Tomáš Kopečný

2.7K posts

Tomáš Kopečný

Tomáš Kopečný

@TomKopen3

Analyst/Economist, micro investor,statistics of rare events and exponacial processes, poet. Everything here is my personal opinion.

Katılım Şubat 2019
194 Takip Edilen391 Takipçiler
Tomáš Kopečný
Tomáš Kopečný@TomKopen3·
@RealJessica Not much difference when we take into account that many Chinese goods are consumed outside China. What truly stands out is the US emissions. As Chinese emissions already peaked in 2025 or even 2024. China will never catch up. At least not in this century.
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Based Jessica
Based Jessica@RealJessica·
Thank you Germany 🇩🇪and Britain 🇬🇧 for sacrificing your economies to save the planet. China appreciates you exporting your manufacturing to provide jobs for their citizens.
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Tomáš Kopečný
Tomáš Kopečný@TomKopen3·
@TheApeOfGoldST True prices across the sector are ridiculous even for producing companies like Guanajuato Silver, SantaCruz Silver or SilverX. Iran war speeds up the industrial silver demand to new unexpected highs.
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TheApeOfGoldStreet
TheApeOfGoldStreet@TheApeOfGoldST·
The owner of the 2nd largest undeveloped #Silver deposit in the #USA, and likely a top 8 biggest undeveloped #Silver deposit globally, is trading like one of the cheapest silver stocks on the planet on an EV/oz basis. How does that make any sense? $APGO.v - Apollo Silver $APGO is starting to look way too cheap here. Enterprise value: C$186.39M market cap C$59.00M in cash 👀 = C$127.39M EV Now look at the EV/oz: Calico: 183 Moz Ag (pure silver ounces, not AgEq.) Cinco de Mayo: ~154 Moz AgEq historical resource Total: ~337 Moz Ag/AgEq C$127.39M / 337 Moz = C$0.378/oz So the current EV/oz is only: C$0.38 per oz Ag/AgEq In USD, that is roughly: ~US$0.27/oz, depending on CAD/USD. Their Calico project alone should justify a market cap at least 3x higher, even before giving any value to the blue-sky potential at Cinco de Mayo. (CDM hosts a historical inferred resource of ~154 Moz AgEq at 385 g/t AgEq) Calico is located in San Bernardino County, California, and is the second-largest undeveloped #Silver deposit in the #USA. This is not some joke asset. It is a monster project in a top-tier jurisdiction, with massive silver exposure, a huge cash position, and a pro-mining political backdrop that wants to fast-track strategic domestic mineral projects. At the current valuation, the market is basically giving away the upside. A side note: Crazy cash position right now, almost 60M CAD... Worth to remember that some good stories out there are currently cashed up to their teeth!
TheApeOfGoldStreet tweet mediaTheApeOfGoldStreet tweet mediaTheApeOfGoldStreet tweet media
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Oliver Groß
Oliver Groß@minenergybiz·
That's a significant decrease in metal production! 👇 Yes, Nornickel (Norilsk Nickel) is the world’s largest producer of refined Class I nickel. Class I nickel = high-purity nickel (with a minimum purity of 99.8%) used in electric vehicles (EVs). Nornickel is also the world's leading producer of palladium, as well as a major producer of copper and platinum. 🇷🇺⛏️
Brandon Beylo@marketplunger1

Norilsk Nickel is one of the world's largest nickel and palladium producers. It just announced the following production declines (QoQ): > Nickel: -28% > Copper: -12% > Palladium: -14% > Platinum: -26% Probably nothing.

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Evan | Investments
Evan | Investments@NotA_Bull·
Which stocks do you think could 10x over the next 5-10 years?
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Tomáš Kopečný
Tomáš Kopečný@TomKopen3·
Tak jednoduchý to není. V Argentině jsem měl svýho času 40% akciovyho portfolia. Investoval jsem v roce 2021 kvůli břidlicím Vaca Muerta, lithiu a hlavně turnaroundu v zemědělské produkci. V Argentině bylo sucho. Napršelo až v roce 2023 a úroda pomohla znásobit jak moje akcie tak příliv dolarů do Argentiny. Na dolarech ze sóji kukuřice a a břidlice přitom stojí "Mileijuv úspěch". Dneska by Argentina měla vydělávat na drahych energiích, skutečnost je ale taková, že se inflace vrátila znova nad 30% a Argentinu drží nad vodou uzavrenej Hormuz. Investice pořád mám. Dřív to byly banky a elektřina, dneska DLE lithium extraction.
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Jaroslav Šura
Jaroslav Šura@jarsura·
Ocení někdy zdejší levičáci argentinského prezidenta?! :)
Matthias Teh 🎗️ ن IΧΘΥΣ@Matthias_Teh

