College students pitch business ideas, I tell them the truth. Follow along 🫡
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@EVLongshots All it takes is just one long shot parlay to hit though
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@DataBasedBets @bizlet7 At what point or profit did they put these limits on you
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@bizlet7 Yeah pretty much the case for the recreational operators. Not every book follows this model but most do and don’t really disclose it
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So basically if you ever become profitable they ban your action defeating the whole pipe dream of using these apps in the first place.
Either ban gambling apps or make it illegal to not offer the same action across the board.
Trung Phan@TrungTPhan
The Economist has a great piece on strategy sportsbetting apps use to throttle smart bettors: ▫️Skilled players are “sharps” and given “stake restrictions” if they play too well (bets are capped). ▫️Rest of players called “Square”. ▫️In 2025, 4.3% of active UK accounts had a “stake factor” below the maximum bet allowance of 100%. ▫️Sportsbook will take bets with a profit margin as low as 4.5%. ▫️If they are able to do good “player-profiling” and keep the “sharps” from playing, the profit margin can reach 10-20%. ▫️As important as keeping out “sharps” is hooking “whales”, the deep-pocketed players that are willing to keep playing (and losing) large sums. ▫️Some “whales” are actually “sharps” in disguise, though. They’ll lose a bunch of bets to lull the sportsbook then put down a massive bet when they have an edge. ▫️While there is a risk of a “whale” being a “sharp”, the value of a real “whale” is so high that sportsbook will take the risk ▫️“In March 2024 PointsBet, raised its share of online sports-gambling revenue in New Jersey from 11% to 24% after wooing a single cash-spouting customer away from DraftKings.” (I can confirm that this wasn’t me). ▫️How sportsbook profile players: > Playing on Mobile is a good sign (where majority of people play) > Playing on PCs is a bad sign (it’s easier to compare odds and run models) > E-wallets are a red flag (sportsbooks prefer debit direct deposit that can attach a player to a single account; e-wallet is more anonymized and players can move cash between sportsbook more quickly to shop for the best odds) > Women bettors are a red flag (most bettors are men and “sharps” often use women to place bets) ▫️First wagers are a major tells (typical bettors go after top leagues — NFL, NBA, EPL — and do so near the start of the game). ▫️Popular bets for “squares”: who will win, scoring margins and how star player will perform (also, they love multi-leg parlays). ▫️“Sharps” go after less popular leagues and place bets as soon as odds are published, when they are most mispriced. They also go after less popular bets such as “pts in Q3” or stats from a random player (“Sharps” rarely do parlays and don’t withdrawal winnings often). ▫️One gambling consultant tells The Economist that “By the time a customer places his first bet, [sportsbooks] are 80-90% certain they know the lifetime value of the account.” ▫️”Sportsbooks look at a player’s ‘closing-line value’ — a measure that compares the odds at which he bets with those available right before a match begins. If it is consistently ahead of the market over his first ten wagers, he is highly likely to beat the book in the long run.” ▫️Sportsbook mathematically monitor players and creates a new risk score every 6-8 hours (risk score = estimate of probability that customers will wind up unprofitable). ▫️E-wallet users, women and bets over $100 are flagged. These suspicious bettors are given 30% of maximum bet (and proven sharps only allowed 1%). ▫️High-skilled players will often get a “beard” to bet on their behalf. Most sportsbooks ban this practice but it is widespread. ▫️Safest “beards” are close friends and relatives because you can mostly rely on them to pay out any winnings. The “beards” try to look like degens (playing at 3am, bet non-stop and doing ridiculous parlays) before placing a winning bet. ▫️The most effective strategy for “sharps” is “whale-flipping”. Find a losing gambler, then ask to put a (likely) large winning bet amongst their pool of guaranteed losers. ▫️Once “sharps” max out the people they can use as “beards”, they tap professional networks called “movers”. These “movers” employ a bunch of “mules” who can put down bets on the behalf of the network. Low-end movers charge 10-20% while high-end movers charge 50% of winnings. *** Lots other great details here: economist.com/christmas-spec…
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@EVLongshots @pikkitsports Respect for the mental game playing long shots all the time has so many ups and downs
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Oh what a night 🎯🎆
sharpduel.com/evlongshots
Follow me on @pikkitsports @ evls3321
Very few people on here will keep posting a third party bet tracking app. I wonder why 🤔
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