RH

$SHAZ Played out

$AAOI has been consolidating in a sideways Darvas Box channel since mid-May. The most recent breakout trendline has been breached and is showing a potential reversal. The MACD is declining showing weakness while the RSI is neutral. Major resistance has set up at the $200 level. It is too soon to confirm a reversal of trend, but these tend to have a major first break down candle. I would place that target at $156, with expansion of selling all the way back to base of recent breakout $127. The EMA's remain sequenced, but the 9/20 are intertwining and could be forecasting a breakdown. Above $181 is bullish while below $162 defend zone break becomes bearish. The 30m chart has premarket turned on and shows a continuation of the tightening wedge plus the resistance formed yesterday has held. You can see the rejection premarket leading to a draw down currently to the base of the channel. That with futures +50 tells me to be on watch for a breakdown and jump into $150-$155 puts. Premarket drawdowns are notorious for being weak shareholders shake and liquidity grab to trap bears, so confirmation of breakdown is essential.

$NBIS -39% drop 🩸 since I alerted you to take your da*n profits. Don’t fight my signals! Today, it’s still dropping and my system is still flashing “Sell” It get really costly when you go against my system’s signal. Put away your hope, emotions, love when you play. Just be a robot🤖 !

Note the date here on my $AAOI targets of $106 and $91 - July 15. My ability to see a stock move almost perfectly and inability to see a person's true character explains my bank account and small circle of friends. $AAOI $AAOX

I'm not even a fan of $SIVE, but it does look great here. I love how most people are selling right now. Seems like a no brainer to be buying in here if you're not in already, but compared to $ASYS, $SIVE is not as great. So $ASYS > $SIVE here imo. For a few reasons: 1) Revenue Quality & Growth: $ASYS just reported strong Q2 FY2026 results (May 2026): $20.5M revenue (+31% YoY, +8% QoQ), driven by AI. AI now >30% of Thermal Processing segment (expected >40% in Q3). Bookings $21.1M, backlog $22.3M, and Q3 guidance $20.5–22.5M with improving margins (low double-digit EBITDA). Cash flow positive, low debt, recurring consumables/services mix. $SIVE: Q1 2026 revenue down 22% YoY (SEK 61.9M), wider losses, defense delays. Pipeline hype ($799M) is big, but there is a huge execution gap ahead. 2) Leadership & Skin in the Game: $ASYS has strong, relevant CEO (Bob Daigle, semiconductor packaging expert) with insider buying and high ownership alignment. Clean execution so far. $SIVE has notable insider selling during the run and recent volatility/short-seller pressure. 3) Asymmetry & Conviction Gap: $ASYS trades at a much more reasonable valuation on a smaller base with proven AI revenue traction accelerating imo. The bear case is also much worse than $SIVE is manageable (semis cyclicality). The bull case: sustained 40%+ AI mix -> multiple expansion and a strong run with real numbers backing it. The gap is closing positively with each quarter. $SIVE already had its massive run (hundreds to thousands of percent at peaks). It now carries higher valuation risk relative to current revenue, bigger dilution from raises, and a wider (riskier) gap on production ramps/yields in 2027+. This is my 2c. And the reason I'm heavily getting into $ASYS here. Why is nobody talking about this here?

*IMPORTANT* $SIVE $SIVE.ST $SIVEF I really don't wanna give the impression that I'm some trader here but I just need to put this out there in case anyone needs the guidance. WATCH for 58.7 - 59 SEK. It is the previous high we didn't break AND the 20EMA on the daily. Don't PANIC. We are holding the 20EMA here so far!