Tim Puko

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Tim Puko

Tim Puko

@TimPuko

Minerals, mining, energy and climate @EurasiaGroup Formerly @washingtonpost @WSJ @TribLIVE “He seems well-meaning and is not terribly annoying." Views my own

Washington, DC Katılım Mayıs 2013
754 Takip Edilen3.7K Takipçiler
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Tim Puko
Tim Puko@TimPuko·
US trade rep Jamieson Greer is trying to convince the world’s big consumers to pay more for minerals. He’s not wrong but it’s a hard hard sell And just as much at home as abroad. Trying to compete w China could be a bottomless money pit Thinking a lot rn of Rick Perry, c2017…
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Tim Puko
Tim Puko@TimPuko·
Lots of important findings in this story but these are the biggest, signs the fertilizer crunch is about to start hitting planting seasons around the world. And likely many of the world’s poorest will suffer first and the worst from the Iran war’s ripple effects.
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Rebecca Tan@rebtanhs

Thailand is one of the first ag countries to enter a planting season since the Iran war. We went to document the impact of supply shocks to fuel/fertilizer — It was worse than I anticipated. Farmers are leaving huge tracts of land barren bc they can’t afford to plant.

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Tim Puko
Tim Puko@TimPuko·
time is a flat circle
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Max Tani
Max Tani@maxwelltani·
outrageous. media companies need to find a way to get info out faster than in print. perhaps a way to publish instantaneously, and in a manner that could be updated as news develops. and what if, someday, you could somehow get the articles without having to go to a newsstand?
Shaun Maguire@shaunmmaguire

This seemed so outrageous (even for the NYT) that I wanted to verify it I went and got a physical copy and took this photo The shooting was at 8:34pm ET on Saturday night Is this not enough time to get the story in print? If not, then how is this “news”?

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Tim Puko
Tim Puko@TimPuko·
@FT @ftcommodities @GavinBade arguably the minerals question is much much more of a “what’s the cost of freedom?” situation than last decade’s coal and nuclear fleet ever was
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Tim Puko
Tim Puko@TimPuko·
US trade rep Jamieson Greer is trying to convince the world’s big consumers to pay more for minerals. He’s not wrong but it’s a hard hard sell And just as much at home as abroad. Trying to compete w China could be a bottomless money pit Thinking a lot rn of Rick Perry, c2017…
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Tim Puko
Tim Puko@TimPuko·
C. 2019 it came up chatting w a Trump official that I was reading a history of the opium wars. She asked what I learned halfway through “How swiftly an entire society can collapse when bureaucrats feel they can’t be honest with leaders.” She did not have any response to that!
ian bremmer@ianbremmer

leaders aren’t giving trump unvarnished, real expertise or advice, and it’s not just happening among members the administration and business leaders. it’s happening with world leaders too.

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Tim Puko
Tim Puko@TimPuko·
LINK: #b" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">semafor.com/newsletter/04/…
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Tim Puko
Tim Puko@TimPuko·
Further confirmation that minerals producers won’t be getting individual off-take/price floor agreements with the Trump administration, as reported last night by @WSJ (At least not without intervention from Congress, unlikely soon)
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ian bremmer
ian bremmer@ianbremmer·
it looks bad for the us president to threaten genocide
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Scott Irwin
Scott Irwin@ScottIrwinUI·
Good to push back on this. If a food crisis is to develop it would be associated with the 2027 crops not the 2026 crops. And then it would have to be a combination of skyrocketing fertilizer prices not matched by increases in crop prices.
Javier Blas@JavierBlas

Key food commodity prices since US-Iran war started: 🍚 Rice: ⬇️ -6.3% 🌾 Wheat: ⬇️ -0.5% 🥫 Soybean: ⬆️ +0.6% 🌽 Corn: ⬆️ +2.7% As with everything else in this war, all depends on escalation. But talk about a "food crisis" or a "food shock" is premature.

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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
It's crazy that @gbrew24, someone who's basically spent his entire life studying to be an expert for this exact moment, doesn't have like 10x the followers as he does.
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Gregory Brew
Gregory Brew@gbrew24·
Not all the Gulf states are equally affected by the Hormuz closure. Saudi is exporting 5-7m bpd out of Yanbu, at prices 80% above where they were a few months ago. UAE and Oman can get barrels out around Hormuz. Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Iraq are screwed, tho.
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