Thor
642 posts

Thor
@ThorThunderG
Philantropist, former poker pro, investor, self-made millionaire, life dabbler. Not thinking about you at all.
Katılım Ağustos 2025
331 Takip Edilen52 Takipçiler

This is absolutely insane:
At 7:04 AM ET today, President Trump said “the US and Iran have had productive discussions" to end the Iran War.
By 7:10 AM ET, the S&P 500 surged +240 points adding +$2 TRILLION in market cap.
27 minutes later, Iran completely denied all of President Trump's claims and said there has been "no contact" with the US.
By 8:00 AM ET. the S&P 500 had fallen -120 points erasing -$1 trillion in market cap.
That's a $3 TRILLION swing market cap in 56 minutes, just in the S&P 500.
What is happening here?

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@Osinttechnical It's simple and yet the US can't do it? Am I reading that right? It's hard to understand moron-speak.
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@Microinteracti1 The US military does not have the cards. They will happily spend unreal amounts of US tax dollars doing stupid shit though. If I were American I'd be fucking pissed.
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Right.
So let me get this straight.
The most expensive military on the planet, a institution that consumes more money annually than the GDP of most countries, looked at a twenty thousand dollar drone and said, yes, the correct response to this is a four hundred thousand dollar missile. Twenty times the cost. They did the maths and thought, brilliant, let’s do that. Repeatedly.
And then, magnificently, one week in, they rang Ukraine. Ukraine. The country their own president had just finished publicly flogging in the Oval Office like a Victorian schoolmaster with a particularly dim pupil. Trump stood there, chest out, that extraordinary hair doing whatever it does, and announced to the assembled cameras of the world that Ukraine was absolutely the last country he would ever consider asking for help.
Seven days later, someone in the Pentagon picked up the phone.
The truly staggering part is not the incompetence. Incompetence is everywhere, it’s practically ambient at this point. No, what takes your breath away is the confidence. These people were not quietly embarrassed and privately regrouping. They were strutting. Full chest, full volume, telling the world how this was going to go.
It did not go that way.
Ukraine, the country they don’t need, is now apparently quite necessary.
Remarkable.
Stay connected,
Gandalv @Microinteracti1
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This guy genuinely considers his Harry Potter fanfiction to be a canonical Great Work
Eliezer Yudkowsky@allTheYud
I wonder how much of Western civilization's collapse is downstream of writers and scriptwriters deciding they were too cool and sophisticated to write about good people doing good things.
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@ycombinator @fed10ai @armandiorg @winstonwxi @zayandc Build a better world. Not whatever this shit is. Be better.
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Fed10 (@fed10ai) is building AI lobbyists.
Their agents already help companies catch and suppress regulatory threats that would have cost millions in compliance before anyone saw them coming.
Congrats on the launch, @armandiorg, @winstonwxi & @zayandc!
ycombinator.com/launches/PdT-f…
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@deanwball God I hate this strawman shit so much. Making up stupid arguments and arguing against them to sound smart is the fucking worst.
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“This Citrini scenario is ridiculous! It doesn’t contemplate the obvious fiscal policy response we would muster!”
“Do you think we should discuss novel fiscal policy responses to AI labor issues, then, so we aren’t wholly winging it in the future if the scenario is anything like true?”
“No. That would be ridiculous and a waste of time.”
“So then your model of the world is that a serious and systemic negative labor market impact from AI is functionally impossible?”
“It’s extremely unlikely.”
“Ok, so granting that any specific future scenario we can imagine today is unlikely, do you think it’s worth preparing for an eventuality where AI has a negative, serious, and systemic labor market impact?”
In a loop, until the scenario skeptic eventually hurls a pejorative about how you don’t understand any economics and are therefore an idiot.
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@jedifractal Wait you can actually use Sui? I thought it was just a way for rich people to get richer?
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Considering that $12 trillion is six times Russia’s entire GDP, why be modest, Mr Dmitriev, and not propose a $120 trillion plan. Or a $120 gazillion.
The Kyiv Independent@KyivIndependent
⚡️Zelensky says Russia presented $12 trillion economic plan to US, called 'Dmitriev package.' President Volodymyr Zelensky described it as a proposed framework for large-scale U.S.-Russia economic cooperation. kyivindependent.com/zelensky-warns…
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Kevin Warsh hates QE. It is crystal clear. He quit the Fed over QE2. He’s going to slash the Fed’s balance sheet.
“QE sort of took off without us. And what did we say then? We debated internally whether to do this. And the story goes something like this. Secretary Paulson, he's issuing bonds on Monday and Tuesday. What do you say we buy them on Thursday and Friday? And I don't believe in betraying the confidences of those that were sitting around table, but I recall one person saying, well that sounds like a Ponzi scheme.”
“You're cleansing my biography, and I should be grateful. I resigned when QE2 was launched.”
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i really cannot express enough how completely fucking baffled i am that people choose to live in places where there's a winter. you just have fucking *months* of the year where it's a freezing hell to go outside, where your skin dries and cracks and bleeds, where you have to constantly shovel snow and de-ice roads, where all the trees die and the animals hide, where the sun disappears and you're trapped inside in darkness again and again. and you just *live with it*
YOU CAN MOVE!!! NOT EVERYWHERE IS LIKE THIS!!! THIS IS NOT A FUNDAMENTAL FEATURE OF THE PLANET!!!!! THERE IS PLENTY OF SPACE!!!!! IF YOU LEAVE NOW YOUR CHILDREN WON'T BE TRAPPED INTO ACCEPTING AND NORMALIZING THE HELLSCAPE YOU RAISED THEM IN!!!!
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Tradfi is hard they said.
I’ve printed more the last couple of months over there with 1/10 the stress than I have in crypto for the past year.
Don’t let them “you got no real skillz son, this is for serious players only” you. Don’t let them make you feel small.
We played their 20 year cycles in 2 over and over again. Infinite ubercompressed experience.
Reminds me of old “live feel” players saying the online poker kids would never get their money.
Guess what: I did.
We did.
We are hardened by insane conditions for the last 3 years. Litterally insane. And we survived. Go get what’s yours son. Don’t let them make you feel small. Trade all markets. Go where the best conditions are and squeeze them for as long as they last. Have fun.
Do your thing.
And take it all.
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@AsennaWealth What kind of savage would put Nike socks on for anything other than gym?
Up your sock game yo
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