Endlich! Nach 123 Jahren hat Javier Milei das argentinische Staatsdefizit komplett eliminiert. 💥 Ein historischer Meilenstein, den die etablierten Medien und Keynesianer hierzulande lieber verschweigen. Der „Verrückte“ mit den Klon-Hunden hat in kürzester Zeit das Unmögliche geschafft: Von Hyperinflation runter auf ca. 2,5% monatlich, Rezession überwunden und ein Budgetüberschuss – ohne neue Schulden, ohne Druckerpresse. 🔥 Während unsere Politiker in Berlin und Brüssel weiter Geld aus dem Nichts schaffen, Sozialausgaben explodieren lassen und die EZB als Staatsfinanzier missbrauchen, zeigt Milei, wie echte Haushaltsdisziplin funktioniert. Er hat Ministerien gestrichen, Subventionen gekappt und den Staatsapparat radikal verkleinert. Das Ergebnis? Der Peso stabilisiert sich, der Dollar-Schatten verblasst und Investoren schauen wieder hin. 📈 Natürlich jammern die Linken und Peronisten: „Armut steigt auf 53%!“ Klar, der Schock einer notwendigen Therapie tut weh – nach Jahrzehnten sozialistischer Plünderung. Inzwischen ist die Armut auf 28,2% gesunken. Langfristig wird Freiheit Wohlstand schaffen, genauso wie es in Chile der Fall war.💪 Die Jugend Argentiniens feiert Milei wie einen Rockstar, weil sie endlich eine Alternative zur ewigen Misere sieht. 👏 Das ist Liberalismus in der Praxis: Weniger Staat, mehr Markt, mehr Freiheit. Genau das, was wir in Europa brauchen, bevor der Euro kollabiert und die nächste Schuldenkrise uns alle mitreißt. Die „Wirtschaftswunder“ der Vergangenheit waren nie Planwirtschaft, sondern immer das Ergebnis von Freiheit und Verantwortung. Wer das nicht sieht, hat aus der Geschichte nichts gelernt. Argentinien zeigt den Weg – wir sollten ihm folgen, bevor es zu spät ist. Lest den Bericht: gfmag.com/economics-poli… #Milei #Libertarismus #Inflation_ist_Raub 🇦🇷🚀

