Kalshi backtest

Backtesting your trading strategies for free is now possible with the kalshibacktest.com API. - sub second snapshots - entire orderbook depth and liquidity - underlying coin prices - and much more For the 15min crypto up/down markets on Kalshi No costs. Try it at kalshibacktest.com

@ProMint_X If you’re trading Kalshi BTC or ETH up/down markets, KalshiBacktest lets you verify your strategy on historical tick-level data

Another Polymarket meta died💀 On standard short-term markets, the resolution depends on the price at the exact second of closing. In the final 10–20 seconds before a market resolves, the outcome becomes almost obvious. Traders and bots start flooding the market with massive volume to scoop up easy PnL. TWAP (Time-Weighted Average Price) changes this by using the time-weighted average price. Instead of taking the price at the final second (e.g., exactly at 12:00:00), the platform calculates the asset's average price over the entire period or a final stretch (like the average price over the full 5 minutes). If you try to pump or dump the price at the last second to clear the market in your favor, it won't work. You’d have to manipulate and sustain the price for the entire 5 minutes, which is incredibly expensive and financially unviable. Markets will be split between whales and retail. When liquidity gets fragmented across two similar instruments, order books dry up on both sides. It becomes inconvenient for traders to switch back and forth, market depth drops and as a result, the combined trading volume ends up lower than if there were just one strong, unified market. Let’s hope the team reconsiders this move.

@MonteCarloSpam Congrats! First of the many

Just hit my first manual 1000x! let’s hope I don’t jinx it

@lorden_eth You can backtest your Kalshi crypto up/down market strategies with KalshiBacktest using free sub-second historical data

Market Making bot made $1.1M in 4 months trading BTC Up or Down market Profile: @0x1979ae6b7e6534de9c4539d0c205e582ca637c9d-1769439463256?via=view_the_context" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x1979ae6b7e6… Wallet has over 180k viewers with 25k predictions Makes $100k to $200k monthly and $50k weekly Bot is usually coded in low-level languages like C++ or Rust Article explains how quants predict

@icobeast Interesting 😂

It’s actually hard to believe the WCF and ECF are playing the same sport Just completely different level of game

@me_cool_off You can use KalshiBacktest to see how your Kalshi crypto up/down strategies would’ve performed on real market movements

This trader made +$39,000 in just 3 days trading on 5-minute markets! His profile: @0x8d2d7bae900cc62bbac531f900dbf58a6f8c5517-1779036172957?r=mecooloff#3BCtEL6" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x8d2d7bae900… Day 1: +$26,000 Day 2: +$7,000 Day 3: +$6,000 Only 114 trades! Best trades: $2,361 -> $7,898 $924 -> $4,049 $824 -> $2,844 Most of his entries are in the 50-65¢ range. He doesn’t try to profit from inefficiencies. He simply trades and makes money. On average, each trade brings him +$342! Instead of losing money trading on your own, just set up copy trading on his wallet: t.me/PolyGunSniperB…

@thenarrator One of the reasons why prediction markets is growing so fast

your uber driver has a thesis on tesla stock your barber knows the fed is cutting your cousin called bitcoin at 20K none of them have a brokerage account none of them understand options chains none of them will ever use polymarket but all of them would put $10 behind their opinion if it was one tap this is what consumer looks like today

@goatyishere No time to cry

This guy lost $5M on a single bet What do you know about pain, bro?

@Kalshi That's right!

JUST IN: Jeff Bezos says bottom half of workers should not pay taxes

@Kalshi_Crypto That's what's keeping bitcoin price low 👀

JUST IN: BlackRock sells $782M worth of Bitcoin in the past 2 days

@adiix_official Backtesting is a huge part of it that can't be ignored

ex-Citadel quant is quietly running one of the most profitable Polymarket bots ever tracked. $1,200 → $797,000 in 50 days. 34,000 trades. But the result isn’t the interesting part. The structure is. Here’s the gap between him and retail and it has almost nothing to do with intelligence: 1. He trades mispricing, not outcomes. Retail asks “who will win?” Quants ask “how wrong is the crowd right now?” Only one of those is tradable. 2. Sizing > picking. Tiny bets when edge is thin. Aggressive when the gap opens up. Retail sizes the same regardless of conviction that single habit erases the edge. 3. Boring infrastructure on purpose. VPS. Scripted execution. Backtests before real capital. No exotic tools. Just discipline applied to ordinary ones. 4. Backtesting on real data, not vibes. Strategies tested against millions of historical trades before going live. Retail invents strategies from one good week and abandons them after one bad month. 5. Self-correcting feedback loops. When edge compresses and it always does the system adjusts or shuts off. Retail keeps running dead strategies because they’re emotionally attached. bot profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xe1d6… start track and copy-trading in 2 clicks using Ares: t.me/AresProTrading… Four boring habits. Compounded over 34,000 trades. That’s the entire gap between a Citadel quant and the median trader and it’s not closing, because most refuse to believe the answer is this unsexy. Save this

@ripchillpill Odds say France but heart says Spain

22 days until the world cup starts who would you put your money on from the top 6?

@saurav_tweets Definitely a new one 😁

if you were in his place, would you make a new account or deposit into the same one again?

@PredMTrader What mentions are u taking?

Trump Coast Guard Academy Commencement Address - 11AM The day after Trump's victory in the primaries Notably, Trump spoke at this same commencement ceremony in 2017, while a member of his cabinet, Kristi Noem, delivered the address last year

@rigatohni Follow risk management 🙌

3 days... nearly 35k gone. Its been a really shit few days but a SUPER bad day today for me in elections. Since hitting 70k a few days ago I got cucked on netflix: -9k, lost about $8k on the Ky04 election and then lost 10k right after on the supreme court election. i seem to find myself in this cycle of making really sharp consistent money in mentions/trump, then blow it on shit I shouldnt be sizing up on. I dont have a massive risk tolerance in mentions but for some reason I went crazy heavy on the elections tonight. showing the losses and the lessons is very important and I know many of yall have gone through these swings before. last month i went from 60 down to 40 and back up to 70. Although it feels like i just wasted the last month or 2, I will make it back...

@Kalshi_Crypto Betting on next month 💪

BREAKING: 40% chance Bitcoin hits $100,000 this year 8% chance it happens next month

@loshmi How did u loose it all ?

just lost it all do I now owe apology to Didi?

@Gyokeres_eth He wiped his account with it I think

So this guy just lost $5M on Polymarket lmao I went with over +1.5 at 66c right before Bournemouth goal, so did a "free bet" on City while it was losing, and was almost losing both in the end, managed to be on very small W with the second goal

@adiix_official Damn this is crazy

🚨 do you understand what this guy just did to a $2M industry… for 20 years the rule was: want to know where every player moved on the court? pay Second Spectrum $2M a year. wait for the report. NBA teams only. today Meta dropped a free model. you point at a player. it tracks them through the entire game. names them. maps them. plots them on a 2D court in real time. NBA tracking contract: $1M–$5M per team, per year. cost to run SAM3: $0. the “enterprise sports analytics” subscription isn’t protecting teams. it was protecting the people charging seven figures to track 10 guys on a court.

@itskkoma That's bad

Effff Southampton man

@NotAMai_ @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade You might

am I going to eat today?