Mike Davis

@probaaron hahaha. Such a funny troll X account

this might just be my new favorite parody account x.com/AmericanGaming…

@probaaron i'll be tuning in

excited to chat on HiveLive tomorrow, tune in! x.com/i/status/20344…

@BlondiePredicts @luanalopeslara @mansourtarek_ @Domahhhh @cobybets1 @catboyautist @PredMTrader @Foster @GaetenD @TheGrandeTop10 @gigiialc You are missing the top trader on X

Who's missing?

OUTCOME: it was a shit movie. That’s profit

THESIS: It is a shit movie

@Polymarket I don’t think I will leave this place

We're excited to announce 'The Situation Room' by Polymarket is coming to Washington, D.C. The world's first bar dedicated to monitoring the situation. 🧵

@nikairball This guy just broke prediction markets in one tweet

Wonderful stat, how much can I wager on me losing???

what is a mac mini and why do i need one?

@EasyEatsBodega You can do this on prediction markets at least 1 time per day

I wanna just turn $141 into $30,652.34 Nothing crazy. If anyone can help lemme know.

@yizzle_ev You can send me your resume. I may hire you

I've been applying to work at sportsbooks as a trader and have yet to get a SINGLE interview...... What am I doing wrong? CV: Math major with econ+CS minors 6 figure profitable trader and market maker Data analysis and IT background

Someone onboard this guy to Prediction Markets

@DustinGouker @cthrin I have been waiting 3 decades for a Douker bullish Kalshi post. What a moment!

UI for elections at Kalshi now is honestly really good.

@Gee__Gazza Sportsbooks experience isn’t valuable for advising on prediction market products. We are trying to predict the truth here not gamble

Does anyone actually want someone with sportsbook experience consulting for them on their product? Cause I have a decade of experience and it’d be nice to be more productive rather than just moan all the time. (Not Myriad)

@Zeneca Anyone can make a model that wins when you backtest it

Prediction model backtesting is looking prettttty juicy

@j0hnwang Not bad, good size

when kalshi raised its last round at $11B, we were doing ~$5.5B in monthly volume (4 months ago) last month we did $10B

@goldenpants013 @Sports__Proj Kalshi don't settle markets on death! They only settle last traded prices on death!

On the Khamenei & Kalshi Situation: This is a great example of what @Sports__Proj said on a recent show. Basically you need the rules of the contract to support a settlement that "makes sense". If you asked your friend "did Cardi B. preform at the Super Bowl?" - they would almost certainly say no. This is the place to start - aka how is the contract interpreted if you haven't read the rules. Build the rules to support that interpretation as best you can. We can tell casuals they are idiots for not reading the rules, but they will never read the rules and always think they are getting screwed over. And we need casuals. The real solution is to be really careful about what markets you list, and be THOUGHTFUL about the rules. Be especially thoughtful about how casuals will interpret the market with the assumption they can't read more than 3 sentences without getting bored and opening TikTok

@HiveLiveHQ No

Are prediction markets getting more balanced? “A year ago, we used to always buy No, but recently N’s and Y’s are becoming more efficient”

Another day another another X fight between polymarket and kalshi. We need to see Prediction Market Fight Night 🥊

@catboyautist Unbelievable. Great stuff

I started trading on Kalshi 5 months ago with just $1K and a dream! I didn't think I'd get so close to my $1M goal so fast! 14 hour days, 6.5 days a week pay off! Over 3/4 of the way there! Last week was my first negative one, so it was good to collect a huge win on SOTU today.

Any PM trader on X that shits on a PM doesn't make money trading. Pro traders are trying to get as much volume down as possible. Pros are even trading on easypredictfluffyduckmarket