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Pattonator
Pattonator@Pattonator2·
@TomKopen3 @jackprandelli Iran has never exported 3.5 million. The tank trucks turn around time is about 6 days vs 40-50 days for the large carriers. Add in the railcars and they have added weeks before their storage is full.
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Jack Prandelli
Jack Prandelli@jackprandelli·
Iraq just found the back door around Hormuz. 70 tankers crossed into Syria yesterday via AlYarubiyah a border that's been shut for 13 years. Destination: Mediterranean ports. The chokepoint isn't a wall. Producers are routing around. The map of Gulf oil is being redrawn by truck, but is more expensive. source: @MarioNawfal
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Tomáš Kopečný
Tomáš Kopečný@TomKopen3·
@jackprandelli New geothermal is also very important for Europe, where we can use both electricity and heat. Watch places like Hungary which has 29GW of low cost geothermal potential. Enough power the Hungary, Slovakia, Czechia and Austria together.
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Jack Prandelli
Jack Prandelli@jackprandelli·
The AI energy debate has been framed as gas vs nuclear. Wall Street Week just added a 3rd: geothermal US power demand is set to grow 20% over the next decade driven by data centers. Geothermal is base-load, 24/7, zero carbon. It's been overlooked because the project economics never penciled. AI just made them pencil. For now US AI will run on gas... I wrote about it, in my latest article, link in replies 👇 Source: Bloomberg
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Petr Bartoň
Petr Bartoň@petr_barton·
@TomKopen3 Vy neplatite dane? Tak k tomu se radeji nepriznavejte.
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Petr Bartoň
Petr Bartoň@petr_barton·
Ja se moc omlouvam, je mi to strasne lito, ale za zdvojnasobeni inflace v Bulharsku nemohou nizke uroky ve Frankfurtu. Ani vyssi uroky by zas nemely jak zasadhe pomoci. Ale zkusme otazku z 2. rocniku: Ktera evropska ekonomika je nejnarocnejsi na (zdrazene) energie (E/HDP)?
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Nigel 🇬🇧
Nigel 🇬🇧@Pylon54·
@TomKopen3 @JamesMelville Ask yourself this very simple question:- If I own 50 hectares of land, do I want to try and make a living from working long hours 7 days a week - or do I want a solar farm company to pay me £100,000 a year from renting my land to put their solar farm on? Tough choice?
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James Melville 🚜
James Melville 🚜@JamesMelville·
South Korea 🇰🇷 A motorway that stretches for 20 miles has a huge solar panel strip down the middle with a cycle path underneath. This is more logical than plastering solar panels on thousands of acres of prime farmland.
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Tomáš Kopečný
Tomáš Kopečný@TomKopen3·
They will. Or maybe not collapse cause of migration but both countries changes dramatically in 50 years. Czechs kind of do similar thingy in a different way. Disrespect plays role in both places. In here it is that young families do not need any money but woman shall stay with children at home till 3 for 400 euros month while private nursery costs 500-800 in big cities.
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Typowy Janusz
Typowy Janusz@typowy_polak2·
@TomKopen3 @D_Tarczynski Both our nations will collapse in the next decades because of the demographic. You want to say that in communist time, or even before women were treated better than now? Algorithms and social media destroyed family values in the world
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West Bank Notifications
West Bank Notifications@WestBankNotice·
🚨 Israeli forces arrested five Palestinian children while they were gathering wild plants near the Havat Ma’on settlement south of Hebron in the southern West Bank, following incitement by settlers.
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Doug !
Doug !@Doug83946987·
@TomKopen3 @minenergybiz When high beta is rocking you can expect Gold to be weak, its a hedge play, silver can do well in a high beta market
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Oliver Groß
Oliver Groß@minenergybiz·
Agnico Eagle Mines shares are being sold due to new record earnings and the highest margins and net earnings ever. Of course, Agnico made a big strategic mistake. They're using their cash bonanza to buy junior gold miners (see Finland) and buy back shares. Instead, they should have purchased acres of land for new data centers and bought NVIDIA chips with their cash. Agnico shares would double overnight - easily. $AEM
Oliver Groß tweet media
High Grade 🚜⚒🌎🇺🇸🇨🇦@EconomicAlpha

Agnico $AEM out with 1Q earnings. Adj eps $3.41 vs $3.21 Revs $4.1B vs $4.016B FCF $732M vs $458M EBITDA $2.996B vs $2.920B CFOps $1.346B CC: $1,093 AISC: $1,483 Guidance on pdn and costs reiterated Realized #Gold $4,861 Repurchase of 721,211 during Q1 at $207.68 per share, $150M Renewing buyback increasing NCIB from $1B to $2B Total cash taxes paid in Q1 was $1.8 billion, approximately 50% of the expected cash taxes for 2026. FCF should pick up Q2-Q4. Cash balance up $246M to $3.122B despite $1.3B in cash payments related to 2025 tax year, $614M in capex, and $375M in returns to shareholders. Net cash now $2.915B vs $2.670B in prior quarter. Target return to shareholders remains at 40% of FCF. $375M returned in Q1. More details here: s205.q4cdn.com/243646470/file… 🚜⚒️🌎🥇🇺🇸🇨🇦

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Tomáš Kopečný
Tomáš Kopečný@TomKopen3·
@horacekpetr22 AI ani Mag7 nerozumím, ale překládám si že Vyšši Capex u hyper scalers = vyšší poptávka po stříbře, mědi, lithium a elektřině a dalších stavebních kamenech "silikonové civilizace"
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Petr Horáček
Petr Horáček@horacekpetr22·
Vyšší capex u $META znamená rychlejší růst a v budoucnu nižší opex, stejně platí pro $AMZN, $MSFT $GOOG. Prodávat kvůli tomu akcie mi přijde na palici, ale jak je libo pane trh..
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